Aces vs. Lynx Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, Aug. 8
My Aces vs. Lynx prediction is counting on a bounce-back performance from Minnesota in what could be a WNBA Finals preview.
The Lynx, who blew a fourth-quarter lead last time out, are a 4.5-point betting favorite today in a matchup between the top WNBA championship odds favorites. Tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+).
🏀 Aces vs. Lynx prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx -4.5 (-105 via Hard Rock Bet) | 1u → 0.95u | The Lynx have a 12-5 clip with a net rating of +10.1 in home games this year. |
| Lynx -1.5 first-half spread (-125 via theScore Bet) | 1u → 0.8u | I expect a motivated Minnesota performance from the start after coughing up a late lead to the Sparks. |
| Napheesa Collier Over 2.5 assists (-145 via bet365) | 0.5u → 0.35u | Napheesa Collier has averaged 4.5 assists across her past four games. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.1 units
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🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Lynx?
I predict the Lynx to win by seven points against the Aces on Saturday. Minnesota might actually run Las Vegas off the court. This is not a favorable spot for the Aces, who have a quick turnaround after an improbable overtime win on Thursday. Meanwhile, Minnesota is hungry after losing to the Los Angeles Sparks.
Score prediction: Lynx 95, Aces 88
💰 Aces vs. Lynx prediction & best bet
Lynx -1.5 first-half spread (-125)
I like the value on the full-game line, but the bigger edge is Minnesota's first-half spread at -2.5 or better.
Head coach Cheryl Reeve called out the entire team following Thursday's fourth-quarter collapse to the Sparks. The WNBA Coach of the Year favorite understands what buttons to push and when to push them, so I expect an inspired start from the Lynx against a fatigued Aces squad.
Plus, Minnesota is 25-7 with a net rating of +13.1 in the first half of games this year.
🔥 Best Aces vs. Lynx player prop bet
Napheesa Collier Over 2.5 assists (-145)
Lynx forward Napheesa Collier has kept her teammates involved since returning to the lineup. Across the last four games since the All-Star break, Collier has averaged 4.5 assists per contest. She's cleared this prop three times in her previous four outings.
I don't mind the steep vig for that to continue, especially given the matchup. With Collier facing A'ja Wilson for the first time all year, I could see her firing an extra pass or two. Last season, Collier dished eight assists across her final two meetings with the Aces.
This Over is worth backing at -150 or better.
🚀 Aces vs. Lynx same-game parlay
All three of the Lynx's wins over the Aces last year came by 13 or more points. They even won one matchup by as many as 53 points. All signs point toward another impressive win by Minnesota on Saturday, given the circumstances. That's why my parlay backs the Lynx to start in front and stay in complete control.
💵 Aces vs. Lynx SGP picks
- Lynx -4.5 (-115)
- Lynx -2.5 first-half spread (-108)
- Napheesa Collier 15-plus points (-420)
Best odds: +194 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.19u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 80-103-1 | +7.14 units ✅ | 5.6% ✅ |
| Player props | 29-19 | +8.75 units ✅ | 18.3% ✅ |
| Parlays | 5-40 | -2.18 units ❌ | -48.4% ❌ |
📊 Live Aces vs. Lynx odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Lynx
- Date: Saturday, Aug. 8
- Tipoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
