CFL Division Finals Best Bets: Top Picks Against the Spread This Week
The three best quarterbacks this season are all in action this weekend as I break down my CFL division finals best bets.
The action kicks off Saturday with the potentially short-handed Blue Bombers visiting the Alouettes in the East Division final at 3 p.m. ET, followed by the Elks hosting the Lions in the West final at 6:30 p.m. ET.
CFL division finals best bets
See the latest CFL odds and our experts' CFL picks.
| Matchup | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Bombers vs. Alouettes | Alouettes -8.5 (-108 via DraftKings) | 1.62 units to profit 1.5 units |
| Lions vs. Elks | Lions -1.5 (-107 via Caesars) | 2.14 units to profit 2 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 5 at 1:29 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3.76 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
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Best CFL bet this week
Lions vs. Elks prediction: Lions -1.5 (-107)
This matchup is pretty much the best offense in the West facing the best defense. People like to say that defense wins championships, but I'm not buying that. The Tiger-Cats had the best defense in the East, and they didn't even make the playoffs.
Now, I'm not saying that offense is everything - I think it accounts for about 60% of the game, though - but this Lions offense has looked unstoppable since Rourke returned from injury in Week 10. Excluding the final game of the regular season, when he rested, the Lions have gone 9-2 straight up, with a +7 average scoring margin.
⏰️ Set your alarm: Lions vs. Elks
- Date: Saturday, Nov. 7
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- How to watch: TSN, CFL+
| Lions | Elks | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-107 via Caesars) | +1.5 (-105 via theScore Bet) |
| Moneyline | -120 via theScore Bet | +109 via Pinnacle |
| Total | Over 56.5 (-113 via BetRivers) | Under 57.5 (-108 via DraftKings) |
More CFL picks for division finals
Blue Bombers vs. Alouettes prediction: Alouettes -8.5 (-108)
The Blue Bombers were somewhat lucky to win straight up in Toronto in the Eastern Semifinal.
Winnipeg started Dru Brown instead of the injured Zach Collaros, Chad Kelly was forced to leave the game with a shoulder injury, and the Argonauts fumbled a punt return while leading by five points with 1:42 remaining.
The Blue Bombers are likely out of luck. Collaros was in street clothes for Thursday's practice, and I believe it's unlikely that he'll suit up. So, it'll be Brown again, facing the best offense in the CFL, led by Davis Alexander, who closed as the favorite in the Most Outstanding Player odds. This shouldn't be close.
⏰️ Set your alarm: Blue Bombers vs. Alouettes
- Date: Saturday, Nov. 7
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- How to watch: TSN, CFL+
| Blue Bombers | Alouettes | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-103 via Pinnacle) | -8.5 (-108 via DraftKings) |
| Moneyline | +400 via theScore Bet | -395 via DraftKings |
| Total | Over 57.5 (-115 via theScore Bet) | Under 58.5 (-109 via Caesars) |
My betting record for CFL picks
CFL picks have been tracked since June 4.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-31-1 | +12.41 units | 12.7% |
| Moneyline | 1-0 | +2 units | 100% |
| Spread | 23-15-1 | +13.21 units | 16.4% |
| Total | 12-16 | -2.8 units | -18.3% |
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