Mystics vs. Aces Prediction: WNBA Picks & Best Bets for Tonight (Thursday, Aug. 13)
📡 SBR Edge: No Zigzag Over Here
My Mystics vs. Aces prediction includes Aces -5.5 (-112) and Jackie Young Over 20.5 points (+100). Washington should continue to regress toward the mean after snapping its eight-game winning streak, while Young has scored 24 or more points in both meetings between these teams this season.
🏀 Mystics vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -5.5 (-112 via DraftKings) | 2.24u → 2u | The Mystics should continue to regress toward the mean after snapping their 8-game win streak. |
| Over 170.5 (-105 via DraftKings) | 0.53u → 0.5u | The market is slightly overreacting to Tuesday's opener going Under. |
| Jackie Young Over 20.5 points (+100 via FanDuel) | 1.5u → 1.5u | Young has scored 24+ points in both meetings this season. |
Total wagered: 4.27 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Mystics vs. Aces?
I like the Aces to beat the Mystics by 10 points today in the second game of their two-game set in Las Vegas. The Aces won Tuesday's opener by 10 points and never had a win probability below 56.1%, per ESPN Analytics. The Aces have the second-shortest WNBA championship odds, while the Mystics have the eighth-shortest, so it's no surprise that Las Vegas is favored on The Strip.
Score prediction: Aces 91, Mystics 81
💰 Mystics vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Aces -5.5 (-112)
A lot of bettors like to zigzag in series (most notably in the NBA playoffs and during MLB doubleheaders), and while it used to be profitable in the NBA, the market has become more efficient, especially after PASPA was overturned. I say that to say this: There's no revenge angle here.
The Aces are by far the better team - for example, Las Vegas has a +3.6 point differential compared to -0.8 for Washington - and this spread should be higher after the Aces covered in Tuesday's opener. Aces -5.5 (-112) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🔥 Best Mystics vs. Aces player prop bet
Jackie Young Over 20.5 points (+100)
Not only has Young scored 22 or more points in *checks game log* eight of her last 10 games, but she has owned the Mystics this season.
She has scored 24 or more points in both meetings this season, including a 25-point performance in Tuesday's opener. What has fundamentally changed since these two meetings to make us believe that Young won't likely score 21 or more points?
Young Over 20.5 points (+100) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting apps, but I believe the fair (no-vig) odds should be Over 20.5 (-113).
🚀 Mystics vs. Aces same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at DraftKings pays +450.
💵 Mystics vs. Aces SGP picks
- Aces -5.5
- Over 170.5
- Jackie Young Over 20.5 points
Odds: +450 via DraftKings
📊 Live Mystics vs. Aces odds
📺 How to watch Mystics vs. Aces
- Date: Thursday, Aug. 13
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: Prime Video
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