Roughriders vs. Redblacks Prediction & Odds: CFL Week 5 Betting Preview

My Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction breaks down the best CFL bets I'm backing tonight in Ottawa.
Saskatchewan Roughriders short-yardage quarterback Tommy Stevens (17) celebrates as we break down our Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction.
Pictured: Saskatchewan Roughriders short-yardage quarterback Tommy Stevens (17) celebrates as we break down our Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction. Photo by John E. Sokolowski / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Roughriders Capitalize on Run Game in Ottawa

My Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction includes Roughriders -5.5 (-108) and Over 56.5 (-120). Quali Conley and Tommy Stevens should be productive enough in the red zone to make up for A.J. Ouellette's absence - if he doesn't play - while the Redblacks have allowed 37 or more points in each of their last two games.


🏈 Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction: CFL picks

See all of our experts' CFL picks based on the latest CFL odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Roughriders -5.5 (-108 via DraftKings) 2.16u → 2u Conley and Stevens should be productive enough in the red zone to make up for Ouellette's absence (if he doesn't play).
Over 56.5 (-120 via DraftKings) 0.6u → 0.5u The Redblacks have allowed 37+ points in back-to-back games.

Total wagered: 2.76 units | Max profit: 2.5 units

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🏆 Who will win Roughriders vs. Redblacks?

I like the Roughriders to beat the Redblacks by eight points tonight. While I would love to come up with a super-specific advanced stat to prove my point, the reality is that the defending champions should almost always be favored over a winless team that missed the playoffs last season.

There's value in playing Roughriders ML (-235 via FanDuel), but many readers don't like laying -200 or higher, so I'm playing the spread as my best bet.

Score prediction: Roughriders 35, Redblacks 27


💰 Roughriders vs. Redblacks prediction & best bet

Roughriders -5.5 (-108)

Ottawa allows the second-most rushing yards per game (119.3) and should struggle to stay competitive with a Roughriders team that's been productive on the ground in the red zone. While Ouellette's questionable, Conley rushed for a 17-yard touchdown against Toronto, and Stevens has found the end zone three times over the last two games.

The best line available among the top sports betting sites is Roughriders -5.5 (-104). However, I'll use -5.5 (-108) for my personal tracking, as it's a widely available line, and it would be misleading to track a bet at a sportsbook that most readers can't access.


🔥 More Roughriders vs. Redblacks picks

Over 56.5 (-120)

I can't emphasize this enough: The Redblacks' defense has just been letting teams walk down the field. It's allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game (337.3) - Trevor Harris ranks third in the CFL with 1,175 passing yards this season - and has allowed 37 or more points in two straight games.

The Roughriders' offense, meanwhile, hasn't taken a step back after winning the Grey Cup. It's scored 34 or more points in each of its last two games, with Saskatchewan going 3-0 to the Over this season. Over 56.5 (-120) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.


🚀 Roughriders vs. Redblacks same-game parlay

Parlaying these two bets at DraftKings pays +254.

💵 Roughriders vs. Redblacks SGP picks

  • Roughriders -5.5
  • Over 56.5

Odds: +254 via DraftKings


📊 Live Roughriders vs. Redblacks odds


📈 Roughriders vs. Redblacks betting trends

Roughriders Statistic Redblacks
2-1 W-L record 0-3
2-1 ATS record 1-2
3-0 O/U record 2-1
L, 40-34 at Argonauts Previous result L, 37-35 at Alouettes

🌤️ Roughriders vs. Redblacks weather

Temperatures in Ottawa tonight will be around 87°F. There is a 43% chance of precipitation, and wind gusts are forecast to reach 20 mph. The combination of high heat and the possibility of rain could affect ball security, but there's no guarantee it will rain.


📺 How to watch Roughriders vs. Redblacks

  • Date: Friday, July 3
  • Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: TD Place Stadium (Ottawa)
  • TV: TSN, CFL+