PGA Championship AI Predictions: ChatGPT's Best Winner Picks, Long Shots & Props at Quail Hollow

ChatGPT knows the 156-man contingent participating in this week's event at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte - which started Thursday at 7 a.m. ET. - like the back of its non-existent hand, providing its best PGA Championship AI predictions. 

Featuring Bryson DeChambeau, ChatGPT utilized the updated PGA Championship odds to make its picks. Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy were the pre-tournament favorites, while Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship the last time it was held at Quail Hollow.

Xander Schauffele is also a top contender to retain the Wanamaker Trophy. 

ChatGPT, a popular large language model chatbot from OpenAI, has researched the historical data, the PGA Tour's and LIV Series' 2025 stats, and the betting odds at our best sports betting sites to offer its best 2025 PGA Championship predictions. 

🤖 2025 PGA Championship AI picks & predictions for Quail Hollow Club

We used ChatGPT for its March Madness bracket, Kentucky Derby picks, and Masters predictions, and we're once again turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot to predict the winner of this week's PGA Championship.

Ahead of Thursday's first round, I trained ChatGPT to study the latest golf odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting this weekend's winner:

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win the 2025 PGA Championship

ChatGPT predicts Bryson DeChambeau will win the 2025 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club with a score of 10-under par. DeChambeau's best outright odds are +950 via DraftKings. Here's why AI is predicting DeChambeau will win this week:

• Recent performance: DeChambeau has been in excellent form, notably winning the 2024 U.S. Open and securing a fifth-place finish at the Masters before winning the LIV Golf Korea event last week.
• Course fit: Quail Hollow favors long hitters, and DeChambeau's driving power positions him well to capitalize on the course's challenges.
• Betting odds: DraftKings lists DeChambeau at +950 to win the PGA Championship. This offers substantial value compared to favorites like Scottie Scheffler (+400) and Rory McIlroy (+450), especially given DeChambeau's recent form and course compatibility.

In summary, DeChambeau presents a strong combination of recent success, course suitability, and favorable betting odds, making him a valuable pick for the 2025 PGA Championship.

AI confidence rating: ★★★★☆ (4 out of 5) | Estimated win probability: 10% to 12%

💰 ChatGPT's best PGA Championship prop bets

Here are some of the most compelling prop bets for the 2025 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, focusing on value and current form:

Top-10 finish: Tommy Fleetwood (+350 via DraftKings)

• Fleetwood has secured top-10 finishes in five of the last 12 majors since the 2022 PGA Championship. His consistent performance in major tournaments makes this a strong value bet.

Top-20 finish: Maverick McNealy (+333 via bet365)

• McNealy boasts five top-10 finishes in 13 events this season. His above-average putting and driving distance align well with Quail Hollow's demands, making a top-20 finish a realistic target.

Top-20 finish: Keith Mitchell (+360 via DraftKings)

• Mitchell has achieved four consecutive top-20 finishes and ranks in the top 10 for driving distance. His recent form and course compatibility suggest a strong chance for another top-20 finish.

Top-20 finish: Jake Knapp (+800 via BetRivers)

• Knapp ranks in the top 25 for both putting and driving distance. His aggressive playstyle and three top-20 finishes in 13 starts this season indicate potential for a strong performance at Quail Hollow.

Top-20 finish: Phil Mickelson (+1100 via BetRivers)

• Mickelson finished 12th or better in 10 of his 14 starts at Quail Hollow. His experience and course history make this a noteworthy long-shot bet.

🎯 Best PGA Championship AI long-shot prediction

For a compelling long-shot pick at the 2025 PGA Championship, consider Aaron Rai (+15000 via DraftKings).

Why Aaron Rai is a strong long-shot contender

• Recent form: Rai has demonstrated consistent performance with a series of solid finishes leading up to the PGA Championship.
• Course compatibility: Quail Hollow favors precise ball-strikers, and Rai's accuracy off the tee and strong iron play align well with the course's demands.
• Motivation and momentum: As a rising English golfer seeking his first major breakthrough, Rai enters the tournament with determination and the momentum of recent strong performances.

Betting strategy

Given his long odds, Rai presents value not only in outright win markets but also in top-20 or top-10 finish bets. His consistent form and course suitability make these prop bets particularly appealing.

While the competition is formidable, Rai's profile suggests he could be a surprise contender at Quail Hollow.

⏰ ChatGPT's PGA Championship first-round leader prediction

🏌️‍♂️ First-round leader pick: Rory McIlroy (+1600)

• Tee Time: 8:22 a.m. ET (morning wave)
• Why McIlroy?
• Course record: McIlroy has four wins at Quail Hollow and is a course favorite
• Strong start potential: His early tee time means he’ll play in calmer, less challenging conditions before winds pick up in the afternoon
• Form: McIlroy comes into this event in great shape, recently winning the Masters and demonstrating his ability to handle major conditions

📈 Other considerations:

• Scottie Scheffler (+1600): World No. 1 and a consistent major performer
• Bryson DeChambeau (+2200): Teeing off in the afternoon, but his power game remains a huge asset at Quail Hollow
• Xander Schauffele (+3500): Defending champion, great form

McIlroy’s early tee time, combined with his past success at Quail Hollow, gives him an edge for Day 1.

🤼‍♂️ How to bet Scottie Scheffler vs. Rory McIlroy

For the 2025 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, a head-to-head bet between Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy presents a compelling matchup.

