EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[micky]

Lets have a big day today!

[EaglesPhan36]

Azarenka, never gonna get it done when it counts.

[EaglesPhan36]

Friday @ Wimbledon
Djokovic-Tsonga Over 3.5 Sets [-187]
ATP Doubles: Llodra-Zimonjic +300

[JNic]

I like Llodra-Zimonjic play, I think Bryan bros getting way too much love right now. I watched them destroy Petz/Melzer but they had so many bp chances they just could not convert. Llodra/Nenad definitely have a chance

[jbart28]

Wimbledon Women's Semifinals Play
Kvitova -120

Lowdown: Are you really gonna ride with Azarenka @ this stage in a Slam? Sure, neither has ever made a Slam final, but Vika has time and time again shown a lack of guts, luck, whatever when the opportunity presents itself for her to break through and get a signature career win. Even though Kvitova has admitted showing some nerves at this stage last year and in her last match as well, she's got a game that seems better suited to the surface. I think Kvitova's power game gives Azarenka problems as long as she's not spraying the ball.

Thanks for the pick. I cap baseball only and I went all in with my SBR Points and hit.

I played it for a hundo real money as well

What ya got for Friday morning?

I am gonna go for a hundo and a points all in again

*****I can only make staight bets with my book on tennis...

IT is shi tty for tennis.

Can't even do over unders/ sets

Who should I take?

[EaglesPhan36]

I took a shot at Tsonga +200 at the SBR book, not a big play but just something for shits and grins. Not sure either dog wins, but think Tsonga might have a better shot than Murray.

[Brian891]

EP do u like the over 41 games on either match?

[NEW_WORLD]

good luck EP with your plays

[Brian891]

i have it over 40 1/2 for nadal and 41 1/2 for tsonga.

[bballs84]

Like Tsonga today too... Hoping he continues his run

[Gaskan]

I like Murray to give Rafa a run today, bad ankle or not I think he has a real shot today. He's been playing REAL tough lately.

I like Djokovic too, but that head to head record and the way Tsonga is playing is mighty scary today.

[EaglesPhan36]

Holy shit, somehow snaked a set to get that cash for the over 3.5. You guys should be good for the over 40.5/41 range in this one now too hopefully, but the 2nd set was why I chose to go high chalk for the over sets bet instead. A lopsided set or two makes that 40.5/41 number difficult, not obviously not impossible to get in 4 sets. Whew!

Not gonna press my luck with any more Wimbledon plays today than what I have already and I have a Rafa future pending, but I will dip down to the Challenger level ..

BRAUNSCHWEIG: Rosol +130
Rosol v. Schoorel is a tasty match-up of two solid dirt ballers at this level. Schoorel has a pair of Challenger titles on clay this season, Rosol has one. Rosol made it a round further @ Roland Garros than Schoorel. Both have been pretty consistent on the slow stuff. Getting Rosol at plus money in what likely is a tight contest seems worth it.

[koscheckbaby]

We got lucky on the over games. I'm actually a little upset to win that bet, since Tsonga doesn't deserve to have won a set. Djokovic has outclassed him

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm actually a little upset to win that bet

I've got a quarter inch drill bit, just place your skull next to it buddy. The day you get upset about winning a bet, by hook or crook ... is the day you need to get beat down.

[koscheckbaby]

I'm just sincere that I'd rather the better player win than things be given away. No matter the sport, I hate when someone wins when they were outplayed or the score was closer than it should have been. Football does it to me a lot. Plenty of times a team moves the ball with ease, settles for field goals because of mistakes, and then blows the game late. That's bullshit. The other team got dominated most of the game. Or teams shut the other team down completely on defense, then switch to prevent and lose, such as the Giants blowing the game against the Eagles late last year.

As a Giant fan, I've noticed the Eagles beat them plenty of times even though they were outplayed most of the match. That ruins my Sundays

Remember the Westbrook punt return game years ago?

[brandoc]

The Djok hasn´t lost yet though mate, and he won´t the way that Tsonga is playing just trying to hit the felt off everything.

But i´m with EP here, you won your bet so wtf???

