Lynx vs. Fever Prediction: WNBA Picks for Tuesday, Sept. 22

My Lynx vs. Fever prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
Kelsey Mitchell attempts a triple as part of our Lynx vs. Fever predictions!
Kelsey Mitchell attempts a shot as we make our best Lynx vs. Fever predictions. Photo by Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images.
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My Lynx vs. Fever prediction sets the stage for a pivotal late regular-season matchup at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on ESPN.

The Lynx, who lead the WNBA championship odds, need one more win to clinch the No. 1 seed. But the Fever, 1.5-point favorites, also need to win to stay in the middle of the playoff bracket.


🏀 Lynx vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Bet size (units) 🧠 Why I bet this
Fever ML (-105 via bet365) 1u → 0.95u The Fever have the league's best offensive rating in home games this year.
Under 186.5 (-110 via BetMGM) 0.5u → 0.44u There should be some defensive intensity late in this game given the playoff seeding implications.
Kelsey Mitchell Over 25.5 points (-118 via DraftKings) 1u → 0.85u Kelsey Mitchell has cleared this scoring line in 19 of her last 25 games, averaging 28 points.

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.24 units

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🏆 Who will win Lynx vs. Fever?

I predict the Fever will win by four points against the Lynx on Tuesday. Indiana is 14-7 at home this year, leading the league with an offensive rating of 116.5. That is more than two points better than anyone else. The Lynx will have to score to keep pace, which I'm skeptical of given their recent form.

Score prediction: Fever 94, Lynx 90


💰 Lynx vs. Fever prediction & best bet

Fever ML (-105)

All of a sudden, Minnesota's grip on the No. 1 seed is in jeopardy. The Lynx must win one more game to clinch home-court advantage after dropping three of their last four.

The Lynx appear vulnerable entering the postseason. They've failed to score more than 81 points against a playoff team since Aug. 15. That's a concern ahead of tonight's track meet, considering how explosive the Fever have been at home.

Olivia Miles being questionable is another red flag, leading me to back Indiana at -110 or better.


🔥 Best Lynx vs. Fever player prop bet

Kelsey Mitchell Over 25.5 points (-118)

Indiana guard Kelsey Mitchell has been one of the most dynamic scorers in the league this season. She's scored at least 26 points in 19 of her last 25 games, averaging 28 points per contest over that span.

In her previous head-to-head showdown with Minnesota, Mitchell exploded for 37 points in an eight-point loss on Aug. 2. Mitchell can find holes in the Lynx's backcourt with her speed, especially if an injured Miles is able to play tonight.

This Over costs as much as -125 at FanDuel, so I like the idea of taking advantage of DraftKings' discount. Mitchell can play a key role in tonight's marquee matchup.


🚀 Lynx vs. Fever same-game parlay

My Lynx vs. Fever parlay bets on Indiana's offense at home. In addition to Mitchell's scoring line, there is value in backing Caitlin Clark's assist prop. Clark has recorded double-digit dimes in three of her past four games. All three legs of this SGP are extremely correlated.

💵 Lynx vs. Fever SGP picks

  • Fever ML (-105)
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 25.5 points (-130)
  • Caitlin Clark Over 9.5 assists (-105)

Best odds: +350 via bet365 (0.1u -> 0.35u)


📊 Live Lynx vs. Fever odds


📺 How to watch Lynx vs. Fever 

  • Date: Tuesday, Sept. 22
  • Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
  • TV: ESPN
  • Streaming: ESPN+