College Football Player Props & Best Bets, Odds for Saturday Week 13: Daniels Goes Deep?

The final full week of the college football regular season is peppered with intense rivalry games, and we have you covered with a four-pack of college football best bets for Saturday of Week 13 based on the best NCAAF odds at our best college football betting sites.

We already know the matchups for two Power Five conference championship games (ACC and SEC), but the second Pac-12 and Big Ten teams to face Washington and Iowa, respectively, are yet to be decided.

Additionally, the two spots in the Big 12 Championship are up for grabs, with four teams entering the week with at least a 6-2 league record.

Here are our college football player props and best bets for Saturday of Week 13 (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

College football best bets for Saturday: Week 13

• Jayden Daniels (LSU) Over 314.5 passing yards vs. Texas A&M (-114 via FanDuel)  ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Ray Davis (Kentucky) Under 77.5 rushing yards vs. Louisville (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Rome Odunze Over 102.5 receiving yards vs. Washington State (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
• Alabama/Utah/UCLA/Clemson moneyline parlay (+115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Week 13 college football schedule and odds for Saturday

Odds via DraftKings

• Ohio State vs. Michigan (-3.5)
• Kentucky vs. Louisville (-7)
• Texas A&M vs. LSU (-11.5)
• Alabama (-14.5) vs. Auburn
• Florida State (-6.5) vs. Florida
• Iowa State vs. Kansas State (-10)
• North Carolina (-2.5) vs. NC State

College football player props for Week 13

Jayden Daniels (LSU) Over 314.5 passing yards vs. Texas A&M (-114 via FanDuel)  ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jayden Daniels’ Heisman candidacy has been the topic of many conversations over the last several weeks. On the one hand, his 4,591 total yards are at least 901 yards more than Michael Penix and Bo Nix, who both figure to be invited as Heisman finalists. On the other hand, LSU has three losses while Penix’s and Nix’s teams have combined to lose one game, though many will mention that Lamar Jackson won the Heisman in a year where Louisville lost three regular season games.

Either way, LSU head coach Brian Kelly will likely do everything he can to have Daniels end the regular season on a high note against arguably the best defense the Tigers have faced all year.

Texas A&M has only allowed one team (Tennessee) to run for more than four yards per carry, and the Aggies rank in the top six in EPA/Rush Allowed and Rushing Success Rate Allowed. Thus, the best chance for LSU’s offensive success is through the air, and Texas A&M has been burned by high-powered passing attacks this season.

Miami’s Tyler Van Dyke and Ole Miss’s Jaxson Dart averaged 380.5 passing yards against the Aggies, while their teams combined for 86 points in two victories. Thus, while Daniels’ rushing numbers may suffer against Texas A&M, look for him to throw for 315 or more yards for the eighth time this season. That includes a 346-yard performance against a Florida State defense that is one of the few teams better on third down than Texas A&M (the Aggies rank seventh nationally in third-down defense) and ranks 12th nationally in points per game allowed.

As of this writing, FanDuel is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering a line on Daniels’ passing yards, so be sure to shop for the best number when other sportsbooks release their odds. 

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Ray Davis (Kentucky) Under 77.5 rushing yards vs. Louisville (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Louisville has lost four consecutive games to Kentucky by 13-plus points, with three coming by 31 or more. Thus, we expect the Cardinals, who have one of the best teams in school history, to exact their revenge for their recent struggles in this rivalry, starting with negating Kentucky’s biggest offensive strength.

Kentucky running back Ray Davis ranks third in the SEC with 990 rushing yards. However, if you think Louisville will win the game (it is a consensus touchdown favorite), taking the Under of Davis’s rushing yards is a smart play, considering he has been held to 61 or fewer rushing yards in four of Kentucky’s last five losses. Wildcats quarterback Devin Leary has been unable to take pressure off Davis from opposing defenses, with the Wildcats ranking in the bottom 18 in Passing Explosiveness.

This is a four-star play, as the Cardinals are a balanced defense, ranking 18th in Rushing Success Rate and seventh in Stuff Rate, and they did not allow any player to rush for 78-plus yards in the first nine games of the season. That includes holding the 15th-ranked rusher in the country, Notre Dame’s Audric Estime, to 20 yards and two yards per carry.

Bettors have their choice of DraftKings and bet365 for their go-to best sportsbooks, as they each have the same -115 odds for an O/U of 77.5 yards.

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Rome Odunze Over 102.5 receiving yards vs. Washington State (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Washington wide receiver Rome Odunze was recently named a semifinalist for the Biletnikoff Award for the best FBS receiver, and he has an outstanding case for the award, ranking in the top three in the Pac-12 in receptions (66), receiving yards (1,206) and receiving touchdowns (11). Odunze has 106-plus receiving yards in back-to-back games and eclipsed that mark in five of six home games, and we expect him to do so again in the Apple Cup.

We would make this a more confident four-star play if Washington State had not entered this game allowing just one 100-yard receiver all season. However, the Cougars have allowed three receivers to total 90 or more yards in three of the previous six games, including Oregon’s Tez Johnson, who had 94 yards on six catches despite quarterback Bo Nix attempting just 25 passes.

We expect a lot more passing volume from Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr., who is looking to spark his Heisman resume and erase the poor 162-yard output in a rain-soaked game against Oregon State last week. However, the fact that Odunze was responsible for 106 of those yards speaks to his talent and his chemistry with his quarterback. 

We are getting a slightly better number at DraftKings and bet365 than at FanDuel, whose O/U is set at 104.5.

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College football game picks for Week 13

Alabama/Utah/UCLA/Clemson moneyline parlay (+115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is our last bet of the final week of the regular season, so we are thinking outside the box with a four-team moneyline parlay, all of whom involve favorites of more than a touchdown at plus-money odds.

Alabama is one of the hottest teams in the country and seems destined to throw the College Football Playoff into chaos mode with a win next week against Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. It should cruise in the Iron Bowl vs. Auburn, where it has won three consecutive games (two by 22-plus points).

Utah is potentially facing a Colorado team without Shedeur Sanders, which would considerably limit the Buffaloes’ offensive ceiling.

UCLA has won three consecutive games against California, with only one being decided by fewer than 24 points, including a 34-10 outright win as 3.5-point underdogs in 2020.

Clemson is ending the season on a high note, beating two ranked teams (Notre Dame and North Carolina) in the last three weeks. The Tigers have been spurred by a defense that entered last week ranked in the top seven in Rush Success, Pass Success, and Havoc.

DraftKings offers the best odds for this parlay, as our other best sports betting sites offer +112 odds or lower.

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College football best bets made 11/22/2023 at 1:23 p.m. ET.

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