I'm just sincere that I'd rather the better player win than things be given away. No matter the sport, I hate when someone wins when they were outplayed or the score was closer than it should have been. Football does it to me a lot. Plenty of times a team moves the ball with ease, settles for field goals because of mistakes, and then blows the game late. That's bullshit. The other team got dominated most of the game. Or teams shut the other team down completely on defense, then switch to prevent and lose, such as the Giants blowing the game against the Eagles late last year.

As a Giant fan, I've noticed the Eagles beat them plenty of times even though they were outplayed most of the match. That ruins my Sundays

Remember the Westbrook punt return game years ago?

[EaglesPhan36]

I'll never feel shitty about a win. Never. Whether I am a fan of a team that wins by luck or a big play or a gambler that wins with the same.

As a gambler, you take the lucky ones when you get them because the bad beats will even it out and wreck your soul more times than these lucky ones crop up.

Doubles play is rallying against the Bryans. Were down 0-2, now tied @ 2 and they worked back from a 2-4 hole in the 4th set tie break.

[koscheckbaby]

I guess you have a point.

Who do you like tomorrow between the ladies? I think I like Sharapova and the -1.5. Kvitova seems a little shakey. She gave away the 2nd set in both her last matches. Sharapova played mediocre and still straight setted Lisicki. Both are offensive players, but I would say Sharapova hits the ball harder and actually has the defensive edge for once, since Kvitova doesn't move around well at all

[EaglesPhan36]

I have a Sharapova future pending still and one on the field to balance out my Sharapova bet so that I will either break even if Kvitova wins or still win nicely if Sharapova wins. I had her and Venus in the final pre-tournament. Kvitova is tough to read because she has admitted nerves in big situations, but still finds ways to win - maybe more of it is her opponent choking, dunno. I think though that if Kvitova holds her nerve, her left handed game can trouble Sharapova.

[EaglesPhan36]

Fudge! So close on the +300 doubles dogs. They were up a break in the 5th, but blew it and wound up losing 9-7 in the 5th to the Bryans after battling back from down two sets. Was definitely worth the try.

[EaglesPhan36]

Rosol wins in 3.

[JNic]

You got ****** with Zimonjic/Llodra, up a break in the 5th I thought they had all the momentum they needed... still a GREAT pick though

[EaglesPhan36]

I figured that match would be close. To get those huge odds on a team that serves as well as Llodra-Nimonjic made it worth it. I think that semi was really the final. I don't think Tecau-Lindstedt are going to push them nearly as well. Might snag a set, but the Bryans seem pretty destined to win this doubles title with the way this tournament has unfolded for them. They won a a ridiculous 16-14 5th set a couple rounds ago and then somehow won yesterday ... would be supremely shocked if they lost at this point. It's too bad they don't do handicaps for doubles!

[brandoc]

Any thoughts on WTA doubles finals action tonight EP? Stosur and Sicki seem to be getting by just with their power game and Stosur from what i´ve seen is her inconsistent-self. Peschke and Srebotnik are by far the more experienced pair and are graded slight dogs @2,40 on betfair.

Worth a punt?

[EaglesPhan36]

I did not see a price on that one. What was it?

[brandoc]

I did not see a price on that one. What was it?

It´s up to about $2,50 now on betfair...

[EaglesPhan36]

I'd probably take a shot at the dogs. Having big serves will always give you a shot. Srebotnik-Peschke are a great team, but Wimbledon has been an elusive title for both in their careers.

Mixed Doubles: Nestor-Chan -135
Taking a shot here. Nestor brings the great experience here over Melzer-Benesova. Chan is young, but looks like she's picked up well from her partner. This duo won twice impressively on Friday to advance here.

[brandoc]

Peschke and Srebotnik were the dogs mate, and they won 6-3, 6-1

[EaglesPhan36]

Ah okay. Sorry my brain can't translate Euro odds. In any case, would have gone with the dogs. Would have been better than my loser.

[EaglesPhan36]

Monday's Newport WTF Plays
Gremelmayr +175
Dabul +4.5 [-115]

[pepper60000]

great match by the joker today..

[NEW_WORLD]

good luck with your plays EP

[Brian891]

EP i know wta is a crapshoot but what do u think about zakopalova tom? playing han who is just awful rightnow. juice is outrageous at -450 but was thinking of parlaying her. do u think she wins easy? thanks as always for your advice.

[EaglesPhan36]

Have not looked at WTA at all. With the surface change to clay, it might be hard to figure out what is what.

[micky]

BOL on your plays today