Stacocakes Monte-Carlo Masters thread

[Stacocakes]

Was going back and forth on some potential bets all night but this is the parlay I am going to play since the odds are not to bad:

Cilic, Berdych and Verdasco pays +183

Couldn't go the day without some action so figured this parlay should be good. I like some of the matches on wednesday morning so I will wait till then before I drift out into the straight bets.

Best of luck this morning guys

[raydog]

too early to wake up...im beat

[Boner_18]

Looks good with cilic just squeaking out the win. Fognini getting whooped, Robert putting up a fight, have Kubot later. Need one of these dogs to cash to bring me even today... We'll see.

[Stacocakes]

Cilic and Verdasco both cash.Just Berdych left now.

Montanes beats Baghdatis as most had here. Good call on that. He is the better clay court player.I just couldn't pull the trigger on it myself.

De Bakker beats Schwank.Seems that most had that as well. Schwank has an injury and the line movement reflected that.

Tsonga beating Almagro right now. That was a tough match to call.

Debating taking Gasquet right now to hedge out my parlay and have some guaranteed money but I will probably just let it ride.

Some good matches coming up tomorrow. Hopefully things got better for you Boner and you hit some dogs

[beefcake]

If memory serves me correct,there werent very many upsets in miami,would think were due for some here in monte carlo..

[EaglesPhan36]

Let it ride. F Gasquet. I got Berdych in a parlay too. I took Tsonga because I just didn't understand the love for Almagro. He is the better clay player based on experience, but his form in 2010 on dirt was not very good. Tsonga to me gets overlooked because people look at his record or assume his serve will only help him on harder surfaces. His clay form has actually been decent in the last year, he just doesn't have that many matches to his credit. Beating Monaco & now Almagro on dirt shows he can do it if he brings a quality game.

[EaglesPhan36]

Berdych crushing Gasquet.

[Stacocakes]

Wow didn't think Berdych would win that easy 6-2 6-0. Parlay easily cashes

Nice hit on Tsonga Eagles. Was a match that I wanted to bet but just couldn't pull the trigger. Sometimes value is just to good to pass up when you are taking a chance on a player that is better then the other player but the surface is the question. Hope that made sense I am tired haha

Do you guys like anything for tomorrows matches?

[EaglesPhan36]

Tomorrow looks like a parlay day, lots of heavy favorites that it doesn't make sense to go after for a price. Having a hard time even finding a dog that I think has a legit shot at a price ... O/U might be the best way to go tomorrow.

[MUHerd37]

Hit a 5 team parlay 2 ATP and WTA in it. Paid 2.2X my money. Lost another parlay with some baseball but oh well. Just sucks that we can't bet bet men's tennis in the middle of the day.

[obie]

Melzer and Robredo in a parlay tomorrow will cash. Take it guys, NONE of those players will lose, im 100% sure..

[Stacocakes]

Nice hit on the parlay Muherd

Agree Eagles these lines are to big so a parlay might be in order. Still like Nalbandian alot over Youzhny. Murrays odds have come down a bit to -255 now. Might include him as well though he is pretty bad on clay.

Anyone thinking about Gulbis to pull an upset over Wawrinka? +191 price. Gulbis is one of the most inconsistant players out there but if he is on he could do some damage. Wawrinka coming off the win last week so he might bow out early here. Gulbis isn't that great on clay so that doesn't make taking this play look any better. Maybe it's a pass

Still thinking about what to do here.Will have something more a bit later.Let me know if you guys like anyone

[Stacocakes]

Obie I agree on both of those plays. Both should win. Best of luck with that parlay

[JNic]

yea i just dont see melzer losing, i was so surprised petzschner even won a game on this surface

[EaglesPhan36]

This one is about -130: Nalbandian, Ferrer & Ferrero.

[JNic]

kohlschreiber is a pretty good play, but theres no way somebody should be betting on murray in this game

[ringemup]

like murray to get past kohl here

[Stacocakes]

Going to pass on Gulbis. Just to inconsistant to take a chance betting on him.

Going to go with another parlay for tomorrow morning of the following :

Djokovic, Nalbandian and Murray which pays +142

Looks like a decent play with some good return. Was looking at a Murray Nalbandian parlay and that paid +105 or something like that so I like this one better. DJokovic shouldn't have any problems with Serra. Clay is Murray's worst surface but i'll just put him in a parlay so if he blows up I won't get hurt as bad.

