EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 12:13 AM

Looks pretty solid.

shari91 · 06-21-11, 12:23 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Well the thing that is hard on Grand Slams is whittling down the # of plays because I do not like to play more than about four per day. Unfortunately I left the winners out today and kept the losers in.

Yeah, this is what I'm trying to do as well. Normally I would've had 10+ plays yesterday and although it sucked to watch a couple plays hit that I liked, I also would've been wiped out with Kohli, Cirstea and Makarova so it worked out ok.

I've got Benesova as the last leg in my parlay to win $702. I can get Zahlavova at +138 at bet365 and she's currently up a break in the first, which obviously doesn't mean much but still... seriously debating hedging as I missed doing it yesterday. I never hedge these suckers but I'm thinking this might be the go. What do you think?

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 12:43 AM

Hedging makes perfect sense there. If Benesova had a better grass pedigree, I'd let it ride, but she does not.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 01:03 AM

Tuesday's Wimbledon Plays
Parlay: Isner + Dodig [+111]
Almagro/Nieminen Over 39.5 [-125]
Ward +240
Nishikori +105

shari91 · 06-21-11, 01:11 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Hedging makes perfect sense there. If Benesova had a better grass pedigree, I'd let it ride, but she does not.

Yeah, that's the part that concerns me. Zahlavova's been godawful and Benesova should get it done but grass is a worry with that much riding on it. Go figure she's the last leg I'm waiting for. Thanks dude- going to hedge it now.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 01:13 AM

Good luck lady. I need to pick up some winners tomorrow, need to get back into fire mode after an icy first day.

Stacocakes · 06-21-11, 01:16 AM

Good luck Eagles

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 01:18 AM

Thanks. Hopefully Nishikori comes through for us! Love Hewitt as a competitor and if he guts out enough to win three sets, well then I'll salute that hard nosed SOB.

Adebayor365 · 06-21-11, 05:15 AM

thanks and good luck

BigDan · 06-21-11, 10:46 AM

Joining you on Nishikori. Got him at +125.

GL today.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 01:51 PM

At least I broke my duck with the winner on the total. Every thing else is crap. Tomorrow, fire? LoL.

micky · 06-21-11, 02:42 PM

Finally Rochus won!! Congrats

EaglesPhan36 · 06-21-11, 04:33 PM

Another day where I left off the winners and kept some losers. Feeling humpday is gonna be a FIRE day. Maybe.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-22-11, 12:09 AM

Wednesday's Wimbledon Fire & Ice Plays
Stakhovsky +175
Raonic-Muller Under 44.5 [-115]
Sela +150

sharlataans · 06-22-11, 12:24 AM

Hey EP, could you explain Stakhovsky pick? Watched Ljubicic yesterday and I liked him. Big serve, very composed.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-22-11, 12:34 AM

Don't rate Cilic as much of anything right now so I take Ljubicic's win with a grain of slat. Ljubicic is tough to crack if he is serving well, but his history at Wimbledon is that of early flameouts. Stakhovsky has shown some skill on grass, but will obviously need to up his game to win. Still, Ljubicic is a guy who can go from looking perfect to absolute shit in one match. I'm taking a shot that he's not as good as the scoreline might have indicated against a clearly downtrodden Cilic.

Gaskan · 06-22-11, 07:27 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Don't rate Cilic as much of anything right now so I take Ljubicic's win with a grain of slat. Ljubicic is tough to crack if he is serving well, but his history at Wimbledon is that of early flameouts. Stakhovsky has shown some skill on grass, but will obviously need to up his game to win. Still, Ljubicic is a guy who can go from looking perfect to absolute shit in one match. I'm taking a shot that he's not as good as the scoreline might have indicated against a clearly downtrodden Cilic.

Don't you think Stak has looked like utter shite lately?

micky · 06-22-11, 10:14 AM

lets make some money

EaglesPhan36 · 06-22-11, 01:45 PM

Obviously I don't know shit from shit. Hope you guys are making good money fading me. I think I am going to play only totals and let my futures ride for a few days. Brutal.

koscheckbaby · 06-22-11, 01:52 PM

I really liked Simon at that price, but I saw enough people playing Sela to avoid it. Damnit. What was the reason why Sela was getting played? Simon's inconsistant form and serving?

shari91 · 06-22-11, 02:27 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Obviously I don't know shit from shit. Hope you guys are making good money fading me. I think I am going to play only totals and let my futures ride for a few days. Brutal.

I'm in the same boat. I'm passing over bigger dogs to be "safe" but my smaller dogs aren't hitting. Thankfully for my cash I can live bet my way out of it but it's not good for anyone who might be tailing me. Tomorrow I'm either going to post every damn thing I like or take a break from posting plays until at least the 3rd round.

Gaskan · 06-22-11, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by koscheckbaby

I really liked Simon at that price, but I saw enough people playing Sela to avoid it. Damnit. What was the reason why Sela was getting played? Simon's inconsistant form and serving?

Sela has been in good form on grass recently

EaglesPhan36 · 06-22-11, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by shari91

I'm in the same boat. I'm passing over bigger dogs to be "safe" but my smaller dogs aren't hitting. Thankfully for my cash I can live bet my way out of it but it's not good for anyone who might be tailing me. Tomorrow I'm either going to post every damn thing I like or take a break from posting plays until at least the 3rd round.

Agreed Shari. I am posting all the picks I like. I am probably about .500 for Wimbledon on all the picks I have marked for each day, but have passed over so many winners while leaving in all losers. At least my futures are steady.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-22-11, 11:58 PM

Shit I Like @ Wimbledon on Thursday
Ferrer-Harrison Over 35 [+105]
Troicki-Lu Over 38.5 [-110]
Malisse -160
Tursunov -115
Isner -210

Etegus · 06-23-11, 02:37 AM

Do you have a record of this season?

Thanks in advance!

makman · 06-23-11, 04:10 AM

BOL with your picks,

I just like Melzer over Tursunov...Both of them are inconsistent players, and i think Melzer will be surprising us.

micky · 06-23-11, 07:09 AM

Hoping no rain today!!. Good luck

Cross · 06-23-11, 07:13 AM

Love that Ferrer Harrison over, think that's gonna hit today, good luck!

jayc88 · 06-23-11, 08:50 AM

gl today
always remember the next winning streak is just right around the corner

EaglesPhan36 · 06-23-11, 09:40 AM

Can't believe Troicki did not take one set off Lu. Ferrer total is now booked @ 34.5.

Allure · 06-23-11, 11:14 AM

Wow, isn't -210 kind of crazy for a kid that's only ability is to serve and literally nothing else? I hope he can pull it off for you.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-23-11, 03:46 PM

I don't use those -210 plays as single plays, will always parlay it with something. Mugs & Isner are about the same player if it's not on clay. At least I hit a couple today for once. Malisse won easy. Total with Ferrer-Harrison will hit when it completes. .500 day seems like I won 1st place at the county fair. Tursunov pending, but down a set in good competitive match.

beefcake · 06-23-11, 03:48 PM

Hey man dont knock the county fair..

EaglesPhan36 · 06-23-11, 11:27 PM

Shit That I Like @ Wimbledon on Friday
Vinci +5 [+100]
Hantuchova +170
Del Potro-Simon Over 37.5 [-120]

NEW_WORLD · 06-23-11, 11:44 PM

i like sciavone a lt
good luck with your plays EP