Bettors Loving the Prop Overs for Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham
Caesars Sportsbook released a number of interesting over/under prop trends for Los Angeles skill-position players ahead of Super Bowl LVI on Sunday.
Here’s a quick peek at the scoop.
Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards
Kupp’s receiving yardage prop has climbed from an opening 102.5 to 106.5 with the over garnering 85 percent of the total tickets and 96 percent of the handle. He’s topped the current mark in 13 of 20 games this season, including in two of his three playoff appearances.
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Tennessee Titans wide receiver A.J. Brown torched the Cincinnati secondary for 142 receiving yards in the Division Round, but the Bengals have otherwise held their opponents in check through the air without another player reaching the triple-digit mark. Additionally, Cincinnati has surrendered a pedestrian 243.7 passing yards per game during the postseason.
SEE ALSO: SBR's Cooper Kupp Super Bowl Prop Picks
It’s worth adding Kupp also received huge over support with the two most lopsided totals being the overs on his longest reception (28.5 -135, 98 percent of tickets and 99 percent of dollars) and rushing yards (0.5 +250, 97%= percent of tickets and 99 percent of dollars).
SEE ALSO: SBR's Super Bowl Player Prop Bet Picks
Even with Kupp coming off an MVP-caliber offensive season, if his receiving yards total continues to climb, there are bound to be under bettors. Some are probably already just waiting for their targeted number.
Similarly, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook Adam Pullen noted,
“It’s rare to see a prop in the triple digits, but he’s mandated it. I think his player props are going to get the most action besides the quarterbacks. Since his overs are going to be one of the more popular bets for the public, the sharps will just sit and wait to see how high it gets before jumping in later.”
Odell Beckham Receiving Yards
Coming off his first triple-digit receiving game of the season in the NFC Championship game, Beckham is also a popular over target for bettors. His receiving yardage total sits at 63.5 and his receptions total is 5.5 (over +120/under -150). The yardage total has seen the over command 94 percent of the total number of tickets and 95 percent of the total dollars wagered while his receptions total is garnering 96 percent and 85 percent, respectively.
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Pullen also provided context on Beckham:
“He wasn’t as involved as much with the Rams to start, but as time went on, his production has increased. He’s not Kupp, but he’s been the second choice. He’s gotten more over money for receptions and receiving yards, and he’s also gotten a lot for first touchdown scorer. For the first few playoff games, he was one of the most popularly backed players for first touchdown scorer too.”
As Pullen highlighted, Beckham’s role in the Los Angeles passing attack has expanded significantly since joining the club in Week 10, and particularly the past two weeks. The nine-year veteran has caught 15 of 19 targets for 182 yards to help the Rams reach the Super Bowl.
Cam Akers Rushing Yards
Bettors aren’t as confident in Akers, however. The second-year running back has seen his rushing yards total climb from 58.5 to 63.5 despite 65 percent of the ticket count and 68 percent of the handle are on the under. Similarly, his receptions total (2.5, over +140/under -170) has seen 94 percent of money, whereas the over has received 85 percent of the total number of tickets.
SEE ALSO: SBR's Cam Akers Super Bowl Prop Bet Picks
There’s a lot to unpack here, too.
Akers is nursing a shoulder injury, and he hasn’t been overly efficient rushing for just 2.6 yards per tote over the past two games and listing two fumbles in the Divisional Round against Tampa Bay.
Additionally, third-year rusher Darnell Henderson Jr. (knee) has a “good chance” to play Sunday, which could cut into Akers’ snap count and rushing attempts. Then, there’s also veteran back Sony Michel to consider. Michel hasn’t had a strong postseason with an underwhelming 78 yards on 24 attempts (3.3 per carry).
Just note, that historically, head coach Sean McVay has often leaned on his No. 1 running back and rarely deployed a committee approach. As long as Akers is healthy, he projects to have a long leash against Cincinnati on Sunday.
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