Arkansas vs. LSU Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 4: Shootout in Baton Rouge
The Arkansas Razorbacks visit the LSU Tigers, as we share our best Arkansas vs. LSU prediction based on the top college football odds from our best sports betting apps. Expect a high-scoring Battle for the Boot Saturday.
Following a season-opening loss against the Florida State Seminoles, the LSU Tigers dominated with consecutive victories. They've outscored their two opponents 113-24 and racked up 576 offensive yards per game.
The Arkansas Razorbacks met their match in a 38-31 loss to the BYU Cougars in Week 3. While the Razorbacks have been successful in limiting opponents to just 55.7 rushing yards per game, they face a dangerous LSU passing attack in Week 4, which could nullify the advantage of their strong run defense.
We look at this matchup and more in our college football picks for Week 4, college football prop picks for Week 4, college football Week 4 upset picks, college football best bets for Week 4, and college football parlay picks for Week 4.
Here is our best Arkansas vs. LSU prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Arkansas vs. LSU prediction: Week 4
Over 54.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
We’re inclined to take the Tigers against the spread, but their defense was obliterated in Week 1 against the Seminoles. Since they haven’t faced a great offense since then, we don’t know how the team will fare against KJ Jefferson and the Razorbacks’ rushing attack, which AJ Green and Rashod Dubinion spearhead.
Therefore, we’re playing the Over in this game. The Razorbacks allowed 38 points at home to the Cougars during their first true test of 2023, a team that beat Sam Houston State just 14-0 in Week 1. Now the defense needs to go against Jayden Daniels, one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the nation, and it’s hard to imagine the unit slowing him down in all facets.
While the Razorbacks’ rushing attack could bleed the clock, the Tigers run their entire offense through Daniels even when they’re dominating. During Week 3 he was integral in almost every play of the Tigers’ final scoring drive. The score when that drive took place was already 34-7.
The Tigers’ defense was really effective during Week 3 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, holding them to just seven points until the final minutes. However, the Razorbacks have scored fewer than 17 points just twice with Jefferson as the starting QB. If they hit that number on Saturday, the Tigers will do more than enough to push this game Over the total.
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Arkansas vs. LSU best odds
FanDuel (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 55 | Over 54.5 | Over 55.5 | Over 55 | Over 54.5 |
| -112 | -110 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
BetMGM is the only option among our best sports betting sites still offering this total at the point it opened. Even though the price is lower than what our other best live betting sites are posting, there’s no real value in taking the extra point.
FanDuel and bet365 are both featuring 54.5 at -110, which is the same price or better than what DraftKings and Caesars are offering for 55. This number should go up eventually, especially when considering current betting trends. So we recommend getting in at FanDuel or bet365 sooner than later.
Arkansas vs. LSU odds
Arkansas vs. LSU odds analysis
The Tigers opened as 17.5-point favorites, and the spread hasn't moved despite the Razorbacks getting 58% of the support. This is a big spread between two SEC opponents, so there's a chance it drops a bit, but we wouldn’t expect it to get any closer than 16.5. However, it’s unlikely the number will grow to 18. So if you’re on the Tigers, you can probably wait a bit to wager.
The total opened at 55.5, and while some sportsbooks are still showing that number, others have dropped it to 55 or 54.5. Currently, 73% of wagers are backing the Over. While oddsmakers are ignoring the public now, this total will ultimately go up to 56 or 56.5 before kickoff.
Arkansas vs. LSU game info
- When: Saturday, September, 23 at 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 70 degrees, six-mph winds, 4% chance of precipitation
Arkansas vs. LSU prediction made 9/21/2023 at 12:29 p.m. ET.
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