Oscars Best Actor Predictions 2024: Cillian Murphy is Huge Favorite Following SAGs

Which actor will win the 2024 Best Actor category at the Oscars? We make our best predictions, with Cillian Murphy dealing as the favorite.

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: March 8, 2024 10:58 AM EST • 3 minute read

Cillian Murphy accepts the award for best actor in a leading role for his role in "Oppenheimer" during the 96th Oscars at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood in Los Angeles on March 10, 2024.

Our best sportsbooks with the best Oscars odds have Cillian Murphy as a massive four-digit favorite following his many wins at the precursor events, including his most recent one at the SAGS.

Cillian Murphy's Best Actor Oscars odds is a massive favorite with the Oscars only a few days away.

Paul Giamatti was hovering around +200 a couple of weeks ago, but he's now as long as +750. Bradley Cooper holds down the third spot, but this race is over.

Here are our top Best Actor predictions for the 2024 Oscars (odds from our best sports betting apps).

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Best Lead Actor odds 2024

(Odds as of March 7)

Actor (Film)	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)	-1200	-1600 ❄️	-1200	-1000	-1000
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)	+550	+750 🔥	+575	+550	+550
Bradley Cooper (Maestro)	+1600	+2300 🔥	+1600	+1800	+1400 ❄️
Jeffrey Wright (American Ficition)	+8000	+6500 ❄️	+6600	+10000 🔥	+8000
Colman Domingo (Rustin)	+8000	+6500 ❄️	+6600	+10000 🔥	+8000

Best Actor predictions 2024

Cillian Murphy (-1000 via bet365)

As we expected, Murphy is a four-digit favorite at our best sports betting sites after his win at the SAGs. If you were comfortable paying the heavy juice on Murphy prior to that win, then you may have a ticket for him to win hovering in the -340 range.

However, I wouldn't blame you if that was too rich for your blood with a potential Giamatti win at the SAGs ruining everything. With Murphy essentially locked in alongside Robert Downey Jr., that gives "Oppenheimer" both the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor categories, along with Best Picture and Best Director.

Oscars betting odds pages

Oscars odds and predictions	Best Supporting Actor predictions	Best Original Score
Best Picture predictions	Best Supporting Actress predictions	Best Original Song
Best Director predictions	Best Original Screenplay
Best Lead Actor predictions	Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Lead Actress predictions	Best Animated Feature

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Written by:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.