Who Will Win Survivor 49? Latest Odds & Prediction Heading Into The Season Finale

Can a major shakeup prevent a Savannah victory as we head into the final five?
Survivor host Jeff Probst poses as we look at who will win Survivor 49
Pictured: Survivor host Jeff Probst poses as we look at who will win Survivor 49. Photo by Anthony Behar/Sipa USA.
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We're down to the final five contestants as we head into the Survivor 49 finale, but is the winner essentially ordained? As we look at the latest odds to win Survivor 49, it looks like Savannah Louie has been all but crowned the victor. However, there are sure to be twists and turns as the action unfolds on Wednesday, Dec. 17, as other finalists will look to pad their resumes, avoid being outcast in the final votes, and sway the jury. 

Who will win Survivor? 

Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.


From the start of the season, Savannah has emerged as a serious threat. Armed with a silver tongue and strength in challenges, the former reporter created season-long alliances that have helped shield her and protect her (when she wasn't wearing an immunity necklace).

Survivor 49 final five

The original Uli has three members in the finale, with Savannah, Rizo Velovic, and Sage Ahrens-Nichols representing the tribe in the finale. The final five is rounded out by Kristina Mills (Hina) and Sophi Balerdi (Kele).

Missed opportunities?

While you can't take anything away from the gameplay of Savannah, who is seeing about 90% of the action on prediction markets, the story of the season will certainly be missed opportunities if she wins by an overwhelming jury vote. 

In recent weeks opportunities have presented themselves for other contestants to take shots at Rizo or Savannah, and all have been dismissed. Will Sage regret targeting Sophie to avenge Jawan when an opponent the likes of Savannah could have been targeted (again), or will Sophi end up regretting holding loyal and targeting Steven's advantage instead of Rizo's idol in the penultimate episode? The third into the alliance with Savannah and Rizo was gung-ho to shake things up before a night at sanctuary softened her stance. 

At this point, it seems like the value has disappeared on Savannah to win Survivor 49, with 90 cents on the win and only 11 cents on the no. 

However, should you be able to capture Rizo (currently 7 cents) or Sophi (currently 5 cents) in the 15 cent range, they'd probably be worth a flier in the event a twist takes Savannah out of the running, as both have sufficiently padded resumes to get over the finish line.


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