I am not one to post a play that won but we have a great tennis group so I thought I would share my fortune with you guys.
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Well, you're talking about Verdasco who isn't always the most mentally sound player out there. I guess if you want a small bet for action then it's worth a try. You just never know with these guys though.Originally posted by Mirar Baseball
Odds aren't surprising. Vera has two very distinct personalities who appear on the court. Anyone who takes her needs to hope she comes out and plays properly instead of getting flustered as she does from time to time, especially since there's no Hawkeye. One wrong line call and her match can fall apart.Originally posted by DodgerFreakComment -
Zvonareva is a Russian so there is always a risk of their alter ego taking over midmatch. I really do like her in this spot and the line seems pretty on to me.
Verdasco is also a player who is dangerous to take in these 3 set tourneys. He could blow Istomin clear out of the water or he could mess up on serve / not have a call go his way and then throw a set just to get to the next one.
I might make a play on the O/21 with Errani vs Vinci. Errani has been atrocious in the first set but comes out blazing in the second to push it to a third. Her luck might run out but both being Italian might help the over in this one.Comment -
Thoughts on Tsonga? He should be well rested, I don't know if that's good or not.Comment -
Verdasco wins to finish off the Raonic parlay!
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Nice Hit Shari....Shari i understand that you know what ur doing but why do u choose to pay the juice and not cap the spread instead? Just interested to hear your thoughts on this matter is all...CheersOriginally posted by shari91Verdasco wins to finish off the Raonic parlay!Comment -
Good work mate! You play parlays like I do, find some good solid favs and combine them across sports. I've stayed away from doing it in tennis though unless I have a very strong feeling as the odds on favs just simply aren't worth it in the smaller tournies IMO.Originally posted by Pride
Then again, NBA can also be brutal. I had a 6 team parlay today but the bobcats fked me. Onto tomorrow ...Comment -
I play the spread all the time in here. However this week I've been betting much bigger than I normally do and I've been using my large credit limit at Centrebet to do so. Last week they had spreads up, this week they don't. So when I'm putting a lot of money on something, I've just been playing the ML.Originally posted by ACoochy
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Shari I'm with centrebet too but generally bet just Aussie sports there, what are they like for withdrawals?Comment -
NBA is a joke so but when most people do ML parlays they make a huge mess of it because they just don't understand how fvcked up the nba can be.
College ball is the best for ML parlays because it is so easy to pick spots and those kids look ahead to games like no other sport so it is relatively easy to pick games to stay away from.
I also buy 10.5 points with dogs to create huge spreads for a -800 price to boost parlays payouts.
I rarely mess with spreads anymore because I don't care to put so much time and effort in, only for it to be wasted by mistakes or athletes not caring. Live betting is where the real money is.Comment -
Awesome for withdrawls. If you let them know by 9am the money will hit your bank account either that business day or by midnight. All free of course too. I've withdrawn large sums of money there and have had it in my account by noon. They're shithouse for lines at times but payment wise they're excellent.Originally posted by benramaComment -
Guess what nba game I had tonight? I took the bucks +4, if you don't know what happened look at the play by play the last 30 seconds
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I just lookedOriginally posted by BathingApeGuess what nba game I had tonight? I took the bucks +4, if you don't know what happened look at the play by play the last 30 seconds
My only NBA bet today was the Suns ML thanks to the guys in Chat. I haven't been paying attention to NBA for about a month now so luckily they gave me a great play.
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Errani +150 vs vinci -200, any leans?Comment -
dolgo must be exceeding everyones clay court expectations. coming across as an allrounder!Comment -
Gah, I had the Jazz tonight... Good thing my book was stupid again and left the 2H bets open a couple minutes after it started. I hedged the with the Suns after I saw them score 6 straight I knew they were gonna come back lol. I also took the 2H under, easiest fkn under I've ever played, the Jazz scored 27 points in 24 minutes WTF????Originally posted by shari91I just looked
My only NBA bet today was the Suns ML thanks to the guys in Chat. I haven't been paying attention to NBA for about a month now so luckily they gave me a great play.
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take the over or take vinci.
errani takes an entire set to get going and then plays great in sets 2 and 3. they are both italian so i expect them to play each other hard.
basically i have no respect for errani's play this tourney even though she won both times i backed her.
IMO best bet is to take the prop that the match goes three sets since that would equate to over 21 games anyways.Comment -
Shari, I need a ML play for one of the first matches so I have something to look at while I'm out drinking (the matches will be going on at about midnight where I am). I'm leaning either tsonga or vinci both favs though and I don't have a big bankroll right now to support a big play...Comment -
I was on Phoenix also. This game is a perfect illustration of Taleb's point we discussed a little earlier (you watching that game - Utah up 9-0 early and by 12 at halftime - would serve no purpose other than moving you an inch closer towards a stomach ulcer, permanently shaking limbs and or insanity). I'm so happy I slept through it!Originally posted by shari91I just looked My only NBA bet today was the Suns ML thanks to the guys in Chat. I haven't been paying attention to NBA for about a month now so luckily they gave me a great play.
