Aces vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, Aug. 9
My Aces vs. Liberty prediction doesn't expect a close matchup today.
Tipoff from Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y., is set for 12:30 p.m. ET (ABC). This won't be a WNBA championship odds preview. New York is a 9.5-point betting favorite, with Las Vegas expected to rest its best players.
🏀 Aces vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty -8.5 (-120 via Pinnacle) | 1u → 0.83u | The Aces have a net rating of -23.4 without their three best players. |
| Breanna Stewart Under 3.5 assists (-125 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.8u | Breanna Stewart will be able to score whenever she wants today. |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.63 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Liberty?
I predict the Liberty to win by 11 points against the Aces today. Las Vegas could be without A'ja Wilson, Chelsea Gray, and Jackie Young. All three players are listed as questionable on the injury report due to rest.
Score prediction: Liberty 95, Aces 84
💰 Aces vs. Liberty prediction & best bet
Liberty -8.5 (-120)
Las Vegas has no shot of being competitive without Wilson, Gray, and Young. According to Databallr, the Aces have a net rating of -23.4 in the 60 minutes without any of them on the court this year.
New York, meanwhile, has had Las Vegas' number of late. The Liberty are 4-2 straight up and against the spread against the Aces since the start of last season.
This game has blowout written all over it.
🔥 Best Aces vs. Liberty player prop bet
Breanna Stewart Under 3.5 assists (-125)
New York forward Breanna Stewart could probably score whenever she wants today. The Aces' defense is putrid when Wilson is off the floor. Their defensive rating is 5.6 points worse, per Databallr.
As a result, I'd be surprised if Stewart passes enough to clear this assist line. She's already failed to clear it in 18 of her 32 games, including three of her past four outings. The Aces actually rank second in assists allowed.
With this Under costing as much as -135 in the market, I like FanDuel's value to fade Stewart. She might be sitting on the bench for the entire fourth quarter.
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 91-108-1 | +12.23 units ✅ | 8.8% ✅ |
| Player props | 32-21 | +8.51 units ✅ | 16.6% ✅ |
| Parlays | 6-42 | -2.18 units ❌ | -45.5% ❌ |
📊 Live Aces vs. Liberty odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Liberty
- Date: Sunday, Aug. 9
- Tipoff: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, N.Y.)
- TV: ABC
Related Articles
