MLB Projected Win Totals & Over/Under Wins Odds 2026: Picks For All 30 Teams

It's a bit earlier than I usually like to bet on this market, as we don't have access to the top projection models yet. However, that can also help us find bigger edges, which is exactly what we attempted to do with our look at the MLB projected win totals and Over/Under wins odds.

The usual suspects enter the spring with the highest win totals, while some teams look poised to sore Over numbers that are far too low.

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📊 MLB win totals odds 2025

We've shopped exclusively at FanDuel for our MLB projected win totals and Over/Under wins odds, but they're widely available at the best sports betting sites. We've sorted teams by division, and then listed them based on their 2025 record.

⚾ AL East win totals odds

⬆️ Toronto Blue Jays Over 88.5 wins

The Blue Jays finished with 94 wins last year and should at least be close to as good. They lost Bo Bichette but added Dylan Cease to the rotation, and a full season of Trey Yesavage should stabilize this total somewhere in the range of 90 wins.

✅ Prediction: Over 88.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)

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⬆️ New York Yankees Over 91.5 wins

The Yankees also finished with 94 wins last season, and based on projected WAR, look about even with the Blue Jays this season. I'd be more confident if this total was two wins lower at 89.5, but I can still see New York finishing with 92-94 victories in 2026.

✅ Prediction: Over 91.5 wins (-108 via FanDuel)  

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⬆️ Boston Red Sox Over 87.5 wins

Some may say the Red Sox overperformed by earning 89 wins last year. Even if that was true, I'd argue they got better this offseason despite losing Alex Bregman. The rotation got the key additions of Ranger Suarez and Sonny Gray, and Boston's pitching is actually projected to produce the most WAR among all teams this season. Prepare for an ultra-competitive AL East.

✅ Prediction: Over 87.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)

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⬇️ Tampa Bay Rays Under 76.5 wins

The days of the Rays competing in the AL East are over, for now. They will certainly be the bottom-feeders of this division with every other team either improving or remaining just as good this offseason. I think they could be one of the five or six worst teams in the majors this year.

✅ Prediction: Under 76.5 wins (-122 via FanDuel)  

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⬆️ Baltimore Orioles Over 85. wins

The Orioles added Pete Alonso and should hopefully benefit from a bit more luck in the injury department this year. They represent one of my favorite World Series odds and value picks ahead of the season. The division will be a slugfest, but I could see Baltimore emerging from it as the team with the most wins.

✅ Prediction: Over 85.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)  

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⚾ AL Central win totals odds

⬇️ Cleveland Guardians Under 79.5 wins

I believe this will finally be the year that the general lack of talent (and spending, which results in the lack of talent) in the AL Central comes back to bite it. Somehow, the Guardians won 88 games last year but they won't come close to that mark in 2026. They're projected to be in the bottom eight in terms of WAR produced by their players this season.

✅ Prediction: Under 79.5 wins (-106 via FanDuel)  

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⬆️ Detroit Tigers Over 85.5 wins

The only team in the Central that I see providing fans with any real joy is the Tigers. Even with their brutal collapse to end the 2025 season, they finished with 87 wins. They should eclipse this total with ease this season.

✅ Prediction: Over 85.5 wins (-108 via FanDuel)    

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⬇️ Kansas City Royals Under 82.5 wins

The Royals are one of the toughest teams to judge here in February. They have some interesting pieces, but they still feel pretty mid overall. I think they'll finish with a win total right around this mark, but I think the most likely scenario is that they go .500, falling just short of 83 victories.

✅ Prediction: Under 82.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)    

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⬇️ Minnesota Twins Under 74.5 wins

First of all, as presently constructed, the Twins aren't very good. Add in the fact that we could see them trade Joe Ryan during the season and two of their best players - Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis - are made of glass, and this very much looks like a team that will finish with fewer than 70 wins.

