Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Friday, July 3

My Lynx vs. Liberty prediction breaks down the best WNBA bets I'm backing tonight in Brooklyn.
New York Liberty guard Pauline Astier (18) brings the ball up the court as we break down our Lynx vs. Liberty prediction.
Pictured: New York Liberty guard Pauline Astier (18) brings the ball up the court as we break down our Lynx vs. Liberty prediction. Photo by David Gonzales / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Lynx Have it Their Way in BK

My Lynx vs. Liberty prediction includes Lynx -1.5 (-112) and Pauline Astier Under 7.5 points (-106). Minnesota has covered nine of its 10 road games this season, while Astier has struggled to put together back-to-back impressive scoring performances.


πŸ€ Lynx vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick βš–οΈ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Lynx -1.5 (-112 via DraftKings) 2.24u β†’ 2 The Lynx are 9-1 ATS on the road.
Under 174.5 (-110 via Caesars) 0.55u β†’ 0.5u The Lynx have allowed 84 or fewer points in 6 straight games.
Pauline Astier Under 7.5 points (-106 via FanDuel) 1.59u β†’ 1.5u Astier has put up 7 or fewer points in each of her last 3 games after scoring double digits.

Total wagered: 4.38 units | Max profit: 4 units

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πŸ† Who will win Lynx vs. Liberty?

I like the Lynx to beat the Liberty by three points today in Brooklyn. Minnesota and New York have the first- and third-shortest WNBA championship odds, respectively, so it makes sense that the Lynx are a small road favorite over the Liberty. New York has been sliding in my power rankings lately, losing four of its last five games, while Minnesota has won five of its last six.

Score prediction: Lynx 87, Liberty 84


πŸ’° Lynx vs. Liberty prediction & best bet

Lynx -1.5 (-112)

Minnesota continues to exceed expectations against these short road lines. It's 9-1 ATS in away games, covering by an average margin of 8.05 PPG. While Minnesota hasn’t faced New York yet this season, it's 3-0 ATS against the Aces and Dream, who are also top-four teams in the W.

Lynx -1.5 (-108) is the best line available among top sports betting sites. However, I’ll use the -1.5 (-112) at DraftKings for my personal tracking, as most readers don’t have access to the -108 line, and it would be misleading to track a bet that very few can get down on.


πŸ”₯ Best Lynx vs. Liberty player prop bet

Pauline Astier Under 7.5 points (-106)

While Astier is averaging 10.1 PPG on the season, she is averaging just 8 PPG since Sabrina Ionescu returned from injury on June 14. While she goes over this line on occasion - she is 3-5 to the Over since Ionescu came back - she struggles to string together back-to-back strong performances on offense. She has scored seven or fewer points in each of her last three games after scoring 10-plus, and she just put up 15 against the Aces on Tuesday.

FanDuel lists Astier Under 7.5 points at -106, the best line available on top sports betting apps. If you do not have access to a FanDuel account, there is still value in playing Under 7.5 points (-112) at Caesars.


πŸš€ Lynx vs. Liberty same-game parlay

Parlaying these three bets at DraftKings pays +400.

💵 Lynx vs. Liberty SGP picks

  • Lynx -1.5
  • Under 174.5
  • Pauline Astier Under 7.5 points

Odds: +400 via DraftKings


πŸ’΅ My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks have been tracked since May 8.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 26-37 -12.59 units βŒ -16.1% βŒ
Spreads 7-11 -8.5 units βŒ -23.1% βŒ
Totals 9-10 -0.05 units βŒ -0.4% βŒ
Player props 9-10 -3.23 units βŒ -11.7% βŒ
Parlays 1-6 -0.81 units βŒ -37.6% βŒ

πŸ“Š Live Lynx vs. Liberty odds


πŸš‘ Lynx vs. Liberty injuries

Injury report last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

Lynx

  • Emma Cechova (knee) - out
  • Napheesa Collier (ankle) - out
  • Dorka Juhasz (foot) - doubtful

Liberty

  • Satou Sabally (concussion) - out

πŸ“Ί How to watch Lynx vs. Liberty

  • Date: Friday, July 3
  • Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, N.Y.)
  • TV: ION