Balls to the Wall: Week of Oct.13

[ZXCVBNM]

Pennetta, Azarenka parlay I think.

Edit: Didn't think, did.

Azarenka is a shoo-in to win, she's on a roll. Pennetta is on a roll too.

Monfils is worth something too! Murray said he felt some discomfort in his knee.. who knows.

[EaglesPhan36]

Pennetta rolling, up 4-0 in the 2nd after winning a tough first set. Murray destroyed Monfils in straights. Federer vs. Murray potentially in the next round. Hopefully it will be better than the Open Final!

[pico]

murray game sucked. monfils just rolled over and died...waste of time.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah I was surprised Monfils didn't at least give it a fight. His second serve looks like it was the killer. I'll take it though - keeps Murray alive in my futures wagers!

[ZXCVBNM]

I have a Fed/Potro and Karlovic overs parlay, I hope JMDP can at least keep it close in the second.

[EaglesPhan36]

Federer looks solid. Del Potro has a ton of aces so far and still got whipped in the 1st 6-3.

[ZXCVBNM]

damnit!! I knew Federer would kill him. Never second guess yourself..

[ZXCVBNM]

Del Potro is "feeling" something!! (the aches of losing, I imagine) Retire!!

[EaglesPhan36]

Interested to see the price for Murray-Federer. I'm hoping it's not Rog as a huge favorite. I'd like to back up my Murray future by taking Federer straight up, but have a feeling it's going to be over -200.

[ZXCVBNM]

lol @ azarenka retiring!!

[meganie]

Interested to see the price for Murray-Federer. I'm hoping it's not Rog as a huge favorite. I'd like to back up my Murray future by taking Federer straight up, but have a feeling it's going to be over -200.

I guess he will be around -250 or so. And I still wouldn't mind placing a bet on him. He looked very very solid (exception maybe his backhand except the slices).

[meganie]

Lol, what a coincidence, line came out at exactly -250.

[EaglesPhan36]

At that price, I'll either let the Murray futures play ride or maybe even take a small chunk on Murray. I think lumping this into Federer whipped Murray at the US Open, so it'll be the same here might be short sighted after thinking about it. Federer was desperate for the win at a major and Murray was in his first Slam Final. Federer has made the final here twice in a row, winning one and losing one. Murray is gonna have to rev up his serve to have a chance. Probably watch the price rise in this one as I imagine Roger will get pounded past -300 perhaps.

[ZXCVBNM]

Nadal will be alllllllllllll over Lopez. I took him at -4.5 games, this is gonna be a 6-4 6-3 or 6-3 6-2 or I don't know. But Nadal will cover.

[EaglesPhan36]

So we got Nadal vs. Karlovic/Simon and Murray vs. Federer. I got a shot still to cash one of those futures. Don't think that I'll be getting the Nadal-Murray final for a guaranteed winner - but stranger things have happened. Let's go Simon!

[ZXCVBNM]

lol @ 5'11 Simon looking straight up tiny playing Ivo

[EaglesPhan36]

First set is effectively over unless Karlovic lapses, but he hasn't looked like that will be the case. Simon broken.

[meganie]

15-40. C'mon!!!

[EaglesPhan36]

Snap!

[meganie]

YES!!

Simon looks a lot better on the return than Djokovic yesterday in the first set.

[ZXCVBNM]

All Simon needed was a little urgency. He showed what he could do right there. Now we just need more of it!

[EaglesPhan36]

And he's giving it right back. F-er!

[meganie]

Geez!! Wtf is he doing, how can somebody get broken by Karlovic without one single point?

[EaglesPhan36]

If Simon serves like he has this first set, this thing is over quick in two.

[meganie]

He's gonna win this one

[EaglesPhan36]

Who wants this less? Another break on Ivo's serve. Nadal should win easy over either of these two jokers in this kinda form. They're going the long way to get to a tie break.

[ZXCVBNM]

That break point showed his brilliant clay court patient point construction skills

[EaglesPhan36]

In control here in the tie break. Sweet. I gotta go make a beer run for tonight. Hopefully Simon says straight sets win!

[meganie]

The last return was brilliant. Did you bet on Simon, Eagles?

[EaglesPhan36]

Yes. Unfortunately, I only got him at +125 because I really thought Karlovic was gonna sucker alot more people in and get Simon closer to +150 than the +135-+140 he started off at.

[meganie]

Yes. Unfortunately, I only got him at +125 because I really thought Karlovic was gonna sucker alot more people in and get Simon closer to +150 than the +135-+140 he started off at.

Good for us.
I just need him to cover my +2.

[ZXCVBNM]

Here goes

44,000 EUR more to the winner!

[EaglesPhan36]

Another ass whipping in the tie break for Simon! And now I got beer as well. Nice end to the afternoon for me. Gonna take a look at tomorrow's matches later and see if anything is worth playing or just ride out the futures and root for Nadal!

Congrats to us Simon backers!

[meganie]

Respect for his performance.

[EaglesPhan36]

Prices are not great tomorrow at all. On the men's side, I'm letting my futures ride on Nadal & Murray - hoping Nadal (my bigger bet) at least gets to the final and I believe he should. Murray COULD get there, but he'll have to be almost perfect against Federer.

Women's side, Pennetta I like, but not at that price of -235 or more. I'd like to find an edge and bet the Venus/Ana match - but I don't see a heavy one. Venus has gotten the best of Ana with the exception of the Aussie Open this year & I think Ana has floated by against inferior opponents this tournament Would lean to Venus, but not unless the price plummets down into the -150 range. -175 or more I just don't like because Venus hasn't exactly been dominating this week.

Best Bets if they were being made to me:

1. Parlay of Federer & Pennetta
2. Venus Williams for a price of -150ish to -160ish tops