EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[jacer333]

I seem to like some of the same shit, especially the Simon-DP over

[micky]

I like Vinci +5 very much. Good luck

[sharlataans]

I also like Simon DP OVER 1.5 days (due to a darkness)

[unclebuzz1]

Who's minding the store? No posts for nearly 20 hours?

[EaglesPhan36]

Shit I Like @ Wimbledon on Saturday
Malisse -105
Soderling-Tomic Over 34.5 [-115]
S.Williams-Kirilenko Over 20 [-110]

[jsmithj88]

hmm, i would think serena destroys kirilenko ......

[balla05]

oh snap...i did not even see that EP was on the same play as me. Lets get the Serena Over 20 games.

[sharlataans]

Shit I Like @ Wimbledon on Saturday
Malisse -105
Soderling-Tomic Over 34.5 [-115]
S.Williams-Kirilenko Over 20 [-110]

EP I really love your Malisse pick!

[chinoloco212]

what does everyone think of Goerges?, I might go big on her, just wanto know everybody's opinions on the match

[micky]

Over 1.5 days? At wimbledon is so sure!

[EaglesPhan36]

Well at least got my bigger play today in Malisse. Cannot believe Soderling got straighted by Tomic. What a putz.

[EaglesPhan36]

Monday's Fukk You, I Will End Up With PLUS Units @ Wimbledon Plays Today
Nadal-Del Potro Over 37.5 [-140] **Special Fukk Me In Ass Play**
Tomic +155
Kubot +250
King-Shvedova -120 [WTA Doubles]

**As in, if this doesn't hit, then I'll bend over and take it.

[sharlataans]

Monday's Fukk You, I Will End Up With PLUS Units @ Wimbledon Plays Today
Nadal-Del Potro Over 37.5 [-140] **Special Fukk Me In Ass Play**
Tomic +155
Kubot +250
King-Shvedova -120 [WTA Doubles]

**As in, if this doesn't hit, then I'll bend over and take it.

EP, please give more insight on your Tomic and Kubot picks. I was planning to go opposite. I see that Tomic has the drive, Malisse does not ever. But is he really that good to beat Malisse?

Kubot, how does he win?

[unclebuzz1]

Monday's Fukk You, I Will End Up With PLUS Units @ Wimbledon Plays Today
Nadal-Del Potro Over 37.5 [-140] **Special Fukk Me In Ass Play**
Tomic +155
Kubot +250
King-Shvedova -120 [WTA Doubles]

**As in, if this doesn't hit, then I'll bend over and take it.

6/27/2011 11:00 AM ATP Tennis 103 R.Nadal Games Won/J.M.del Potro Games Won* Over 37½ -140
Risking $70.00 To Win $50.00

The line starts behind me ...

[EaglesPhan36]

EP, please give more insight on your Tomic and Kubot picks. I was planning to go opposite. I see that Tomic has the drive, Malisse does not ever. But is he really that good to beat Malisse? Kubot, how does he win?

Why can't either win? Malisse is a solid grass court player, but why can't Tomic win? Malisse is a guy who runs very hot and cold and gets to points in tournaments where you think he is on a roll and unstoppable - only to get beat. Admittedly Tomic beat Davydenko who has had a shit season and a less than 100% Soderling - but his wins still count impressively towards his confidence being at its best right now. Malisse IMO does not have any weapons that are "fear factors" where Tomic is going to come in saying holy shit this guy is going to dominate me if I don't play my very best. As for Kubot ... why the hell not? Lopez is as likely to come out and whip out 30 aces as he is to not being able to get his 1st serve in consistently. He's also coming off a win he probably considers one of the best in his career after breaking his 0-fer against Roddick ... Kubot has beaten a good grass court vet in Clement, a power server in Karlovic and an athlete in Monfils. He's a serve & volley guy and that is something I think will make Lopez work for the win instead of blindly relying on serve to win. Just don't see Lopez at -300 as a good price and Kubot has beaten guys as good if not better than Lopez in his run this Wimbledon.

[NEW_WORLD]

good luck today

[sharlataans]

Why can't either win? Malisse is a solid grass court player, but why can't Tomic win? Malisse is a guy who runs very hot and cold and gets to points in tournaments where you think he is on a roll and unstoppable - only to get beat. Admittedly Tomic beat Davydenko who has had a shit season and a less than 100% Soderling - but his wins still count impressively towards his confidence being at its best right now. Malisse IMO does not have any weapons that are "fear factors" where Tomic is going to come in saying holy shit this guy is going to dominate me if I don't play my very best. As for Kubot ... why the hell not? Lopez is as likely to come out and whip out 30 aces as he is to not being able to get his 1st serve in consistently. He's also coming off a win he probably considers one of the best in his career after breaking his 0-fer against Roddick ... Kubot has beaten a good grass court vet in Clement, a power server in Karlovic and an athlete in Monfils. He's a serve & volley guy and that is something I think will make Lopez work for the win instead of blindly relying on serve to win. Just don't see Lopez at -300 as a good price and Kubot has beaten guys as good if not better than Lopez in his run this Wimbledon.

