ATP/WTA Favorites Service Point Strategy

spankmythighs · 03-14-17, 11:29 PM

...1st and 2 odd points only over the next 2 service games. No even points.

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 09:44 AM

Awesome stuff. Could you please confirm your exact variables:

Server ranking
Server serving %
Chase length
etc.

I'll start testing also

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 12:29 PM

I have just been taking any and all returners in ATP matches where they were blanked in 2 consecutive service games.

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 12:32 PM

This I can create an app for with an alert that allows you enough time to switch over to your site to get your wagers in.

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 02:31 PM

are you willing to share that app kind sir?

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 02:34 PM

Carreno Busta has produced 3 wins for us in his gm today so far at 2.75 to 3.00! Awesome!

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

are you willing to share that app kind sir?

It will be in production shortly. You definitely get a freebie!

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 03:26 PM

You sir, you sir..... You sir are one fine lad!

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 03:32 PM

BTW, been looking at MLB, trying to play a similar system but it is not looking profitable, or at least not in the regular season. ST is looking fine. Here's how it works:

Wait for one or both teams to score in each of the first three innings, play live to not score in the next three. Simple ABC chase, odds should start off around -110 and end at around +110. OR, the complete opposite, wait for three shutout innings and chase for a run. ST has been doing fine but the regular season numbers are terrible.

The two games which would've won today are: ATL/DET (A leg won) and WSH/HOU (B leg won).

A three game chase would cost you about 7 units. Last seasons numbers were: 116-20 or 116-140, a loss of 24 units...

Maybe an additional filter or two will help.... back to the lab!

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 04:02 PM

Alert: Goffin is a play on the return

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

Alert: Goffin is a play on the return

BAAMMMM! Got it on the third leg of the chase: ended up risking a total of 4.39% of BR,winning 1%. Not bad. Easy money.

TechnicalTrader · 03-15-17, 04:51 PM

I only caught the C leg of the last Cuevas return play, it failed but again I got lucky...

As for the MLB system I'm playing with, it's 4-0 with CLE/TEX pending. I was only able to take the LAA/SF game live, but on paper it's 4-0

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

I only caught the C leg of the last Cuevas return play, it failed but again I got lucky...

As for the MLB system I'm playing with, it's 4-0 with CLE/TEX pending. I was only able to take the LAA/SF game live, but on paper it's 4-0

Ya that was my only loss of the day. I played ATP and Challenger today for a nice 17-1 record so far with plenty to go! The sweep system I use is the best on the planet. It wont start till late April though

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 07:16 PM

Here is the thread: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...em-2016-a.html

Its dynamite and I have a recoup strategy that I implemented so really I had no losses last yr

spankmythighs · 03-15-17, 07:19 PM

Should take turns on twitter till I have the app up and running

TechnicalTrader · 03-16-17, 01:08 AM

Yes, the RPI sweep system. I remember watching that thread...

spankmythighs · 03-26-17, 07:01 PM

So I have concluded my testing and found that waiting for 4 losses on odd/even and only betting when they have 70% or better first serve is the way to go. Only chase for 2 odd or even points

TechnicalTrader · 03-27-17, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

So I have concluded my testing and found that waiting for 4 losses on odd/even and only betting when they have 70% or better first serve is the way to go. Only chase for 2 odd or even points

Good stuff! I've been busy preparing for the MLB season but will take another look. I think the key to this strat is to bet very small units and spread your risk!

vengeano · 03-27-17, 10:34 AM

Well this is clearly working, but i am finding this extremely difficult to watch all the games and spot the one that triggers. For example in the ATP Miami there were more than 10 games played at the same time so i had to choose 3-4 to keep my eye on. But this way i was missing way too many triggers, and those chases won. Are you picking your games live or prematch ?

TechnicalTrader · 03-27-17, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by vengeano

Well this is clearly working, but i am finding this extremely difficult to watch all the games and spot the one that triggers. For example in the ATP Miami there were more than 10 games played at the same time so i had to choose 3-4 to keep my eye on. But this way i was missing way too many triggers, and those chases won. Are you picking your games live or prematch ?

I just go to tennis24.com and CTRL+right click on all "qualifying" live games and just click back and forth while games are being played. You'll find a groove pretty quickly after doing it for a few days...