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Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) looks to pass as we offer our Arch Manning player prop bets for Week 4 ahead of Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas on Saturday.
Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) looks to pass against UTSA. Photo by Scott Wachter / Imagn.

Let the Arch Manning era begin. Well, sort of.

With Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers recovering from an oblique injury, Manning will make his first collegiate start Saturday at 8 p.m. ET against UL-Monroe.

He entered in the second quarter of last week’s 56-7 win over UTSA, delivering five touchdowns and 276 total yards for the Longhorns. And our best sportsbooks are capitalizing on the hype ahead of his starting debut.

Our Arch Manning player props identify the best betting angles ahead of Saturday’s matchup as part of our Week 4 college football predictions.

Arch Manning prop bets Week 4

College football odds as of Thursday and subject to change. Track the college football scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

College football picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Arch Manning college football player props

Arch Manning Under 26.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Manning surprised everyone when he broke free for a 67-yard run last week, finishing the day with 53 rushing yards on three attempts.

Even so, I don’t think Texas wants him doing much running when Ewers is sidelined ahead of SEC play.

This prop opened at 21.5 and has been bet up to 26.5, creating value on his Under. My projection is closer to the original line, so I’d be comfortable betting this at 25.5 or better.

As I highlight in my Week 4 college football player props, we could also benefit from a sack or some kneel-downs to help get this ticket to the window.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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Arch Manning Under 292.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bettors have crushed Manning’s passing prop since he was announced as the starter. FanDuel opened this line at 247.5, and it’s been one-way traffic on the Over ever since.

As a result, I’m taking the Under on an inflated total. Texas is a 45-point favorite in this game, so there is a world where Manning isn’t asked to do too much with a comfortable lead. He threw the ball 12 times for 223 yards last weekend.

My projections have this closer to 275 yards, so there is some wiggle room on this Under across our best sports betting sites.

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%

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Arch Manning Under 2.5 passing TDs (+133) ⭐⭐⭐

I’m not trying to root against Manning, but there is value in fading him after last week’s performance. Our best sports betting apps only offer markets for Manning because of his popularity, meaning they expect bettors to take his Overs.

In this case, the Under on 2.5 touchdown passes was once listed at +164 at FanDuel. That same wager now offers a payout of +118, indicating that the market is attacking this Under.

I’m betting this at +130 or better at Caesars, as a $10 bet nets a $13.30 profit if he only throws two touchdown passes. That would still be a pretty good day for his first collegiate start.

Best odds: +133 via Caesars | Implied probability: 42.92%

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Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas odds

Louisiana-Monroe vs. Texas game info

  • When: Saturday, Sept. 21
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, Texas)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 90 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 12-mph S winds
  • Favorite: Texas -44.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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College football betting odds pages

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