WNBA Championship Odds & Prediction 2026: Lynx Lead Aces & Liberty Heading into All-Star Break
After opening at +420, the Lynx are a +120 betting favorite in the 2026 WNBA championship odds heading into the All-Star break.
Below, we take a look at the live WNBA championship odds, make my prediction for who will win outright, and analyze which teams are taking big money heading into the break.
📊 Live WNBA championship odds 2026
Our 2026 WNBA championship odds update in real time based on the latest WNBA odds.
The Lynx have the best record in the W (22-6), and Olivia Miles has been much more productive than originally expected, so it's no surprise they're a +120 favorite to win outright.
The defending champion Aces have the second-shortest odds at +400. While they have just the third-best record in the league (18-8), behind the 19-8 Valkyries, A'ja Wilson is the favorite in the WNBA MVP odds, and they've won the finals in three of the past four seasons.
The 2024 champions, the Liberty (15-12), have the third-shortest odds at +750 after winning the Commissioner's Cup on June 30.
💰 WNBA championship prediction
It's tough to bet against the Lynx (+120) heading into the break. They lead the W with a +8.6 point differential, score the second-most points per game (91.5), and allow the second-fewest (82.8).
While I don't usually put this much faith in a team that has a rookie as a top-two option, Miles has been historic, becoming the fastest player to reach 500 points and 150 assists in just 26 games. With Napheesa Collier scoring 24 points in her return on Wednesday, the Lynx could potentially be even more dominant coming out of the break.
Best bet: Lynx to win outright (+120 via bet365)
🤑 WNBA championship betting splits
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Team | Odds | Bet % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fever | +1500 | 24.3% | 25.8% |
| Lynx | +135 | 13.2% | 17.9% |
| Aces | +325 | 12.5% | 14.8% |
| Liberty | +600 | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Valkyries | +900 | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Wings | +1600 | 6.8% | 12.1% |
| Dream | +1200 | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Tempo | +40000 | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Mystics | +17500 | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Mercury | +50000 | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Sky | +75000 | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Fire | +35000 | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Storm | +100000 | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Sun | +75000 | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sparks | +25000 | <0.1% | <0.1% |
To no one's surprise, Caitlin Clark and the Fever account for both the highest percentage of tickets (24.3%) and handle (25.8%) at BetMGM to win the WNBA championship.
While liquidity isn't very high in these markets this early in the season - FanDuel is taking just over $2,500 per bet on the Lynx (+110) - we can see where bigger bettors are placing their money through these splits. The most lopsided splits (higher handle percentage than ticket percentage) belong to the Wings, followed by the Lynx, Aces, and Liberty.
🔢 WNBA championship opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
| Team | Opening odds | Team | Opening odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces | +320 | Wings | +3300 |
| Fever | +350 | Sparks | +4000 |
| Lynx | +420 | Mystics | +5000 |
| Liberty | +420 | Sky | +15000 |
| Mercury | +900 | Sun | +15000 |
| Storm | +1900 | Fire | +17500 |
| Dream | +2200 | Tempo | +17500 |
| Valkyries | +2500 |
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
