Sky vs. Aces Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, July 3

My Sky vs. Aces prediction breaks down the best WNBA bets I'm backing tonight in Las Vegas.
Chicago Sky forward Azura Stevens (30) defends Las Vegas Aces guard Jackie Young (0) as we break down our Sky vs. Aces prediction.
Pictured: Chicago Sky forward Azura Stevens (30) defends Las Vegas Aces guard Jackie Young (0) as we break down our Sky vs. Aces prediction. Photo by Matt Marton / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Sky Making it Rain in Las Vegas? Not Likely

My Sky vs. Aces prediction includes Aces -7.5 (-102) and Jackie Young Over 19.5 points (-102). The market is overreacting to A’ja Wilson being out, and Young has scored 20 or more points in each of her last three games.


πŸ€ Sky vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick βš–οΈ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Aces -7.5 (-102 via DraftKings) 2.04u β†’ 2 The market is overreacting to Wilson being out.
Over 181.5 (-105 via BetMGM) 0.53u β†’ 0.5u The Aces have scored 99+ points in back-to-back games.
Jackie Young Over 19.5 points (-102 via FanDuel) 1.53u β†’ 1.5u Young has scored 20+ points in 3 straight games.

Total wagered: 4.1 units | Max profit: 4 units

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πŸ† Who will win Sky vs. Aces?

I like the Aces to beat the Sky by 10 points today. The Aces have the second-shortest WNBA championship odds - compared to the Sky, who have the fourth-longest - and even though Wilson won't play tonight, that just means Young, Chennedy Carter, and Chelsea Gray will take on larger roles in the offense.

Score prediction: Aces 99, Sky 89


πŸ’° Sky vs. Aces prediction & best bet

Aces -7.5 (-102)

The market is overreacting to Wilson being out.

Wilson's absence will just create more opportunity for Young, Carter, and Gray to take on larger roles in the offense. The Sky allow the fifth-most points per game (89.5) in the W, and we already saw them struggle to contain Young (28 points, 8 assists) and Gray (18 points, 8 assists) in Las Vegas’ eight-point win on Sunday.

While Wilson missing extended time would be bad for the Aces, they have enough talent to perform at a similar level without her over 1-2 games.


πŸ”₯ Best Sky vs. Aces player prop bet

Jackie Young Over 19.5 points (-102)

We've been riding Young's Over on points for a while, dating back to when she was lined at 17.5 against the Wings on June 25. While she's now at 19.5, there's still value on her Over, especially since Wilson is out tonight. Young has scored 20 or more points in three straight games and, over a larger sample, has gone Over this total in four of her last five.

Young Over 19.5 points (-101) is the best line available among top sports betting sites. However, I’ll use Over 19.5 (-102) at FanDuel for my personal tracking, as most readers don’t have access to the -101 line, and it would be misleading to track a bet that very few can get down on.

🏀 More WNBA player props today

I feature Pauline Astier in my Lynx vs. Liberty prediction.


πŸš€ Sky vs. Aces same-game parlay

Parlaying these three bets at FanDuel pays +424.

💵 Sky vs. Aces SGP picks

  • Aces -7.5
  • Over 181.5
  • Jackie Young Over 19.5 points

Odds: +424 via FanDuel


πŸ’΅ My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks have been tracked since May 8.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 26-37 -12.59 units βŒ -16.1% βŒ
Spreads 7-11 -8.5 units βŒ -23.1% βŒ
Totals 9-10 -0.05 units βŒ -0.4% βŒ
Player props 9-10 -3.23 units βŒ -11.7% βŒ
Parlays 1-6 -0.81 units βŒ -37.6% βŒ

πŸ“Š Live Sky vs. Aces odds


πŸš‘ Sky vs. Aces injuries

Injury report last updated at 4:39 p.m. ET.

Sky

  • DiJonai Carrington (foot) - out

Aces

  • Janiah Barker (leg) - out
  • Dana Evans (leg) - out
  • A'ja Wilson (leg) - out

πŸ“Ί How to watch Sky vs. Aces

  • Date: Friday, July 3
  • Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
  • TV: ION