2016 US/European Summer Series (Inc US Open) picks

[Jeff_Black]

EDIT: Forgot to add, and somewhere in between picks for the 2016 Rio Olympics

Continues from: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-picks-p3.html

ATP Hamburg 500, Mens Singles, R16
Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs Greg Zemlja
Set Handicap: Guillermo Garcia-Lopez -1.5 sets @ 1.641 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Newport 250, Mens Singles, R16
Dudi Sela vs Rajeev Ram
Moneyline: Dudi Sela @ 1.884 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Wimbledon weather during the first week was brutal, last two days have been ok in that regard. Let's hope that nasty rain has passed over Europe and America for the time being!

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Hamburg 500, Mens Singles, QF
Phillipp Kohlscrieber vs Renzo Olivo
Handicap: Renzo Olivo +5.0 @ 2.13 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Lightning]

ATP Hamburg 500, Mens Singles, QF
Phillipp Kohlscrieber vs Renzo Olivo
Handicap: Renzo Olivo +5.0 @ 2.13 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Not sure what to make of Kohlscreiber at the moment... Kicker looked amazing in the first set and Kohl had no answers. I had something on so I missed the second and third sets but he must've turned it on then.

[Jeff_Black]

Yeah odd start to him in this tournament, usually he's a reliable guy to back in Germany/Europe/Clay and Grass but sometimes obviously it's tougher. Olivo? Ive seen his last few games and hes been going about business well. More then happy to take that big line.

[Jeff_Black]

ITF Davis Cup, World Group QFs, Mens Singles
Janko Tipsarevic vs Kyle Edmund
Handicap: Janko Tipsarevic +3.0 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ITF Davis Cup, World Group QFs, Mens Singles
Lukas Rosol vs Jo Wilfried Tsonga
Total Score: Over 38.5 @ 1.884 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Lightning]

Looks as if we've almost gone the opposite

[Jeff_Black]

3 game handicaps are always so tough and more often then not with my luck if I back the favourite it usually goes 5 sets with them losing.

[Jeff_Black]

I honestly didn't get the time to look at the other threads and picks and see what's popular. Bol to all anyway

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Bastad 250, Men's Singles, SF
David Ferrer vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
Handicap: Albert Ramos Vinolas +3.5 @ 1.806 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Bastad 250, Men's Singles, SF
Fernando Verdasco vs Gastao Elias
Handicap: Gastao Elias +5.0 @ 1.719 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Hamburg 500, Men's Singles, SF
Renzo Olivo vs Pablo Cuevas
Handicap: Renzo Olivo +5.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

Rain in Bastad also btw

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Hamburg, German Tennis Championships 2016, Mens Singles, Final
Pablo Cuevas vs Martin Klizan
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Bastad, SkiStar Swedish Open, Mens Singles, Final
Fernando Verdasco vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
Handicap: Albert Ramos Vinolas +3.0 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1 play

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Kitzbuhel 250, Mens Singles, R1
Jurgen Melzer vs Taro Daniel
Handicap: Jurgen Melzer +3.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Lightning]

Surprised you're not jumping on more this evening, Jeff! Hope Melzer does well on his return - shocked me a bit with his Davis Cup performance, I must admit.

[Jeff_Black]

Honestly I scanned through the damn draw of the European ones several times and didn't find a whole lot I liked. Might do them in the later rounds as the mugs are weeded out.
Washington has a good draw though hopefully will post a play or two for it later

[Lightning]

Fair call I suppose. I just like the European ones more because I'm actually up for them haha

[Jeff_Black]

Oh I am too haha, there's just a lot of mugs playing

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Gstaad 250, Mens Singles, R1
Dustin Brown vs Juan Monaco
Handicap: Juan Monaco -3.5 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Gstaad 250, Men's Singles, R2
Elias Ymer vs Konstantin Kranchuk
Handicap: Elias Ymer -3.0 @ 1.757 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[fitguy67]

still doin' fine...

treading water uneventfully as you've been for a while is way way better than drowning slowly as most do

keep 'em comin' jeff,

as a 'round-the-clock sport, it's often hit or miss for me on being able to tail...but i eventually always catch up in tracking your progress

158

132

+19.117u

=+5.582%

of 342.50u

[Jeff_Black]

Ey, it's a marathon at the end of the day isnt it? Heh. Winning season sure as hell beats a losing one 10 times out of 10 haha.

