ATP/WTA Favorites Service Point Strategy

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  • spankmythighs
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-10
    • 2884

    #211
    ...1st and 2 odd points only over the next 2 service games. No even points.
    sbr
    Comment
    • TechnicalTrader
      SBR MVP
      • 05-09-16
      • 1434

      #212
      Awesome stuff. Could you please confirm your exact variables:

      Server ranking
      Server serving %
      Chase length
      etc.

      I'll start testing also
      Comment
      • spankmythighs
        SBR MVP
        • 01-26-10
        • 2884

        #213
        I have just been taking any and all returners in ATP matches where they were blanked in 2 consecutive service games.
        sbr
        Comment
        • spankmythighs
          SBR MVP
          • 01-26-10
          • 2884

          #214
          This I can create an app for with an alert that allows you enough time to switch over to your site to get your wagers in.
          sbr
          Comment
          • TechnicalTrader
            SBR MVP
            • 05-09-16
            • 1434

            #215
            are you willing to share that app kind sir?
            Comment
            • spankmythighs
              SBR MVP
              • 01-26-10
              • 2884

              #216
              Carreno Busta has produced 3 wins for us in his gm today so far at 2.75 to 3.00! Awesome!
              sbr
              Comment
              • spankmythighs
                SBR MVP
                • 01-26-10
                • 2884

                #217
                Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                are you willing to share that app kind sir?
                It will be in production shortly. You definitely get a freebie!
                sbr
                Comment
                • TechnicalTrader
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-09-16
                  • 1434

                  #218
                  You sir, you sir..... You sir are one fine lad!
                  Comment
                  • TechnicalTrader
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-09-16
                    • 1434

                    #219
                    BTW, been looking at MLB, trying to play a similar system but it is not looking profitable, or at least not in the regular season. ST is looking fine. Here's how it works:

                    Wait for one or both teams to score in each of the first three innings, play live to not score in the next three. Simple ABC chase, odds should start off around -110 and end at around +110. OR, the complete opposite, wait for three shutout innings and chase for a run. ST has been doing fine but the regular season numbers are terrible.

                    The two games which would've won today are: ATL/DET (A leg won) and WSH/HOU (B leg won).

                    A three game chase would cost you about 7 units. Last seasons numbers were: 116-20 or 116-140, a loss of 24 units...

                    Maybe an additional filter or two will help.... back to the lab!
                    Comment
                    • TechnicalTrader
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-09-16
                      • 1434

                      #220
                      Alert: Goffin is a play on the return
                      Comment
                      • TechnicalTrader
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-09-16
                        • 1434

                        #221
                        Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                        Alert: Goffin is a play on the return

                        BAAMMMM! Got it on the third leg of the chase: ended up risking a total of 4.39% of BR,winning 1%. Not bad. Easy money.
                        Comment
                        • TechnicalTrader
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-09-16
                          • 1434

                          #222
                          I only caught the C leg of the last Cuevas return play, it failed but again I got lucky...

                          As for the MLB system I'm playing with, it's 4-0 with CLE/TEX pending. I was only able to take the LAA/SF game live, but on paper it's 4-0
                          Comment
                          • spankmythighs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-26-10
                            • 2884

                            #223
                            Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                            I only caught the C leg of the last Cuevas return play, it failed but again I got lucky...

                            As for the MLB system I'm playing with, it's 4-0 with CLE/TEX pending. I was only able to take the LAA/SF game live, but on paper it's 4-0
                            Ya that was my only loss of the day. I played ATP and Challenger today for a nice 17-1 record so far with plenty to go! The sweep system I use is the best on the planet. It wont start till late April though
                            sbr
                            Comment
                            • spankmythighs
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-26-10
                              • 2884

                              #224
                              Here is the thread: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...em-2016-a.html

                              Its dynamite and I have a recoup strategy that I implemented so really I had no losses last yr
                              sbr
                              Comment
                              • spankmythighs
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-26-10
                                • 2884

                                #225
                                Should take turns on twitter till I have the app up and running
                                sbr
                                Comment
                                • TechnicalTrader
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-09-16
                                  • 1434

                                  #226
                                  Yes, the RPI sweep system. I remember watching that thread...
                                  Comment
                                  • spankmythighs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-26-10
                                    • 2884

                                    #227
                                    So I have concluded my testing and found that waiting for 4 losses on odd/even and only betting when they have 70% or better first serve is the way to go. Only chase for 2 odd or even points
                                    sbr
                                    Comment
                                    • TechnicalTrader
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-09-16
                                      • 1434

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                      So I have concluded my testing and found that waiting for 4 losses on odd/even and only betting when they have 70% or better first serve is the way to go. Only chase for 2 odd or even points
                                      Good stuff! I've been busy preparing for the MLB season but will take another look. I think the key to this strat is to bet very small units and spread your risk!
                                      Comment
                                      • vengeano
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 02-13-12
                                        • 7

                                        #229
                                        Well this is clearly working, but i am finding this extremely difficult to watch all the games and spot the one that triggers. For example in the ATP Miami there were more than 10 games played at the same time so i had to choose 3-4 to keep my eye on. But this way i was missing way too many triggers, and those chases won. Are you picking your games live or prematch ?
                                        Comment
                                        • TechnicalTrader
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-09-16
                                          • 1434

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by vengeano
                                          Well this is clearly working, but i am finding this extremely difficult to watch all the games and spot the one that triggers. For example in the ATP Miami there were more than 10 games played at the same time so i had to choose 3-4 to keep my eye on. But this way i was missing way too many triggers, and those chases won. Are you picking your games live or prematch ?

                                          I just go to tennis24.com and CTRL+right click on all "qualifying" live games and just click back and forth while games are being played. You'll find a groove pretty quickly after doing it for a few days...
                                          Comment
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