Illinois Tightens Rules on Prediction Market Activity by State Employees

Illinois moves to limit state employees’ involvement in prediction markets amid insider information concerns, as Massachusetts questions age restrictions and regulatory oversight.
Illinois Democratic Governor JB Pritzker speaks as we look at Illinois taking steps to limit state employees' use of prediction market apps.
Pictured: Illinois Democratic Governor JB Pritzker speaks as we look at Illinois taking steps to limit state employees' use of prediction market apps. Photo by Michael Nigro/Sipa USA.
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Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker signed an executive order this week restricting how state employees interact with prediction market platforms, targeting the use of non-public information for betting purposes. The order applies immediately and covers all state workers, officers, and board members, blocking both direct wagers and the sharing of insider knowledge with third parties.

The move sharpened existing state opposition and ethics laws rather than replacing them. Illinois already bars officials from using confidential information for personal gain. The governor’s office framed the new directive as a response to gaps exposed by fast-growing platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, where users trade on outcomes tied to political decisions, military actions, or sports developments.

Gov. Pritzker pointed to cases where traders placed accurate bets ahead of sensitive geopolitical events. State officials suggested those trades raised questions about whether privileged information had leaked into public markets.

The order landed amid an ongoing dispute between Illinois regulators, including those overseeing Illinois sports betting, and federal authorities. The Illinois Gaming Board has issued cease-and-desist letters to multiple prediction market apps, arguing they offer unlicensed gambling. In response, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed suit, claiming prediction markets fall under federal commodities law.

The disagreement has widened into a broader policy clash. Federal regulators maintain exclusive authority under the Commodity Exchange Act. Illinois officials counter that removing state oversight risks weakening consumer protections and allowing potential misuse of insider information in a market with limited safeguards.

Criticism has also extended to figures linked to President Donald Trump, with reports highlighting profits tied to trades placed before public announcements. The governor’s office cited those concerns as further justification for tightening restrictions at the state level.

Massachusetts raises concerns over age access and oversight gaps

Massachusetts' regulatory bodies appear more concerned with user eligibility rather than the structure of the product itself. The Massachusetts Gaming Commission, which oversees Massachusetts sports betting, raised the point that these platforms may allow young people to gain access to gaming-like instruments without the protective regulation required for normal gambling.

The chair of the Commission, Jordan Maynard, noted that because the platforms permit participation by individuals aged 18 and above, the state's 21-year age restriction is not being met. In addition, while the products are not gambling by definition, event contracts function very similarly to sports betting.

The chairman further pointed out that there may be problems with the verification process required when creating the account. He mentioned that the weak verification process would give access to individuals even below the minimum gambling age.

Despite their claims that the markets should be considered legal trading facilities, federal officials, state agencies, as well as traditional gambling operators and tribal organizations oppose the idea and claim the products resemble gambling too much.

Industry experts expressed their concerns regarding the possibility of federal regulation enabling participation in prediction markets across all states, despite the ban on sports betting in many jurisdictions.