⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Monday, April 27
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Monday (April 27)
Sound the alarm, we are 5-1 over our last three days - let's stay hot to kick off Monday, shall we? We're targeting the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays and Mariners vs. Twins to get us six simple outs. Tons of swing-and-miss potential tonight. Let's throw up a few more zeroes.
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: April 27
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-155) | 2u ā 1.29u | Cease owns 32.2 K% vs. Red Sox |
| Mariners vs. Twins NRFI (-110) | 1u -> .90u | Twins own .278 xwOBA vs. Castillo |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.19 units
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š° Best NRFI bets today for Monday
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-155) - 7:07 p.m. ET
- Ranger Suarez (4.00 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (2.10 ERA)
- NRFI records: Red Sox (15-13) vs. Blue Jays (13-14)
Here's the thing - you can't score runs if you can't hit, and Cease is striking these Red Sox out at a 32.3% clip over 59 plate appearances. It helps that the right-hander has allowed just three earned runs across his last 16 innings pitched - that'll play. On the other side, Suarez has limited the Blue Jays to a .196 xBA across 30 at-bats. Let's get six simple outs.
🤑 More MLB props
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Monday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Mariners vs. Twins NRFI (-110) - 7:07 p.m. ET
- Luis Castillo (5.01 ERA) vs. Connor Prielipp (4.50 ERA)
- NRFI records: Mariners (10-19) vs. Twins (15-13)
Castillo's season hasn't gotten off to the best start, but he's in a prime spot to bounce back against a team he's notoriously owned over his career. Across 125 plate appearances, Minnesota owns just a .215 xBA while striking out at a 25% clip. That's gonna work for us. On the other side, Prielipp is coming off a strong debut against the Mets, striking out six across four innings. Let's ride this matchup with confidence when it comes to our best NRFI bets today.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | -3.52 units |
| NRFI picks | 14-17 | -1.45 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 27)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
ā NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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