There were some other decent plays on the board but not worth the risk. Ljubicic might be a good play but his back forced him to retire from a match recently so I will pass on him.

Best of luck tomorrow morning guys. Lets make some money

[Fthenorm]

some of these huge men's dogs are going to hit tomorrow and will surprise us all...almost appears to be more value in women's dogs tomorrow...such as Pous Tio, garbin, de brito and shvedova

[Stacocakes]

For sure. Women's tennis is way to stressfull to bet.Just going to stick to the mens tournament this week. Take enough years off my life gambling the other sports as it is haha

Bound to be some big upsets here sooner or later for sure I agree

[xXxBallin21xXx]

Hate to bet on WTA also but what do u think of Shvedova over Kirilenko? Im sorta leaning Shvedova.

[Stacocakes]

Kirilenko is just a typical inconsistant WTA player. Ever since she has come on the scene I have always had a thing for her and I used to look forward to seeing her matches when they were televised. What always pissed me off was that she would be knocked out in the first or second round all of the time so I would never get a chance to watch her matches. With that being said when she made her run in the Australian Open this year I was surprised to see her finally win some matches and do something. What has she done since this Australian Open.... she has lost four of her next seven matches and basically reverted back to the player she has always been. I think we are getting a slightly inflated price on Kirilenko because people still have the Aussie Open run in the back of their minds when wanting to bet her and that is good if you are looking at the dog in this match. To me this match is a complete toss up and I wouldn't be surprised if either player won. If you want to bet +126 on Shvedova then that play has some value to it but will it be a winner, who knows? I would personally rather back a player that may have a slightly higher price as a favorite because I feel that the player has a better chance of winning then just a 50/50 shot. If I had to bet that match I would agree with you that Shvedova would be the play but I am going to pass on it myself. Best of luck on the matches today Ballin21

[Boner_18]

I laid off completely last night and am glad I did. Seppi going to a third set, Petz barking about to take it in two.

Gonna put a small parlay on Nalbandian/Ljubicic, completely for fun with little or no capping. I might have have to quit clay like Andy Roddick.

[EaglesPhan36]

Money is on Youzhny. Hope that is just the people untrusting of Nalbandian and not a precursor. Need Fat Dave to finish off a parlay.

[xXxBallin21xXx]

Thanks SC, played small on Shvedova, but shuda went big...also played Montanes. Now looking at Youzhny but seems like alot are on Nalb. I wonder why?

[EaglesPhan36]

Nalbandian is the better clay player. Health is the only question, but he looked solid in Round 1.

[xXxBallin21xXx]

Hmmm, thanks EP, i guess no play for me.

[tankman777]

wow murray got whooped real bad

[Stacocakes]

Can't believe Murray lost so bad. How emberassing was that 62 61. Seriously now
Going to have to stay away from murray for awhile.Since that loss at the Australian Open he is not the same player at all.
Djokovic and Ferrer both won so the outrights are still alive
Nadal wins easily 61 60.Wow
Melzer and Monaco both upset as well.Surprised Monaco lost
Nalbandian lost the first set. Geez.Not a very good day today. Hopefully no one went big with their bets today

[Stacocakes]

Nalbandian down a set and a break now
Good thing I parlayed the three and didn't straight bet today.Would be buried

[EaglesPhan36]

Are you watching Fat Dave? I haven't been able to watch. Just curious if he's choking, showing injury or what. First 8 games in the 1st set seemed solid and then he fell apart on his serve in the last game in the 1st set.

[Stacocakes]

I haven't been watching the match. Just woke up and came to check the scores 15 mins ago. Looks like he has rebounded at least.He is now up a break over Youzhny. Hope he comes back for you guys

[EaglesPhan36]

Consolidated the break, now up 4-2. This seems somewhat like the Cilic-Andreev match. Russian gets the first set late, favorite comes back big in the 2nd (hopefully takes it). 3rd set ... go Nalbandian you fat bastard.

[EaglesPhan36]

Nalbandian breaks Youzhny to end the 2nd. Good way to start as he'll serve to begin the 3rd set. Looks like the Russian's serve dropped quite a bit in the 2nd set, hopefully it stays off and Fat Dave can feast on it.

[Diesel79]

Nalbandian.... true warrior