Lions vs. Stampeders Prediction & Odds: CFL Week 11 Expert Picks for Thursday, Aug. 13
📡 SBR Edge: Stampeders Lose Again to a Starting QB
My Lions vs. Stampeders prediction includes Lions +3.5 (-109) and Under 63.5 (-105). Calgary's only wins after Week 5 have come against backup quarterbacks, while the Lions have allowed 26 or fewer points in five straight games.
🏈 Lions vs. Stampeders prediction: CFL picks
See all of our experts' CFL picks based on the latest CFL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Lions +3.5 (-109 via Caesars) | 2.18u → 2u | The Stampeders' only wins after Week 5 have come against backup QBs. |
| Under 63.5 (-105 via BetMGM) | 0.53u → 0.5u | The Lions have allowed 26 or fewer points in 5 straight games. |
Total wagered: 2.71 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
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🏆 Who will win Lions vs. Stampeders?
I like the Lions to beat the Stampeders by one point today. Nathan Rourke is back for BC after missing two games with a shoulder injury, and he led BC to a win over the Tiger-Cats in Week 10. Last year's Most Outstanding Player threw for 370 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception in that game and has a strong chance of upsetting his former teammate, Vernon Adams Jr., this time around.
Score prediction: Lions 31, Stampeders 30
💰 Lions vs. Stampeders prediction & best bet
Lions +3.5 (-109)
While there's value on Lions ML (+179 via Pinnacle), I'm taking the points with BC as my best bet, as it has a higher probability of hitting.
The Stampeders are just 2-3 ATS in their last five games, and both of those covers came against backup quarterbacks in Winnipeg and Hamilton.
Adams got the win over Rourke when the former teammates faced off in Week 4, but it'll be tough for him to beat the 2025 MOP twice in one season. Lions +3.5 (-109) at Caesars is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
🚨 Alberta: Sports betting is now live!
Regulated sports betting in Alberta officially launched July 13, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.
To see which sportsbooks are available for betting on your Stampeders - and how to sign up - see our list of the best Alberta betting apps.
🔥 More Lions vs. Stampeders picks
Under 63.5 (-105)
The Lions' defense has performed much better than BC's 3-5 record would indicate. BC has allowed 26 or fewer points in each of its last five games, going 3-2 to the Under in that span.
A defense on a team that has won just 37.5% of its games usually wouldn't rank first in opponent yards per game (345.5) and opponent rushing yards per game (60.5). The Stampeders scored 41 points against this defense in Week 4, but it has played much better since, and it's unlikely Calgary even scores 34 this time around.
Under 63.5 (-105) at BetMGM is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🚀 Lions vs. Stampeders same-game parlay
Parlaying these two bets at Caesars pays +265.
💵 Lions vs. Stampeders SGP picks
- Lions +3.5
- Under 63.5
Odds: +265 via Caesars
💵 My betting record for CFL picks
All CFL picks have been tracked since June 4.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | -2.08 units ❌ | -5.2% ❌ |
| Spreads | 8-7 | +0.94 units ✅ | 2.9% ✅ |
| Totals | 5-10 | -3.02 units ❌ | -37% ❌ |
📊 Live Lions vs. Stampeders odds
📈 Lions vs. Stampeders betting trends
| Lions | Statistic | Stampeders |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | W-L record | 4-5 |
| 2-6 | ATS record | 4-5 |
| 5-3 | O/U record | 8-1 |
| W, 27-24 vs. Tiger-Cats | Previous result | L, 33-30 @ Argonauts |
📺 How to watch Lions vs. Stampeders
- Date: Thursday, Aug. 13
- Kickoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: McMahon Stadium (Calgary, Alberta)
- TV: CBS Sports Network, TSN
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