Mystics vs. Fever Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, Sept. 20
My Mystics vs. Fever prediction expects a close game today, with tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis set for 4 p.m. ET (NBA TV).
The Fever are a 6.5-point betting favorite, but the Mystics deserve more respect, with both teams having something to play for. Indiana has the fifth-shortest WNBA championship odds, while Washington has the longest odds.
🏀 Mystics vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Mystics +6.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 1 unit to win 0.91 units | The Mystics have covered the spread in both matchups of the season series with the Fever. |
| Under 178.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 0.5 units to win 0.44 units | Washington ranks No. 2 in defensive rating, and this is the highest total of the season series. |
| Sonia Citron Over 4.5 assists (-125 via BetRivers) | 1 unit to win 0.8 units | Sonia Citron has cleared this line in 10 of her previous 16 games across the past two months. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: +2.15 units
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🏆 Who will win Mystics vs. Fever?
I predict that the Fever will win by four points in a game that should come down to the wire on Sunday. Washington is in strong form right now, having won six of its last eight games. The Mystics can finish as high as the No. 6 seed by performing well in the home stretch, so don't be surprised when their key players see extended minutes.
Score prediction: Fever 90, Mystics 86
💰 Mystics vs. Fever prediction & best bet
Mystics +6.5 (-110)
Despite fielding the youngest roster in the league, the Mystics have been a reliable underdog this season. They are 23-17 against the spread, including 11-5 when getting at least 5.5 points.
Washington is 2-0 ATS in its season series with Indiana. The Mystics suffered a two-point road loss as 5.5-point underdogs on June 8. They won by two as 9.5-point home underdogs on May 15.
Given Washington's defensive identity (No. 2 in defensive rating), this is a tough matchup for Indiana to win by margin.
🔥 Best Mystics vs. Fever player prop bet
Sonia Citron Over 4.5 assists (-125)
Washington guard Sonia Citron has handled more on-ball responsibilities of late. She's averaged 5.4 assists on 10.6 potential dimes across the past two months, clearing this line in 10 of her 16 games.
That's an angle worth exploring in this matchup, as the Fever rank eighth in assists allowed. Citron recorded nine total assists in the previous two head-to-head matchups, clearing this line once.
With this game having such huge seeding implications, I expect Citron to see extra minutes. As such, it's not surprising to see this Over cost as much as -150 in the market. Give me the bargain at BetRivers.
🚀 Mystics vs. Fever same-game parlay
In order for the Mystics to keep things close, this is a game script that they must count on. Washington would prefer a lower-scoring matchup given its defensive identity. A track meet with Indiana isn't the move. Plus, Citron will need to continue leading an exciting young core. Sign me up for this +430 parlay.
💵 Mystics vs. Fever SGP picks
- Mystics +6.5 (-115)
- Under 178.5 (-110)
- Sonia Citron Over 4.5 assists (-140)
Best odds: +430 via FanDuel (0.1 units to win 0.43 units)
📊 Live Mystics vs. Fever odds
📺 How to watch Mystics vs. Fever
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 20
- Tipoff: 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- TV: NBA TV
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