Mercury vs. Storm Predictions, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Today: Aug. 17

Our Mercury vs. Storm predictions believe Phoenix will rise up on the road today.
Mercury vs. Storm predictions
Pictured Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas reacts after a play as we look at our Mercury vs. Storm predictions. Photo by Emily Faith Morgan / Imagn.

The Phoenix Mercury (19-13) hope to halt a two-game slide when they visit the Seattle Storm (17-17) at 6 p.m. ET (WNBA League Pass) on Sunday at Climate Pledge Arena.

Phoenix, a potential spoiler in the WNBA championship odds, has dropped two straight games to the Atlanta Dream and Las Vegas Aces. The Storm recently snapped a six-game skid with a tight win over the Dream on Friday.

Sunday’s clash is tough to call from a betting perspective, but we're siding with the visitors in our Mercury vs. Storm predictions.

🔮 Mercury vs. Storm predictions: WNBA expert picks

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area to help with your WNBA picks!

✅ Moneyline pick: Mercury (-118 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Mercury -1 (-110 via
Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 164 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

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🆚 Who will win Mercury vs. Storm?

✅ Moneyline pick: Mercury will win (-118 via DraftKings)

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Seattle has won the last two head-to-head meetings, taking a 2-1 lead in the season series. However, the Mercury have yet to face the Storm with a healthy lineup featuring all three of their best players.

I expect the Mercury’s talent to prevail in this spot.

💰 Mercury vs. Storm best bet & WNBA predictions

Mercury vs. Storm predictions
Pictured: Phoenix Mercury forward Satou Sabally is key to our Mercury vs. Storm predictions. Photo by Rick Scuteri via Imagn Images.

🪐 Mercury -1 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.09)

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The Storm snapped their losing streak in Atlanta on Friday, but they had to hold off a late push by the Dream, who scored 23 points in the fourth quarter of an 80-78 affair. Seattle has now played in six games decided by four points or fewer across its previous seven outings.

All these close battles will eventually catch up to the Storm, and this might be as good a spot as any. It is a peculiar travel schedule, where the Storm flew to Atlanta for one road game on Friday before returning home. The Mercury, who lost at home to the Las Vegas Aces on Friday, might have the travel edge.

More importantly, I believe in Phoenix’s potential with Alyssa Thomas, Satou Sabally, and Kahleah Copper all in the lineup for the first time against Seattle. The Storm could lack the firepower to keep pace in a potential back-and-forth battle.

I’ll take the short price with the better team on Sunday.

👀 Mercury vs. Storm player prop

⬆️ Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -125 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8)


It’s always worth considering Alyssa Thomas’ assist prop, especially when the line is trading at 8.5. Thomas is averaging nine assists per game this season, clearing this line in four of her past five outings.

If you expect the Mercury to win on Sunday, this might be the best angle. Thomas is averaging 9.9 assists in wins compared to 7.5 in losses this season.

📈 Mercury vs. Storm betting insights

Here are some betting insights in the hours before tipoff:

  • The moneyline has swayed significantly at our best sports betting sites, with the Mercury starting as the -120 favorites before moving to around even money
  • Similarly, the spread has gone from -1.5 in favor of the Mercury to them now getting +1.5
  • The Storm are generating most of the attention among spread bettors while getting 63% of the action
  • There's been little movement tied to the total, as it's stayed around the opening number of 164.5, with nearly even action on both sides

🏀 Mercury vs. Storm odds today

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

💡Expert WNBA picks today

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