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R1
Alexandr Dolgopolov vs Donald Young
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov -3.0 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Favourites got absolutely killed today not just SU but ATS as well. Guess everyone felt the pain of that today haha

ATP Canada Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R2
Novak Djokovic vs Gilles Muller
Handicap: Gilles Muller +5.0 @ 2.05 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Canada Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R2
Bernard Tomic vs Steven Diez
Handicap: Steven Diez +5.0 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Canada Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R2
Dominic Thiem vs Kevin Anderson
Handicap: Kevin Anderson +2.0 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Lightning]

Actually considered all of those myself, especially Anderson considering the h2h record. I hate basing plays directly on h2h records, but when Kevin hasn't lost to Thiem, yet he's the outsider, it makes me interested. Couldn't bring myself to do it in the end because I think Thiem IS a lot better than when they last met, but it's certaintly tempting.

Muller's line looks amazing because he's got a solid serve and Djokovic doesn't generally cover in early rounds, but I've learnt the hard way not to fade Novak because nothing is safe if he's on.

As a side note, can't believe Fognini was $3.5 yesterday. Amazing.

[Jeff_Black]

Even just a 4.5 line ain't bad even taking into account the potential of three sets.
That said Fognini is always worth taking more so as a dog then he ever is as a fav but I guess most think like that.

As for Anderson and Thiem it reminds me of his and Stans matchup. For some reason can't break him in best of three.
Have noticed that Thiem is a slow starter on hards sometimes like last year but this time around he's had a proper break which can help too.

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R16
Novak Djokovic vs Radek Stepanek
Handicap: Radek Stepanek +6.0 @ 1.793 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R16
Money line: Gael Monfils @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Rogers Cup, R16
Jack Sock vs Stan Wawrinka
Handicap: Jack Sock +3.0 @ 1.787 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

For some reason my Pinnacle is being an anus today so shop around at your best/preffered books
Will be quoting William Hills odds today and do note I believe they void all retirement matches

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Mens Singles, QF
Stan Wawrinka vs Kevin Anderson
Total Score: Over 22.5 @ 1.73 on William Hill
Stake: 1u play

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Mens Singles, QF
Grigor Dimitrov vs Kei Nishikori
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.73 on William Hill
Stake: 1u play

[Jeff_Black]

I have a feeling that the 21.5 will come back to bite me like Sock's WTA like effort against Stan in the second set but I feel that's too low for a 'anything can happen' against Kei type of game..

[beefcake]

Anderson 4-4 career vs Stan. 4 out of last 5. And covered the 2.5 in 6 of 8.

[Lightning]

I don't really blame you for taking the overs in the Wawrinka match... quite a few things pointed to it. The one thing that stopped me was that I was worried one of the two would blow the other away, and I couldn't be sure which way it would go. In the end it worked in my favour because I have a futures bet on Stan to reach the final, but unlucky for you.

[Jeff_Black]

Yeah at some point the trends will change and the bubble will burst. Anderson was pretty good in his other matches but even not just a one sided score but a very one sided score was surprising

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Mens Singles, SF
Novak Djokovic vs Gael Monfils
Handicap: Gael Monfils +5.5 @ 1.645 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Canadian Masters 1000, Mens Singles, SF
Stan Wawrinka vs Kei Nishikori
Handicap: Stan Wawrinka -2.0 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

[Conqueror]

Yes

[Jeff_Black]

Sad thing is I was confident enough in Monfils to make it my only play. Sometimes when thinks look too good to be true they aren't. Played well in North America all year even including before clay but wasn't able to put it together today.

Novak won a title without getting out of second gear, that's a scary thing for the rest of the field. That said he didn't have to.
He'll want that gold to make up for Wimbledon.

Kei looks legit too despite some unspectacular slam results, anyone see him playing for a medal even if it's the bronze?

[Lightning]

If Novak plays at top gear, he'll win, no question. But I'm not sure that he will, especially with the US. I'm not laying down big on the olympics for this reason, but I've got a small amount on Nadal, because he's the only one that's publically come out and said that the Olympics is a big event and he really wants to win it. Motivation is three quarters of the battle.

You're right about Kei. He could probably beat anyone other than Novak and Murray at the moment.

[Jeff_Black]

Fox Sports reporting that Nadal is himself not even sure if he will play despite the Olympics being several days away, very bizzarre. Says he has practised here and there, and feels alright but also feels underdone. Whatever that means haha
Probably his last chance to play but already has one medal

[pabonaparte]

Underdone as in undercooked? Too raw?