Balls to the Wall: Week of Oct.13

[ZXCVBNM]

Yep Pennetta will definitely win, her opponent has gotten lucky with the other opponent retiring

[meganie]

Women's side, Pennetta I like, but not at that price of -235 or more.

I was lucky to get Pennetta at -200. Also got Federer at -250.

Wanna make a parlay but the odds are too bad right now, Federer at -278 and Pennetta at -250.

I would actually stay away from the Williams one. 10 allowed Breakpoints doesn't make a good impression to me. Also got to see about 5 games in the end of the second set. Venus made too many errors for me. Ana seems to be getting in form right now, ok, two matches don't say everything, but it's her home tournament so she maybe wants to win this one. Considering a bet with first set for Ivanovic at +110. Ana always seems to win the first set. I also got to see her match against Cibulkova in Moscow and she played pretty well in the first set, but for mysterious reasons, she started to make much more errors in the remaining sets.
Edit: Thought she won nearly every first set, doesn't seem to be. So probably no play for me at this one.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah I'm gonna save my money for football and just hope one of the futures bets pan out, unless the finals of either tournament yields an obvious edge - but that looks doubtful with the crop of players left.

[EaglesPhan36]

F-ing A yeah! If Nadal can beat Simon, I gots me a guaranteed winner in the final in Madrid! Nice job Murray! He really stepped up with his serve today.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well the Nadal loss was unexpected, but he just did not play well today. I've noticed Rafa pretty much is relying on his 2nd serve to win points right now. His 1st serve percentage has been in the 40s-50s this week I believe. F-ing unbelievable still that Simon won this thing. Dude saved 17 of 22 breaks though, that's balls & Nadal just I think maybe having a little something wrong with him - because the Rafa who won majors this year would have pounded Simon. Cost me in my futures as I leaned heavier on Nadal over Murray, still can break even for all the futures BS if Murray wins. Probably gonna put something down on Simon perhaps to guarantee some cash.

SUN - WTA Zurich

Pennetta +240(V.Williams)
Pennetta has been solid all week, yet not overly spectacular. Venus has been much the same, playing perhaps her best match of the week against Ivanovic, but again nothing spectacular here. Pennetta has dominated the head-2-head and the reason why she wins is simple, Venus' serve has failed her in those match-ups. Last week in Moscow, her 2nd serve percentage was in the 20s and she had 7 double faults. At the French, more of the same - a low 2nd serve percentage for Venus and a very average service game. And in Bangkok in 2007, 8 double faults for Venus as she lost again to Pennetta. For Pennetta, it's a chance for her first hard court title this year after winning a couple on clay early in '08. We can tout revenge as a factor for Venus, but that hasn't helped her the last three times and the price here is an easy choice - either Pennetta or no play at all. With recent results in mind and Pennetta's great run here in Zurich, she is the choice.

[HeeeHAWWWW]

...& Nadal just I think maybe having a little something wrong with him ....

He was playing with injections in a shoulder injury. It affects his forehand more than the serve though - means he can't get the right amount of spin on the ball, and so his depth of shot is badly controlled. That really hurt him yesterday, cos when he hits for the line he often either makes an error, or drops it short and gets pounded by Simon's flat returns.