Sparks vs. Lynx Prediction: WNBA Picks for Thursday, Aug. 6
📡 SBR Edge: Sparks Off Target in Minneapolis
My Sparks vs. Lynx prediction includes Lynx -16.5 (-108) and Erica Wheeler Under 8.5 points (-106). The last time Minnesota played a team on L.A.'s level - the Tempo - it won by 32 points. Wheeler, meanwhile, is attempting just 7.5 field goals per game over her last four outings.
🏀 Sparks vs. Lynx prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx -16.5 (-108 via FanDuel) | 2.16u → 2u | The last time the Lynx played a team at a similar level - the Tempo - they won by 32 points. |
| Under 188.5 (-115 via Caesars) | 0.58u → 0.5u | The Lynx are allowing just 83.4 points per game this season. |
| Erica Wheeler Under 8.5 points (-106 via DraftKings) | 1.59u → 1.5u | Wheeler has attempted just 7.5 field goals per game over her last 4 outings. |
Total wagered: 4.33 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Sparks vs. Lynx?
I like the Lynx to win by 20 - yes, I said 20 - points today. Minnesota is the betting favorite in the WNBA championship odds, while Los Angeles has the third-longest odds. Not only are these teams on completely different levels talent-wise, but they're also heading in different directions. The Lynx have won 10 straight games, while the Sparks have lost seven of their last eight.
Score prediction: Lynx 103, Sparks 83
💰 Sparks vs. Lynx prediction & best bet
Lynx -16.5 (-108)
Minnesota has covered two of its three games since the All-Star break, and it's unlikely to underestimate the Sparks after nearly losing to the Tempo in its first game back.
In its next game, it beat the Tempo by 32 points, covering as a 12.5-point road favorite (equivalent to being a 16.5-point home favorite if each home court is worth 2 points). The Lynx are talented enough to win this game by 20+ points, and their recent scare should help them avoid overlooking the Sparks today.
Lynx -16.5 (-108) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🔥 Best Sparks vs. Lynx player prop bet
Erica Wheeler Under 8.5 points (-106)
While Wheeler's recent stats may look good on the surface - 12 or more points scored in each of her last three games - that's mainly due to luck and is unlikely to continue.
She has attempted just 7.5 shots per game over her last four outings, and with a 39% field-goal percentage and 28.7% 3-point percentage on the season, she's due for some regression toward the mean.
There's a reason the market has her listed this low, and it's not because she's likely to go Over again. Wheeler Under 8.5 points (-106) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
🏀 More WNBA player props today
I feature Jackie Young in my Aces vs. Fever prediction.
🚀 Sparks vs. Lynx same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at FanDuel pays +373.
💵 Sparks vs. Lynx SGP picks
- Lynx -16.5
- Under 188.5
- Erica Wheeler Under 8.5 points
Odds: +373 via FanDuel
📊 Live Sparks vs. Lynx odds
📺 How to watch Sparks vs. Lynx
- Date: Thursday, Aug. 6
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- TV: Prime Video
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