Best Reds vs. Dodgers Player Prop Picks for NL Wild Card Series Game 1

A rising Cincinnati team will attempt what would be a surprising upset, and we're diving into the matchup with our best Reds vs. Dodgers player props for NL Wild Card Series Game 1.

The Dodgers are the heavy moneyline favorites at -200 betting odds as we make our MLB picks ahead of first pitch Tuesday at 9:08 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium (ESPN). Los Angeles also enters the postseason sitting second in the World Series odds, and only narrowly behind the Philadelphia Phillies.

My Reds vs. Dodgers player props envision Los Angeles getting to Hunter Greene, and Blake Snell continuing to impress.

⚾ Best Reds vs. Dodgers player props

MLB player prop bets for NL Wild Card Series Game 1; Wild Card Round odds subject to change.

• Hunter Greene Under 5.5 strikeouts (+120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases (+120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Blake Snell Over 15.5 outs recorded  (+114 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Reds vs. Dodgers player prop picks

Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬇️ Hunter Greene Under 5.5 strikeouts (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Beyond Freddie Freeman, who we'll explore a little more below, there are a few other righty mashers in the Dodgers' lineup. That list always includes MLB MVP odds favorite Shohei Ohtani, who's posting a 1.076 OPS against righties. Then there's Max Muncy and his .923 OPS when facing a righty. Overall, the team owns a .770 OPS when a right-hander is on the mound (third).

The Dodgers then possess plenty of power to fight fire with their own napalm as Hunter Greene throws his imposing fastball. And Greene has shown he's susceptible to allowing loud contact with an average exit velocity that sits in just the 19th percentile, and a hard-hit rate in the 15th.

That vulnerability factored into a 7-0 Los Angeles win during Greene's last start against the Dodgers in late August, an appearance when he recorded just three strikeouts.

If that performance is repeated for one of our Reds vs. Dodgers player props, a $10 bet at these +120 odds through BetMGM would lead to a $12 payout, with an implied probability of 45.45%.

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⬆️ Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Feddie Freeman packs serious power against righties, with much of his home runs this season coming in that situation (16 of 24).

Of course, Greene isn't your garden-variety righty, and his trademark is searing heat with a fastball that averages 99.5 mph, which ranks in the 99th percentile leaguewide, according to Baseball Savant. But Freeman thrives against fire, and far more so than when facing any breaking pitch.

He posted a .310 batting average with a .536 expected slugging percentage against fastballs this season, and there's a chasm between that and his .235 batting average and .380 expected slugging against breaking pitches. Unsurprisingly, Greene leans on his blazing four-seamer heavily too while throwing it 54.2% of the time.

If Freeman tallies at least two bases, a $10 wager on these +120 betting odds would lead to a $12 profit, with an implied probability of 45.45%.

⬆️ Blake Snell Over 15.5 outs recorded (+114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There's a little more risk associated with backing any outs recorded Over for a starter during the postseason. The MLB playoffs are a whole different animal than the regular season in terms of managerial decisions. Matchups are played with even finer details, and the slightest hint of trouble can lead to a call to the bullpen.

However, that might not apply quite so much to the Dodgers, at least not with Blake Snell on the mound. He hasn't been officially announced as the starter yet, but Dave Roberts said it's a "pretty good bet," according to MLB.com.

It should be an easy decision, as Snell's brilliance since an early August return from injury has translated to a shining 2.35 ERA across 61 1/3 innings. He's also pitched into the sixth inning during six of his last seven starts, and he'd be the ideal candidate to keep the ball away from a 28th-ranked Dodgers bullpen for as long as possible. The southpaw who boasts a 10.6 K/9 gets to face a Reds lineup that's been struggling significantly against lefties too while posting a .653 OPS (25th).

A $10 bet using these +114 betting odds from DraftKings would translate to an $11.40 profit, with an implied probability of 46.73%.

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📊 Reds vs. Dodgers odds

Latest MLB odds updated live in real time.

📺️ How to watch Reds vs. Dodgers

When: Tuesday, Sept. 30
First pitch: 9:08 p.m. ET
Where: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles)
TV: ESPN