✅ Prediction: Under 74.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)      

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⬇️ Chicago White Sox Under 66.5 wins

I usually like to target the Over on some of the lower win totals, but I'm not sure this is low enough for a team that won only 60 games last year and features the worst rotation in baseball. Sure, the lineup is interesting enough, but you're not going to win many games if you allow five-plus runs in all of them.

✅ Prediction: Under 66.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)        

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⚾ AL West win totals odds

⬆️ Seattle Mariners Over 89.5 wins

I expect the ultra-talented Mariners to be the cream of the crop in the AL West. They won 90 games last year and now get a full season of Josh Naylor, they added Brendan Donovan, and they continue to feature arguably the best rotation in the AL. It's entirely possible they finish with the best record in baseball.

✅ Prediction: Over 89.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)      

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⬇️ Houston Astros Under 85.5 wins

The Astros overachieved in 2025. They managed 87 wins despite just a plus-21 run differential. That was worse or equal to five teams that finished with fewer wins than Houston. With Framber Valdez gone, a team that relied heavily on run suppression last year won't be able to string together wins in the same fashion. I see Houston as a .500 team.

✅ Prediction: Under 85.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)          

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⬇️ Texas Rangers Under 83.5 wins

Here's another team that I believe will hover right around .500 this year. The Rangers are both relatively injury prone - Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi, Corey Seager, Evan Carter - and lacking high-end talent at multiple positions. They're fine, but they're not 84-plus wins fine.

✅ Prediction: Under 83.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)            

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⬇️ Athletics Under 75.5 wins

The Athletics finished with 76 wins last year, and I think they'll creep toward that number again this year. This is more a bet against a team that just really lacks a strong starting rotation. I love the ceiling of the lineup, but you need to stop the other team from scoring runs at a certain point.

✅ Prediction: Under 75.5 wins (-105 via FanDuel)              

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⬇️ Los Angeles Angels Under 70.5 wins

The Angels are absolutely not a 70-win team. Sure, they won 72 games last year, but they had the third-worst run differential in baseball. Mike Trout will get hurt, the rotation is already banged-up, and the bullpen features some of the most washed-up relievers in the majors. 

✅ Prediction: Under 70.5 wins (-118 via FanDuel)                

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⚾ NL East win totals

⬆️ Philadelphia Phillies Over 89.5 wins

The Phillies represent my favorite World Series bet with spring training around the corner. They have it all: the lineup, the rotation, the bullpen, and they're being undervalued for whatever reason. Philadelphia should be trading at a total closer to 92.5 wins, so I'll gladly take advantage of this deflated number.

✅ Prediction: Over 89.5 wins (-102 via FanDuel)        

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⬆️ New York Mets Over 90.5 wins

I'm all-in on the Mets this regular season. The playoffs is a different story, as I don't think they have the pitching to hang with the best in a postseason series. But they can absolutely do enough to rack up wins in bunches during the campaign. I also see them as a candidate to lead MLB in wins this season.

✅ Prediction: Over 90.5 wins (-110 via FanDuel)          

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⬇️ Miami Marlins Under 72.5 wins

The Marlins finished with nearly a .500 record last year despite being terrible. They have some young, exciting players in the lineup and rotation, but I still think they regress heavily in the win department. This number will land somewhere in the 60s.

✅ Prediction: Under 72.5 wins (-112 via FanDuel)                  

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⬆️ Atlanta Braves Over 89.5 wins

The team that will have the greatest positive swing in terms of wins will, of course, be the Braves. They can't possibly have worse injury luck than they did last season, and the amount of talent on this roster is just absurd. When healthy, I think this is one of the three best teams in baseball.

✅ Prediction: Over 89.5 wins (-120 via FanDuel)            

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⬇️ Washington Nationals Under 65.5 wins

Oh boy, the Nationals. The Nationals are lucky the Colorado Rockies exist, or they'd easily be the worst team in baseball. Washington finished with a minus-212 run differential last year, traded MacKenzie Gore, and could move CJ Abrams during the season. This team will be lucky to win 56 games, let alone 66.