Current form and course history

• Scheffler recently secured a dominant victory at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson, tying the PGA Tour's 72-hole scoring record with a 31-under-par 253. However, he has yet to claim a PGA Championship title, with a T-2 finish in 2023 being his best result.
• McIlroy completed his career Grand Slam by winning the 2025 Masters and has a strong track record at Quail Hollow, with victories in 2010, 2015, 2021, and 2024. His familiarity with the course and recent form make him a formidable contender.

Betting odds

• Scottie Scheffler: +500
• Rory McIlroy: +750

Recommendation

Given McIlroy's exceptional history at Quail Hollow and recent major victory, he offers strong value in a head-to-head bet against Scheffler. While Scheffler's recent performance is impressive, McIlroy's course familiarity and momentum from the Masters suggest he could outperform Scheffler in this tournament.

Therefore, backing Rory McIlroy over Scottie Scheffler in a head-to-head matchup is a recommended bet for the 2025 PGA Championship.

🤖 AI's projected PGA Championship leaderboard

Here is ChatGPT's projected top 10 finishing order for the PGA Championship, along with 72-hole score projections:

1. Bryson DeChambeau – 274 (-10) Backed by elite form, including a LIV Golf win in Korea and a strong history of contending in majors, DeChambeau’s power and putting can thrive at Quail Hollow
2. Rory McIlroy – 275 (-9) Incredible course history and coming off a career Grand Slam at the Masters - he’s the most dangerous threat to DeChambeau this week
3. Scottie Scheffler – 276 (-8) Scheffler’s dominance on the PGA Tour is undeniable, and while he's a co-favorite, he’s just a notch behind this week given the course setup
4. Xander Schauffele – 277 (-7) The defending champion’s game suits Quail Hollow, and his ball striking remains among the best on tour
5. Ludvig Åberg – 278 (-6) One of the breakout stars of the season, Åberg has the distance and control to handle Quail Hollow’s long layout
6. Jon Rahm – 279 (-5) Strong on the LIV circuit and always dangerous at majors, Rahm’s mental edge keeps him in the mix
7. Max Homa – 280 (-4) A past Wells Fargo winner at Quail Hollow, Homa is trending upward at the right time
8. Justin Thomas – 280 (-4) The 2017 PGA champion at this venue, JT’s recent signs of resurgence suggest a strong finish is possible
9. Tommy Fleetwood – 281 (-3) A reliable top-10 threat with strong finishes at Quail Hollow and solid recent form
10. Patrick Reed – 282 (-2) Reed's experience and short game shine in majors, and he has a good record at Quail Hollow

✂️ AI's projections to miss the cut

• Keegan Bradley: Bradley has shown flashes of brilliance but often struggles with consistency. Given the challenging conditions at Quail Hollow, his tendency to miss the cut in majors makes him a candidate to watch.
• Collin Morikawa: While Morikawa has two major wins under his belt, his recent performances have been underwhelming. His driving distance ranks 156th on the PGA Tour, which could be a disadvantage on Quail Hollow's long holes.
• Hideki Matsuyama: Despite a solid record in majors, Matsuyama's recent form has been inconsistent. His putting struggles could be exacerbated on Quail Hollow's fast greens, potentially leading to a missed cut.
• Jason Day: Day's past success at Quail Hollow is notable, but his recent performances have been mixed. While he has a win and three top-10 finishes here, his current form may not be strong enough to guarantee a spot over the weekend.

💰 ChatGPT's PGA Championship best bets

Quail Hollow Club features five par-4 holes exceeding 480 yards. The course demands long approach shots, with over 62% coming from beyond 175 yards, approximately 20% higher than the PGA Tour average.

📊 Quick-hit AI results for 2025 PGA Championship

• Winner: Bryson DeChambeau
• Winning score: -10
• First-round leader: Rory McIlroy
• Cut line: +2
• How many players make the cut: 75
• Longest drive: Bryson DeChambeau, 395 yards, Hole 7 (par 5, 546 yards)
• Number of hole in ones: 1 (Tommy Fleetwood)

🔮 PGA Championship expert picks

• Updated PGA Championship odds
• PGA Championship first-round leader odds and predictions
• PGA Championship power rankings
• PGA Championship AI predictions
• PGA Championship long shots and sleeper picks
• Who'll win the PGA Championship?

👀 PGA Championship betting insights

Here is how the betting action on the PGA Championship is coming in at BetMGM:

Line movement:

Rory McIlroy: +900 ➡️ +500
Bryson DeChambeau: +2200 ➡️ +850
Justin Thomas: +4000 ➡️ +1800

📊 Live PGA Championship odds

Our 2025 PGA Championship odds update in real time based on the odds from our best golf betting sites. The tournament begins with Round 1 on Thursday.

🏆 2025 PGA Championship info

📅 When: Thursday, May 15 - Sunday, May 18
⛳ Where: Quail Hollow Club (Charlotte, N.C)
📺 How to watch: CBS and ESPN
🏆 Defending champion: Xander Schauffele
💰 Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+500 via BetMGM)

🌳 Quail Hollow Club info

• Par: 71
• Length: 7,623 yards
• Greens: Bermuda
• Architect: George Cobb (renovations by Arnold Palmer and Tom Fazio)

💰 PGA Championship betting history

Historical golf odds via GolfOdds.com.

⛳ Golf betting odds pages

🏌️Best golf betting sites for the 2025 PGA Championship

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