⛳ U.S. Open Fourth-Round Prop Prediction & Odds: Who Wins the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club?

The U.S. Open Fourth-Round prop predictions & odds take center stage as we have reached championship Sunday at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York.

The tournament runs from June 11–14, 2026, at Shinnecock Hills, where a classic major championship setup delivers a severe test that rewards precision off the tee, elite ball-striking, and disciplined approach play right from the opening round. Unlike standard PGA Tour courses, players must navigate firm fairways, thick rough, and fast, undulating greens that can quickly stretch the leaderboard. With a deep, stacked field taking on one of golf’s toughest venues, the Fourth-Round prop market offers compelling value opportunities.

Let's break down my Fourth-Round prop predictions on the U.S. Open odds.

💰 U.S. Open Fourth-Round prop predictions

Here are our top golf picks for the final day of the U.S. Open.

⛳ Best prop bets for the final day at the U.S. Open

Scottie Scheffler to win (+700)

Scottie Scheffler enters championship Sunday at 1-under and remains one of the most dangerous players in the field because of his consistency from tee to green and ability to limit mistakes under major pressure. Shinnecock Hills demands precision, patience, and elite ball-striking - three areas where Scheffler continues to separate himself from the competition.

If his putter heats up even slightly, his all-around game gives him the edge to climb the leaderboard. With his experience and composure, Scheffler is in prime position to capture another major title.

Sam Burn top 5 finish (+156)

Sam Burns is in a strong position to secure a top-five finish at the U.S. Open because his game fits the demands of Shinnecock Hills. Burns has been sharp with his irons all week and has shown the patience needed to navigate difficult scoring conditions. His putting remains one of the best in the field, giving him an advantage on the fast, undulating greens.

If he continues to avoid big mistakes and stays steady off the tee, Burns has the tools to finish near the top of the leaderboard.

Tommy Fleetwood top 10 finish (-145)

Tommy Fleetwood enters the final round at 1-over and is in a strong position to lock up a top-10 finish at the U.S. Open. Fleetwood’s steady ball-striking and ability to manage difficult conditions make him a natural fit for Shinnecock Hills. He has consistently gained strokes tee-to-green this week and has kept himself in contention despite the brutal setup.

His experience in major championships is a major asset, and if he can stay sharp with the putter, Fleetwood has all the tools to finish inside the top 10.

⛅ What to consider when betting on the Fourth-Round props

Betting on the Fourth-Round winner of any golf tournament is far different than betting the pre-tournament winner or any prop market.

Here are the factors I always consider with my Fourth-Round prop picks:

• Tee times
• Weather
• Course history
• Tournament scoring average
• Recent form
• Key stats from the week

The Fourth-Round prop betting market is much more volatile than the earlier Round Leader events. As such, the odds for the tournament favorites are higher in this market, and the odds for the long shots are generally slightly shorter when betting on the 18-hole sample.

Early tee times are typically best to target for your picks. Courses are often at their softest and easiest, with no divots in the fairways or wear on the greens. But the weather can significantly change that line of thought. Monitor the weather to be sure your desired golfers will be dodging the worst of the rain and wind, should any be in the forecast.

I also greatly reduce my timeframe when looking at recent performance entering Sunday's round.

Sunday's weather at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club

Weather from Accuweather:

📊 U.S. Open odds

Here are the U.S. Open champion odds via our best golf betting sites.