✅ Prediction: Under 65.5 wins (-118 via FanDuel)                    

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⚾ NL Central win totals

⬇️ Milwaukee Brewers Under 84.5 wins

I know, this would be quite the falloff for the team that led baseball with 97 wins last year. I just don't think the Brewers are very good. I wouldn't say they're a bad team, but 81 or 82 wins feels like the most likely result.

✅ Prediction: Under 84.5 wins (-114 via FanDuel)                      

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⬇️ Chicago Cubs Under 88.5 wins

Much like the AL Central, I'm fading its NL counterpart. These teams just don't look all that impressive. The Cubs' problem, in my opinion, is the pitching. The addition of Bregman helps the lineup, but I can't see Chicago being one of the most elite run-suppression teams in the majors like it was last year. I still believe the Cubs will win the division, but with 86 or 87 wins.

✅ Prediction: Under 88.5 wins (-104 via FanDuel)                        

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⬇️ Cincinnati Reds Under 82.5 wins

The Reds finished with 83 wins last year and should finish right around that mark again. This was one of the more difficult ones to pick, and I'd be totally fine if someone wanted to take the Over at FanDuel's +100 odds. I would just prefer to fade a team when I'm not especially confident it got better after going Over on the hook the previous season.

✅ Prediction: Under 82.5 wins (-122 via FanDuel)                          

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⬆️ St. Louis Cardinals Over 69.5 wins

Sure, the Cardinals aren't especially good, but there's no way their win total should be set at one game lower than the Angels'. St. Louis features a young and interesting offensive core and an intriguing enough rotation that I'll buy them to finish with 70 or 71 wins, especially at plus-money odds.

✅ Prediction: Over 69.5 wins (+102 via FanDuel)                            

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⬇️ Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77.5 wins

The Pirates have done an admirable job of adding to the lineup this offseason, but it's still not good enough to get them into 80-win territory. I think Pittsburgh will be much more competitive than its 2025 record of 71-91, but I still see this team falling just short of the 78 wins it needs to clear this number.

✅ Prediction: Under 77.5 wins (+100 via FanDuel)                              

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⚾ NL West win totals

⬇️ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 103.5 wins

I know, the Dodgers are absurd. But so is a win total of 104. This is just too big for any team. The Dodgers know all they need to do is make it to the playoffs, so they won't kill themselves to win 104 games in the regular season.

✅ Prediction: Under 103.5 wins (-112 via FanDuel)                                

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⬆️ San Diego Padres Over 84.5 wins

I have a real love-hate relationship with the Padres. I seem to back them every year, and yet their fans hate me online. I think San Diego once again finishes right around 90 wins this year, clearing this total with ease.

✅ Prediction: Over 84.5 wins (-104 via FanDuel)                                  

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⬇️ San Francisco Giants Under 81.5 wins

The Giants are so blah. They finished with a .500 record last year, and I fully expect them to do the same this season. They are the absolute epitome of an 81-81 ballclub, which means any serious injuries would drop them way below this total.

✅ Prediction: Under 81.5 wins (-122 via FanDuel)                                  

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⬇️ Arizona Diamondbacks Under 79.5 wins

I don't think Zac Gallen is an especially great pitcher, but man, does Arizona's rotation look way worse without him in it. The Diamondbacks could still bring the free-agent right-hander back into the fold, but I'm not sure that would matter a ton in terms of this pick. They look like a team poised to finish with 77-79 wins. This total is probably set pretty perfectly, but the Under is priced shorter at -104, so I'll take that side.

✅ Prediction: Under 79.5 wins (-104 via FanDuel)                                  

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⬆️ Colorado Rockies Over 51.5 wins

And finally, we come to the absolute worst team in the baseball. A 43-119 record and minus-424 run differential doesn't even properly illustrate how bad the Rockies were in 2025. However, this total is just too low. Maybe the Rockies win only 40-something games again this season, but I have to take the Over on a total in the low 50s.

✅ Prediction: Over 51.5 wins (-115 via FanDuel)                                  

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📜 MLB standings & records 2025

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🏟️ MLB betting odds pages

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