Ohio State vs. Michigan Prediction & Opening Odds for College Football Week 14

My best Ohio State vs. Michigan prediction based on the opening odds focuses on the defensive prowess of No. 1 Ohio State.

Given that, my college football Week 14 predictions like the Under in this rivalry matchup. Saturday's kickoff is at noon ET (FOX) from Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Mich.

Ohio State is favored by 9.5 points over No. 18 Michigan, but the Wolverines have won four consecutive meetings, including last year as a 20.5-point underdog.

🏈 Early Ohio State vs. Michigan prediction & betting preview

Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football picks for Week 14.

⬇️ Under 44.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Ohio State is allowing 7.6 points per game. The Buckeyes have yet to allow more than 16 in a single contest, and they’ve held nine of 11 opponents to 10 or fewer. While Michigan is coming off a 45-point performance against Maryland, it was just the Wolverines’ fifth 30-point game this season. Michigan ranks ninth in scoring in the Big Ten.

Ohio State has scored at least 34 in all but two games, but the Under has hit in seven of its 11 contests anyway. Plus, the two times Ohio State failed to score more than 30, they faced teams allowing 20.0 points per game or fewer. Michigan is giving up just 17.9 points per contest.

FanDuel’s price of -105 implies a 51.22% chance this Under hits. A $10 bet would pay $9.52.

📊 Live Ohio State vs. Michigan odds: Week 14

See the latest college football odds for every game in Week 14.

🔢 Ohio State vs. Michigan opening odds

• Moneyline: Ohio State -525 | Michigan +400
• Spread: Ohio State -12.5 (-110) | Michigan +12.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110)

↔️ Ohio State vs. Michigan line movement

Despite overwhelming support (68%) for Ohio State against the spread, the margin has dropped from 12.5 to 9.5 or 10 at all of the best sports betting sites. This signals that oddsmakers are pretty confident in Michigan. That said, with so much support, this spread should get back to at least 10.5 before kickoff.

Movement surrounding the total hasn’t been so volatile, with bettors split nearly 50-50 on whether the Over or Under will hit. With this in mind, I don’t anticipate this total ever getting outside of the 44-45 window all week.

📈 Ohio State vs. Michigan trends & betting notes

• Ohio State has been favored by at least 10 points in 10 of 11 games, covering the spread in eight of those 10 contests.
• Michigan is 1-2 against the spread as an underdog. The lone win came as a 1-point underdog against Nebraska.
• The Over has hit in three of Michigan’s last four games.
• The Over is 6-3 in Michigan games with totals lower than 50. The Over is just 3-4 in Ohio State games with listed totals in the 40s.

📺 How to watch Ohio State vs. Michigan

• Date: Saturday, Nov. 29
• Kickoff: Noon ET
• Location: Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, Mich.)
• TV: FOX