ATP/WTA Favorites Service Point Strategy

**TechnicalTrader** · 01-22-17, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by exoticus

Have you done this in Murray's game today, he lost 4 straight first points on service. Doesn't this mean you would have wiped your bank?

I missed Murray's game, but the system would've went:

A: 2-1
B: 0-1
C: 1:0

Note that I wait for THREE missed even/odd serves not like originally suggested. Take a look at the fifth game of the 3rd set. Murray lost both of the first odd both of the first even serve points. During his next service game, he dropped the very first point and that would've been my trigger. He then won the second point and disqualified the even serve chase. As you can see, he lost the second odd service point and the chase went to game B. On the second point of the first game in the fourth set, he won. Doing so, winning the B leg of the chase.

Use this link and get back to me if you have any questions: http://www.tennis24.com/match/dvIpns...int-by-point;1

I would suggest to ONLY play top 20-30 players and NEVER chase against them. Don't even look at any players under the 40-50 ranking. As for BR management; on a 3 game chase my total risk is never more than 40% of BR, so no, I loss would not wipe me out just hurt...

I hope this helped.

**exoticus** · 01-22-17, 12:27 PM

Oh i was under the impression that your are betting only on the first point for the server? "I wait for THREE missed even/odd serves" - 3 like combination of each to make a total of 3 or 3 from both odd and even servers for a total of 6? Lastly "As you can see, he lost the second odd service point" , didn't he win it? 0-15, 15-15, 30-15, 40-15, 40-30, 40-40, 40-A BP. Isn't 30-15 the second odd service point? Sorry for all the questions, just really want to get it

. Thank you.

**TechnicalTrader** · 01-22-17, 01:09 PM

3 odds OR 3 evens in a row. I'm on my phone, will explain in detail later if it's clear. Let me know.

**TechnicalTrader** · 01-22-17, 01:12 PM

Oh, forgot to mention that we are only taking the first four points of each game in to consideration.

**exoticus** · 01-22-17, 01:26 PM

Oh i see now, just one thing that's unclear first point - odd , second point - even, third point - odd, fourth point - even ---> correct? Too bad i am catching a flight tonight and will be away 2 weeks, won't be able to test it out now.

**TechnicalTrader** · 01-22-17, 01:37 PM

Correct and have a good flight.

**spankmythighs** · 01-30-17, 08:52 PM

Im back to kick this into high gear. Time to make some money and brainstorm. Time to make some money before MLB season. Putting some of my winnings into Bitcoin too. Year of the Bitcoin

**spankmythighs** · 01-30-17, 11:08 PM

+11 units today.

**spankmythighs** · 01-30-17, 11:09 PM

+13 units yesterday.

**spankmythighs** · 01-31-17, 11:54 PM

Old strategy: 30-1 today
New strategy: 9-0

**nosaij** · 02-01-17, 06:08 AM

do you guys need to call bet365 for live betting?

**gorwin068** · 02-01-17, 06:20 AM

Originally posted by nosaij

do you guys need to call bet365 for live betting?

In Australia I have to call, because of the law restriction...silly...

**nosaij** · 02-01-17, 06:39 AM

same thats why i asked

very inconvenient

**gorwin068** · 02-01-17, 06:44 AM

Originally posted by nosaij

same thats why i asked

very inconvenient

You are from Australia too?
Yeh, very silly and inconvenient if you want Live Betting, actually last year the law still allowed automated voice call on the computer so you can still place the bet instantly without making a phone call...But then few months ago the law even banned this...Damn

**spankmythighs** · 02-01-17, 08:40 AM

I live in Canada and we have zero restrictions on live betting. I cant believe u guys have to call in. That would be impossible with our strategy.

**gorwin068** · 02-01-17, 09:02 AM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

I live in Canada and we have zero restrictions on live betting. I cant believe u guys have to call in. That would be impossible with our strategy.

Yeh it's silly in Australia.

UK has no restriction at all too.

**spankmythighs** · 02-01-17, 10:06 AM

If you need me to trade for you guys let me know 👍

**spankmythighs** · 02-02-17, 12:32 AM

Not a ton of games lately.

21-0 for +21 units today. I'd say that's a hell of a day!

**spankmythighs** · 02-02-17, 12:33 AM

+54 units in the last 4 days alone.

**spankmythighs** · 02-02-17, 11:29 PM

Another 15-0 today for +15 units

+69 units in the last 5 days! If you are not doing this system, you're a dinosaur. This is the best strategy around folks. If you can live bet on bet365, than this is the last system you need.

**spankmythighs** · 02-06-17, 12:20 AM

The weekend was filled with tons of games. Took down around 40 more units on the weekend. Stats and record tomorrow.

**Dego** · 02-07-17, 06:18 AM

When are the next matches that offer odd/even set betting? Currently looking at bet365 but there is no games with this offer.

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-07-17, 10:00 AM

Awesome stuff Spanks!!

Someone asked me to explain the system in detail. Here is how I play it ( I personally wait for three missed odd/even serves and chase for three). It's just a lot less risky....