Thanks EP!

How do you rate Gasquets chances against Murray? Murray is super determined, but do you see an upset?

[brandoc]

6/27/2011 11:00 AM ATP Tennis 103 R.Nadal Games Won/J.M.del Potro Games Won* Over 37½ -140
Risking $70.00 To Win $50.00

The line starts behind me ...

I don´t see DelPot winning anything more than one set against Nadal here. IMO there´s more value on Nadal to win 3-1 (@3,40), as the over needs either four sets+ or a three setter like 7-6, 7-6, 7-5 in order to hit.

[sharlataans]

Wow EP was spot on

[Gaskan]

Monday's Fukk You, I Will End Up With PLUS Units @ Wimbledon Plays Today
Nadal-Del Potro Over 37.5 [-140] **Special Fukk Me In Ass Play**
Tomic +155
Kubot +250
King-Shvedova -120 [WTA Doubles]

**As in, if this doesn't hit, then I'll bend over and take it.

Looking good today. What kind of odds you get on that parlay?

[EaglesPhan36]

They were all single plays. Doubles shit the bed, but others looking good. Big one is the total.

[beefcake]

Cant believe the doubles play lost..Guess I got suckered..Wonder if lisicki served 20,000 aces in it..

[EaglesPhan36]

No worries. I only did points on that one. If Kubot loses this 4th set, think Lopez is gonna take this. Feels like it's "for the match" for the Polish Hammer here.

[EaglesPhan36]

And Kubot blows it. Oh well, I was hoping for 1-1 at least with the men's dogs today and got that. Sucks though that Kubot could not finish a 2-0 lead off. Lost the future on Venus today. Sharapova still alive and Murray looks really good still with the future to win his quarter with Lopez waiting up next.

[EaglesPhan36]

DelPo snags the 2nd set. That should put this over into a solid position even if they get into some lopsided sets now. No ass fukking today.

[unclebuzz1]

DelPo snags the 2nd set. That should put this over into a solid position even if they get into some lopsided sets now. No ass fukking today.

You da man

[EaglesPhan36]

Tuesday's Eat It Bookies, I'm Winning Today @ Wimbledon Plays
Pironkova +4.5 [-110]
Sharapova-Cibulkova Over 20.5 [-120]

[NEW_WORLD]

i'm with you on over 20.5
good luck

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ...

ATP Doubles: Lindstedt-Tecau -110

[micky]

good luck on ur pick

[EaglesPhan36]

Cashed the doubles play from yesterday finally. Great match, they won 12-10 in the 5th. Murray future to win his quarter, cashes. Easiest no sweat bet all tournament for me. Wish I would have given Tsonga a swing today. That was the only upset possibility I saw, but never would have imagined Fed choking up 2-0.

[EaglesPhan36]

Wimbledon Women's Semifinals Play
Kvitova -120

Lowdown: Are you really gonna ride with Azarenka @ this stage in a Slam? Sure, neither has ever made a Slam final, but Vika has time and time again shown a lack of guts, luck, whatever when the opportunity presents itself for her to break through and get a signature career win. Even though Kvitova has admitted showing some nerves at this stage last year and in her last match as well, she's got a game that seems better suited to the surface. I think Kvitova's power game gives Azarenka problems as long as she's not spraying the ball.

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ....

WTA Doubles: Petrova-Rodionova +130
Lisicki & Stosur are getting a lot of respect by bookies @ -170. They came together for the 1st time in Stuttgart and won that tournament and have a good record this year, including knocking off the defending champs here @ Wimbledon. Stosur is an experienced doubles player who made some runs here with old Aussie partners, but Lisicki is still pretty green. The added plus here too is that regardless of what the outcome of the Lisicki-Sharapova singles semifinal is, Lisicki is going to have that result on her mind I believe. A win could have her over amped and unfocused. A loss could have her dejected, etc. Petrova-Rodionova are the more experienced doubles players here and getting them at plus odds makes this attractive enough to try.

[lasker]

Adding ....

WTA Doubles: Petrova-Rodionova +130
Lisicki & Stosur are getting a lot of respect by bookies @ -170. They came together for the 1st time in Stuttgart and won that tournament and have a good record this year, including knocking off the defending champs here @ Wimbledon. Stosur is an experienced doubles player who made some runs here with old Aussie partners, but Lisicki is still pretty green. The added plus here too is that regardless of what the outcome of the Lisicki-Sharapova singles semifinal is, Lisicki is going to have that result on her mind I believe. A win could have her over amped and unfocused. A loss could have her dejected, etc. Petrova-Rodionova are the more experienced doubles players here and getting them at plus odds makes this attractive enough to try.

Very nice analysis, I'm tailing you on this one. Any other doubles matches look interesting to you tomorrow, or no value? The Bryans and Llodra/Zimonjic are the clear favorites in their matches, but the price tag is high. If you have any insight on these matches it's much appreciated.

[EaglesPhan36]

I think the favorites in the other ones are pretty solid. But yeah the prices are too high to do much with. Bryans have done very well here the past five years or so and just don't generally lose before the semis.