Lions vs. Stampeders Picks, Predictions CFL Week 15: Can Calgary Finally Cover at Home?
The 8-3 B.C Lions head to Calgary to face the 8-4 Stampeders. Find out who we like in our Lions-Stampeders picks.
The Lions have been very good on the road at 4-1 against the spread. On the other hand, the Stampeders have been terrible at home with a record of 0-5 ATS. Can the Stampeders finally cover at home against a B.C. team that is struggling to find its rhythm without injured quarterback Nathan Rourke?
Here are our top picks for Week 15 Lions-Stampeders CFL action (odds via Fanduel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and BetMGM pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Lions vs. Stampeders Game Info
Date: Saturday, Sept. 17, 7 p.m. ET
Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Weather: 57 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 7 mph winds
Lions vs. Stampeders Odds Analysis
The Stampeders opened as -278 favorites on the moneyline. Since then, some action has come in on the Lions, dropping the Stampeders to -250 at FanDuel. If you like the Lions for the upset, you can still get them at +220 via BetMGM.
Even with the ML adjusting, the spread opened with Stampeders as 6.5-point favorites and remain the same on all books. While some of shops have it at -115, books like DraftKings still offer it at -110. If you’re on the Lions with the points, FanDuel has them at -105 odds.
Like many games this season, we haven’t seen much movement in the total since the opening line was posted. The game opened at 52.5 and remains there. If you like the Over, DraftKings has it at -105.
Lions vs. Stampeders Picks
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Lions vs. Stampeders ML Pick
Stampeders (-250) ★★★★★
The last time these teams met in Calgary on August 13, the Lions squeaked out a 41-40 win. However, those Lions were cooking as the best offense in the league with Rourke under center. This week, Vernon Adams Jr. will start for the Lions. In limited gameplay split between Lions and Montreal Alouettes, he’s thrown for 311 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions.
Jake Maier has played well since supplanting veteran Bo Levi Mitchell with 975 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions over the last four weeks.
Stampeders -6.5 (-110) ★★★
One of the things the Stampeders do very well is run the ball. Starting running back Ka’Deem Carey leads the league with 712 rushing yards. He also has the most rushing touchdowns by a running back with seven.\
The Lions haven’t covered the spread in two games since losing Rourke and that doesn’t change this week.
Lions vs. Stampeders O/U Pick
Under 52.5(-110) ★★★★
Since Rourke’s injury, the Lions have yet to have a game hit the Over. Despite the Stampeders hitting the Over in two of their last three games, I don’t think the Lions move the ball enough to keep up and cash the Over 52.5.
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Lions-Stampeders picks made 9/16/2022 at 9:51 p.m. ET