Aces vs. Sky Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, June 28
The Chicago Sky (6-12) aim for their first three-game win streak of the season, as they host the Las Vegas Aces (13-5) at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday at the United Center in Chicago on CBS.
Coming off back-to-back wins over the Portland Fire, the Sky are 7.5-point underdogs against the Aces, who are among the WNBA championship odds favorites. My Aces vs. Sky prediction isn't counting on an upset, but I do expect the hosts to hang around on Sunday.
🏀 Aces vs. Sky prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sky +7.5 (-110 via DraftKings) | 0.5u → 0.44u | The Sky are playing better of late, going 6-1 ATS since June 9. |
| Under 178.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.44u | Chicago hasn't had a total this high all season. |
| Skylar Diggins Over 14.5 points (-109 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.92u | Diggins has cleared this line in six of the eight Sky games decided by single digits this year. |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.8 units
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🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Sky?
I predict the Aces to secure a six-point road win over the Sky on Sunday. Las Vegas has actually performed better on the road this season, posting an 8-2 clip away from home with a net rating of +8.6. The Aces should have enough firepower to prevail.
Score prediction: Aces 92, Sky 86
💰 Aces vs. Sky prediction & best bet
Sky +7.5 (-110)
At +7.5 or better, I'm interested in backing the Sky as home underdogs. They are playing much better of late, going 6-1 against the spread since June 9. They are 4-0 as an underdog over that span.
During that stretch, Chicago's net rating is just +1.6. More importantly, the Sky rank fourth in offensive rating across their past seven outings.
Given the Aces are vulnerable on the defensive end (eighth in defensive rating), I like Chicago's chances of scoring enough to stay within striking distance. Give me the points.
🏀 More WNBA action
For more WNBA action, check out my Lynx vs. Wings prediction.
🔥 Best Aces vs. Sky player prop bet
Skylar Diggins Over 14.5 points (-109)
Betting on Skylar Diggins' points prop is the move, especially if you believe in the Sky to keep things close. Chicago has only had eight games decided by single digits this season, and Diggins has cleared this scoring line in six of those contests.
In addition, this is a favorable matchup for Diggins. According to Props Madness, the Aces rank 14th in defending pick-and-roll ball-handlers. That's how Diggins earns 25% of her scoring production. They are also 11th in transition, where she gets 19% of her scoring output.
With opponents more focused on rookie Sydney Taylor, Diggins could exploit some mismatches. This prop is painted 14.5 across the board, but DraftKings offers the best value on the Over.
🚀 Aces vs. Sky same-game parlay
I'm drinking the Chicago kool-aid for Sunday's matinee matchup. The Sky are in much better form, but they remain undervalued by the market. So, my Aces vs. Sky parlay has opted to take the points with the home underdog and back Diggins to lead the way. This SGP comes out to +525 at DraftKings.
💵 Aces vs. Sky SGP picks
- Sky +7.5 (-110)
- Under 178.5 (-110)
- Skylar Diggins Over 14.5 points (-109)
Best odds: +525 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 0.52u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 43-53-1 | +6.58 units ✅ | 9.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 17-10 | +5.66 units ✅ | 21% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-22 | -1.69 units ❌ | -70.3% ❌ |
📊 Live Aces vs. Sky odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Sky
- Date: Sunday, June 28
- Tipoff: 4 p.m. ET
- Location: United Center (Chicago)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
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