⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Tuesday, May 5
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Tuesday (May 5)
Don't look now, but yes, we are on a 12-3 run over our last eight days - let's stay hot and continue cashing on this fine Tuesday. We're targeting the Red Sox vs. Tigers and the Athletics vs. Phillies to get us six simple outs. Let's continue to throw up zeroes this season, shall we?
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: May 5
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox vs. Tigers NRFI (-120) | 2u β 1.66u | Tigers own .184 xBA vs. Moran |
| Athletics vs. Phillies NRFI (-110) | 1u -> 0.90u | Sanchez owns 32.1% K rate vs. Athletics |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.56 units
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π° Best NRFI bets today for Tuesday
Athletics vs. Phillies NRFI (-110) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Luis Severino (4.46 ERA) vs. Cristopher Sanchez (2.90 ERA)
- NRFI records: Athletics (14-20) vs. Phillies (14-21)
Here's a case of two of the best NRFI teams in baseball going head-to-head with a strong pitching matchup to boot. Sanchez is among the favorites on the Cy Young odds board and has dominated this Athletics lineup over the course of his career, limiting them to a .193 xwOBA while owning a 32% K rate across 28 plate appearances. If we can get by Jacob Wilson (.435 xBA), we should be in the clear. On the other side is Luis Severino, who's limited this struggling Phillies offense to a .255 xBA across 64 plate appearances. That should play. Fire this up as one of our best NRFI bets today.
🤑 More MLB props
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Tuesday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Red Sox vs. Tigers NRFI (-120) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Jovani Moran (2.33 ERA) vs. Framber Valdez (3.35 ERA)
- NRFI records: Red Sox (20-15) vs. Tigers (21-15)
Aside from getting roughed up by the Twins to the tune of six runs in the opening frame in early April, Valdez has been quietly cashing for us - I'm looking for him to do the same against a Red Sox lineup that isn't intimidating whatsoever. Limiting Boston to a .302 xwOBA across 77 at-bats, I'll fire this up with confidence. The Red Sox counter with an opener in Moran, who should be able to get through the first inning unscathed. While the sample size is limited (26 plate appearances), the Tigers still own just a .184 xBA against him. We'll take it and run.
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-21 | +5.78 units |
| NRFI picks | 21-19 | +4.30 units |
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (May 5)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
ποΈ MLB most-bet NRFIs today
Here are the most-bet NRFIs around MLB today, via BetMGM.
- White Sox at Angels (-130)
- Red Sox at Tigers (-130)
- Guardians at Royals (-110)
- Mets at Rockies (+115)
- Padres at Giants (-120)
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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