Dream vs. Valkyries Prediction: Tonight's WNBA Picks for Friday, June 26

My Dream vs. Valkyries prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
Atlanta Dream forward Naz Hillmon (00) reacts as we break down our Dream vs. Valkyries prediction.
Pictured: Atlanta Dream forward Naz Hillmon (00) reacts as we break down our Dream vs. Valkyries prediction. Photo by Brett Davis / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: It Was Written That Naz Would Go Under

My Dream vs. Valkyries prediction includes Valkyries +2 (-110) and Naz Hillmon Under 7.5 points (+100). Golden State's home-court advantage is being undervalued by the market, while Hillmon has played a smaller role in the offense over the last couple of games.


πŸ€ Dream vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick βš–οΈ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Valkyries +2 (-110 via Caesars) 2.2u β†’ 2u The Valkyries are 6-4-1 ATS at home.
Over 164.5 (-105 via BetMGM) 0.53u β†’ 0.5u The Dream have allowed 87 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games.
Naz Hillmon Under 7.5 points (+100 via DraftKings) 1.5u β†’ 1.5u Hillmon has attempted 4 or fewer shots in back-to-back games.

Total wagered: 4.23 units | Max profit: 4 units

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πŸ† Who will win Dream vs. Valkyries?

The Dream have the fourth-shortest WNBA championship odds, so I understand why they're favored, but I like the Valkyries to win by three points at home today.

Golden State beat Atlanta by 11 points in the opener of this two-game set on Wednesday. While I'm not projecting another lopsided win for the Valkyries, they are 8-3 straight up at Chase Center, so they should be able to defend home court once again.

Score prediction: Valkyries 87, Dream 84


πŸ’° Dream vs. Valkyries prediction & best bet

Valkyries +2 (-110)

The market is not respecting how tough of an out the Valkyries are at home. They’re 6-4-1 ATS at Chase Center this season and have won six of their last seven games in San Francisco straight up.

Golden State easily covered in the opener of this two-game set and had a 68.3% win probability by the 2:27 mark of the first quarter. The Valkyries, who allow the fewest points per game (78.6) in the W, were all over Jordin Canada, Allisha Gray, and Angel Reese, holding the trio to a combined 8-for-32 (25%) from the field.


πŸ”₯ Best Dream vs. Valkyries player prop bet

Naz Hillmon Under 7.5 points (+100)

I’m not sure if Hillmon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but she has become less and less involved in the offense recently. She has attempted four or fewer shots in each of her last two games, scoring six or fewer points in each outing.

What’s more concerning for anyone considering taking Overs on Hillmon is that her minutes have also decreased in each of her last three games. In the opener of this two-game set, she scored two points on one field goal attempt in just 16 minutes.

Hillmon Under 7.5 points (+100) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.

🏀 More WNBA player props today

Our LJ Blut features Sonia Citron in his Mystics vs. Sun prediction.


πŸš€ Dream vs. Valkyries same-game parlay

Parlaying these three bets at DraftKings pays +625.

💵 Dream vs. Valkyries SGP picks

  • Valkyries +1.5 (-108)
  • Over 164.5 (-110)
  • Naz Hillmon Under 7.5 points (+100)

Best odds: +625 via DraftKings


πŸ“Š Live Dream vs. Valkyries odds


πŸš‘ Dream vs. Valkyries injuries

Injury report last updated at 6:45 p.m. ET.

Dream

  • Brionna Jones (knee) out
  • Aaliyah Nye (knee) out

Valkyries

  • None

πŸ“Ί How to watch Dream vs. Valkyries

  • Date: Friday, June 26
  • Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
  • TV: ION

πŸ’΅ My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks have been tracked since May 8.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 20-34 -16.17 units βŒ -24.8% βŒ
Spreads 5-10 -10.26 units βŒ -34.1% βŒ
Totals 7-9 -0.52 units βŒ -5.2% βŒ
Player props 7-9 -4.58 units βŒ -20.1% βŒ
Parlays 1-6 -0.81 units βŒ -37.6% βŒ