It's a great time of the season with clay court tennis. Gotta love it. This is the time of the year where you look at player's like Murray and Roddick and forget about how good they are, they can't play on this surface. This is where players like Juan Monaco, David Ferrer and of course Rafa Nadal live.
This tournament has crept up pretty fast here since I forgot about the time difference. Matches should be starting at about 4:30 am eastern on monday morning so let's get to it.
I've looked at the draw and there should be some good matches here. I think David Ferrer is going to have a good run and knock off Andy Murray to get to the semifinals where he will......lose to Nadal. This draw isn't all that easy for Nadal. He faces Schwank probably in the second round and he is a decent clay court player, though I don't think he stands a chance in that match. Nadal would then face Juan Monaco in the third round and that should be a great match.
This tournament is really going to tell us where Nadal is at with his game. If he dominates the clay court season then we definately know that he is back. If he has troubles then look out for the "rafa is done" posts on messageboards. I personally think Nadal is going to win this tourament but at odds of -150 to win I would rather take my chances on a bigger dog outright and take my chances.
As always I will take an outright bet from each half of the draw. Sometimes things end up good and I have both players in the finals like in the Sony Ericcson open but other times I have neither of the players and thats common in tennis. Things change so much from week to week and pretty much anything can happen and usually does.
Novak Djokovic +700
Mr. DJokovic how many times are you going to disappoint me this year? I seem to always pick you as an outright and you haven't done much for me that is for sure. Like his game on clay alot and although I was considering Nalbandian, Robredo and Verdasco from this half of the draw I figure that Djokovic will probably make his way to the finals.
David Ferrer +4500
Ferrer definately has a great clay court game and the match against Murray should be a great match but I think that Ferrer has a definate shot of making it to the semifinals where he will play Nadal. I don't think he will beat Nadal but getting odds of +4500 on a player is good enough to take a chance on him.
Plays for Monday:
Dolgopolov +128
Dolgopolov is playing Benneteau in round one who is basically on the downslide in his career. Benneteau is not a good clay court player and is coming into this match having lost 4 of his last 5 matches. Dolgopolov is a young Ukranian player that has played alot of clay court tennis in recent weeks with much success. Though most ofit has been challenger matches his clay court record so far this year is 16-4 and it was 21-7 last year. I'm going to take a chance on Dolgopolv knocking off the aging Benneteau here.
I think for now that is going to be my only play for monday. Just want to sit back and get a feel for the tournament. Lots of bad prices in the opening round of a tournament as always so I am going to wait a couple days before I hit anything major.
Best of luck this week guys I look forward to talking to tennis with you all. Let's make some money
This tournament has crept up pretty fast here since I forgot about the time difference. Matches should be starting at about 4:30 am eastern on monday morning so let's get to it.
I've looked at the draw and there should be some good matches here. I think David Ferrer is going to have a good run and knock off Andy Murray to get to the semifinals where he will......lose to Nadal. This draw isn't all that easy for Nadal. He faces Schwank probably in the second round and he is a decent clay court player, though I don't think he stands a chance in that match. Nadal would then face Juan Monaco in the third round and that should be a great match.
This tournament is really going to tell us where Nadal is at with his game. If he dominates the clay court season then we definately know that he is back. If he has troubles then look out for the "rafa is done" posts on messageboards. I personally think Nadal is going to win this tourament but at odds of -150 to win I would rather take my chances on a bigger dog outright and take my chances.
As always I will take an outright bet from each half of the draw. Sometimes things end up good and I have both players in the finals like in the Sony Ericcson open but other times I have neither of the players and thats common in tennis. Things change so much from week to week and pretty much anything can happen and usually does.
Novak Djokovic +700
Mr. DJokovic how many times are you going to disappoint me this year? I seem to always pick you as an outright and you haven't done much for me that is for sure. Like his game on clay alot and although I was considering Nalbandian, Robredo and Verdasco from this half of the draw I figure that Djokovic will probably make his way to the finals.
David Ferrer +4500
Ferrer definately has a great clay court game and the match against Murray should be a great match but I think that Ferrer has a definate shot of making it to the semifinals where he will play Nadal. I don't think he will beat Nadal but getting odds of +4500 on a player is good enough to take a chance on him.
Plays for Monday:
Dolgopolov +128
Dolgopolov is playing Benneteau in round one who is basically on the downslide in his career. Benneteau is not a good clay court player and is coming into this match having lost 4 of his last 5 matches. Dolgopolov is a young Ukranian player that has played alot of clay court tennis in recent weeks with much success. Though most ofit has been challenger matches his clay court record so far this year is 16-4 and it was 21-7 last year. I'm going to take a chance on Dolgopolv knocking off the aging Benneteau here.
I think for now that is going to be my only play for monday. Just want to sit back and get a feel for the tournament. Lots of bad prices in the opening round of a tournament as always so I am going to wait a couple days before I hit anything major.
Best of luck this week guys I look forward to talking to tennis with you all. Let's make some money