System is simple:

-Select top 30-40 player
-Only play his service games
-Only watch the first four points of each game, divide points in evens and odds
(his first point served is odd, second is even, third is odd, fourth is even)
-Wait for him to lose THREE odd or even serves
(example would be 0:15, 15:15, 15:30,30:30, here he lost his ODD service points, now wait for next service game. If he losses the first serve, play the third serve and chase)
-Never play any points after the fourth point of each game
(lets assume he misses the third service point, rather than playing the fifth, you play the first point of HIS next service game)
-Chase three times

-Your odds will be between 1.44 and 1.72 (-225 to -140)
-DO NOT risk to win more than 2% of your bankroll on the first bet. On a 2% chase, the third leg of the chase will cost you about 68% of your bankroll.

-I highly recommend to never risk to win more than 1% of bankroll. Just in case you miss an early chase, you'll still have enough cash to dig yourself out of the hole.

I hope this helped.

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-07-17, 10:02 AM

Originally posted by Dego

When are the next matches that offer odd/even set betting? Currently looking at bet365 but there is no games with this offer.

You need to play 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th point of service game. Books do not have the option "even or odd" service points

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-07-17, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

The weekend was filled with tons of games. Took down around 40 more units on the weekend. Stats and record tomorrow.

How many time did you lose a chase because I noticed about three games where a chase would've lost...

**Dego** · 02-08-17, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

You need to play 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th point of service game. Books do not have the option "even or odd" service points

This is the bet right?

**Dego** · 02-10-17, 05:28 AM

I get it now I think

Is there any way we could do the opposite chase? Against the guy that is serving, the odds look awesome 2.5+

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-14-17, 05:11 AM

OK, one last time for those who dont understand...

Tomas Berdych - Marius Copil 2:0

http://www.tennis24.com/match/8W0HLKLe/#point-by-point;1

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam (Netherlands), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

We are looking at yesterdays match between Berdych and Copil, focusing on the 8th game of the first set.

Berdych goes up 15:0, then drops the second serve (15:15), he then wins the third (30:15) and losses the fourth 30:30). We are now wating for HIS next service game and are playing EVENS, which is game 10.

During game 10, he losses his first service point (0:15) and then drops this second (0:30), this is our signal to bet on the next EVEN service point, which is point 4 of the 10th game. He then wins the third point (15:30) and sure enough wins the fourth (30:30). This was an A game winner.

He also lost the second and fourth service points of the 7th game of the second set, but the score was 4-3 after that game and this match was only a first to two set match. I do not play the upcoming points because a C game chase is in danger. He ended up winning the fourth point of the ninth game (which would've worked out), but as you can see he won the 10th game so a B and C point chase would not have been possible.

If it's not clear, I am sorry you might just need to move on and try another system.

Spankster, are you playing any games today?? I was up around 8% BR 8 units) yesterday...

**spankmythighs** · 02-14-17, 08:39 PM

You are correct. I did manage to lose one on the weekend. There were a couple others but I was working and managed to stay away from those. The early games kill me with the time change. I have been playing <150 in challenger aswell.

**gougola** · 02-15-17, 06:32 AM

Today looks to be an absolutely sick day for the system! I have been trying it out, and losing a lot penetrating around with challengers and servers with low 1/st %. Expirienced some bad luck yesterday with Cilic losing 3 1st serve points in a row. The system overall is super! I just have to be more disciplined myself.

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-15-17, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by gougola

Today looks to be an absolutely sick day for the system! I have been trying it out, and losing a lot penetrating around with challengers and servers with low 1/st %. Expirienced some bad luck yesterday with Cilic losing 3 1st serve points in a row. The system overall is super! I just have to be more disciplined myself.

Again, only play players with high first serve % rates and also avoid anything under top 30,40,50 players.

Discipline is key.

**gougola** · 02-15-17, 02:52 PM

Just got absolutely destroyed with Alexander Zverev losing 3 even points in a row... This strategy might not be for me after all.

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-15-17, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by gougola

Just got absolutely destroyed with Alexander Zverev losing 3 even points in a row... This strategy might not be for me after all.

I'm preety sure you are playing it wrong. Here are all of the Zverev plays (highlighted blue):

Trigger: SET1, GAME 3 and 5 =

0:15, 0:30, 0:40, 15:40, 30:40, 40:40, A:40
0:15
, 15:15, 30:15, 40:15, 40:30, 40:40, 40:A, 40:40, A:40, 40:40, 40:ABP

Chase: SET 1, GAME 5 =

0:15, 15:15, 30:
15, 40:15, 40:30, 40:40, 40:AP, 40:40, A:40, 40:40, 40:ABP

Trigger SET 1,GAMES 7 and 9 =

15:0, 15:15, 30:15, 30:30, 40:30, 40:40, A:40
15:0, 15:15,
30:15, 40:15

Chase: SET 1 GAMES 9 =

15:0, 15:15, 30:15, 40:
15

Game 4 of the second set also had an even game triggered and it ended up going to a C game, in the 8th game of that set.

Which games did you play???

Again.... Wait for the serving player to drop THREE odd or even points (counting ONLY the first four points of a game), then chase.

**TechnicalTrader** · 02-15-17, 03:21 PM

Formatting sucks on this site. Just go to tennis24 and see for yourself...

**gougola** · 02-15-17, 04:15 PM

Oh my God, I had it all wrong. I saw game 4 of set 2 as a trigger to chase the even service points, so i chased the even points in game 6, and the first even point in game 8, then I gave up the hit to BR being so big. So the chase actually triggered in game 6 of set 2, when Zverev lost the first even service point???
BR taking some damage because of me being stupid and not playing it right

Thanks for the reply, I might give this another shot in X amout of time, because I really think you are on to something!