Now... you do realize that one of the major angles in play was that Utah's coach Jerry Sloan stepped down after 23 years at the helm... right? I wonder if you look into coaching much when capping your tennis. For example, I would think that switching to a new coach would make a player better. Maybe immediately, maybe after a certain time period. E.G. Djokovic had problems with the 'new service motion' and after having gone back to his 'old service motion' (and I believe firing his 'new coach' in the process) is now a solid contender for the top spot in the world.
Also, in the NBA players who were traded from team A to team B often do their best playing vs team A the first few times they meet. Could this motivational angle be applied to tennis (player busting his or her balls to beat old coach's protege?)
Would love to hear how much of a factor these types of angles are in tennis.Comment -
I think I'm in love.Originally posted by BathingApeGah, I had the Jazz tonight... Good thing my book was stupid again and left the 2H bets open a couple minutes after it started. I hedged the with the Suns after I saw them score 6 straight I knew they were gonna come back lol. I also took the 2H under, easiest fkn under I've ever played, the Jazz scored 27 points in 24 minutes WTF????
With your book.Comment -
I TOTALLY factored in Jerry Sloan tonight. I also factored in that EVERYBODY was taking the the Suns. I felt that the line was too high and decided to be "sharp" It looked good at first, but then it was obvious where the coaching factor was important.
It's ok though, like I said, I took the 2h under and it was the easiest under of my life. Only wish I went harder on it haha.
Oh yeah, my book is FKN retarded lol. If you look at my posts they left the Errani match up 3 games into the match. Good thing I didn't take the dog (her name escapes me right now). I was literally gonna wait until the match was about over since they had the start time completely wrong but they ended up catching it in the end.Comment -
tsonga isnt for like 5 hours.
i can tell you right now to just wait and pick your spot instead of making a play for actions sake.
IF you have to make a play the Vinci/Errani match is a crapshoot in terms of picking an outright winner. Vinci has the edge and the line shows it but Errani has made a comeback in the last two matches after getting blown out of the first set so there is no telling how she gets up for the match. Her first set is atrocious but sets 2 and 3 she plays some inspired tennis.
I would play these three in order of what I feel are the best.
Match goes to 3 sets which has GREAT value
Match o/21 games which has a chance to hit even in 2 sets although this is the WTA so not likely.
Vinci straight up. I have backed Errani all tourney but I think it is time to cut her loose.Comment -
LOL, I'm about to go out so I want something to follow. I'll admit it, I'm an action junkie...
I ended up taking Vinci for $50 risking $95. I have been following Errani and she's one of those long drawn out players in this tourney. The WTA is so hard for me to judge but whatever... I don't really care right now honestly.Comment -
On the topic of the suns game since it is being discussed, I had suns +12 on live betting and it was just too easy. Also got the Under 207.5 which was way off what it should have been.Comment -
Cmon man just play it smart. I've seen too many guys go down after hitting a rough patch and then throwing out bets just for action. I dont know if your roll is low cause of a tough streak but just grind it out and you should be solid.Originally posted by BathingApeComment -
Yeah, it's kinda low. Been floating up and down this week. Sunday morning before the superbowl I went 8-0 in college bball and it went downhill from there. Currently -$600 (which in my case is quite a bit). I may be a little loose with my words, I'm not throwing money around, I have been selective with my plays.
As I type this, Vinci is about to get broken
*edit
Ok, she held. But man, this looks like it's gonna be a grinder haha. Good night everyone!Comment -
This game is going to be a heart attack.
26 points played after 2 games. Oh lordComment -
Normally, I root for most sportsbettors (and poker players) to lose money. So that there are better lines and juicier games available to me. But since I'm in a good mood after killing it on Friday, I will share some wisdom:Originally posted by Pride
"but just grind it out and you should be solid"
The above quote isn't necessarily true. He's just trying to make you feel good and convince you to behave responsibly with your money (and boy, do I know how little fun that is!) It's very hard to make money gambling even if you take the trouble to 'do it the right way'.
What I can promise you is if you keep making action bets, your chances of going broke (I mean, having to reload your account) are really good. That is something I would bet my money on.
P.S. I didn't mean to sound like your wife/mother/gambler's anonymous group leader. But your post really rings a bell with me.Comment -
Of course the part you quoted might not hold up but that is why I included the word should haha. Grinding it out and really picking spots is the best way to make your roll back for obvious reasons.
And Errani is in God Mode right now but I prefer Errani winning the first set as opposed to Vinci anyways.Comment -
God mode! Hello fellow gamer!
This word combination takes me back a decade when I played Asheron's Call for about three years straight. I actually moved into an appartment with a mate just to have a better internet connection available (we didn't take cable internet for granted back in 1997)Comment -
See, I knew I had nothing on this match. All I could base the game off of was what I have seen thus far in the tournament and then it just takes a complete 180Comment -
errani has one of the worst serves i have ever seen but all vinci can do on the backhand is a one handed slice.Comment -
Lol that match was horrible, oh well time to drink more
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when i watch these matches in tournaments without the chase cam it seems so primitive.Comment -
Remember I typically don't do well from the semis onwards so you may want to fade any bets of mine today.
Ljubicic +165
DelPotro $1.73
Dolgopolov +110Comment
