2016 US/European Summer Series (Inc US Open) picks

**Jeff_Black** · 08-01-16, 09:46 PM

If we're talking undercooked then he still hasn't come out of the freezer to be defrosted!

No matches since the French Open, that's in May/Early June, sheesh

**Jeff_Black** · 08-01-16, 09:49 PM

RAFAEL Nadal has conceded he is not yet sure he will be able to represent Spain at the Rio Olympics as his fitness concerns linger.
The 2008 gold medallist withdrew from the French Open with a wrist injury and missed Wimbledon.
“I will not be at the best level in any of the categories,” Nadal said on Sunday.
“I have not competed for two months and I have not trained a lot.
“I will train a few days here to see what I can do and then decide what is best, to be more positive for me and the team.” Nadal’s Spanish tea mate David Ferrer acknowledged last week that the 14-time grand slam champion’s fitness situation was “delicate”.

**Lightning** · 08-02-16, 03:58 AM

Slightly concerning, but I only have a very small amount on as I said. Not going to lay down a huge amount if I can't get a grip on motivation etc

**Jeff_Black** · 08-02-16, 08:52 PM

Latest mail is, Nadal is IN, Wawrinka is OUT

ATP BB&T Atlanta Open 250, Mens Singles, R16
Nick Kyrgios vs Jared Donaldson
Set Betting: Nick Kyrgios 2-0 @ 1.58 on Luxbet
Stake: 2u play

**Lightning** · 08-02-16, 10:17 PM

Agree with this, love how everyone thinks Kyrgios can't play because he loses two matches in a row. Will probably win the thing, or at least get to the final.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-03-16, 05:06 AM

Kyrgios seemingly won a title out of nowhere against players like Gasquet Berdych and Cilic in Marsielle.
Atlanta has a far weaker field with an even weaker bottom half.
Like you I was very uber tempted to take the outright but I don't like the little juice, second fav For sure but was hoping for more. I think he will win it too and beat whoevers on the bottom to make it to the final.
I think the title motivation is an up yours to the clowns he's been bagging out for questioning him to play in he Olympics and hopefully for his sake he makes em look silly.
I'll just look at the odds each day and bet accordingly.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-03-16, 05:07 AM

Also apologies for the other bookie odds fellas, shop around I saw this at -200, 1.50 but pinnacle is still being anus on my laptop. It's still showing Montreal in r16 under tennis so I'm gonna check my phone/iPad to see if it's the same.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-06-16, 02:25 AM

ATP BB&T Atlanta 250, Mens Singles, SF
Nick Kyrgios vs Yoshihioto Nishioka
Set Handicap: Nick Kyrgios -1.5 sets @ 1.588 on Pinnacle
Stake: 2u play

ATP Olympics Rio, Men's Singles, R1
Dustin Brown vs Tomaz Belluci
Moneyline: Tomaz Belluci @ 1.704 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 08-07-16, 10:18 AM

Unlucky for those on the Brown ML with him retiring due to an awkward fall, Belluci anything but a sure win after that poor start. I'll take the voided bet though. Nice to have one go my way that time hah.

ATP BB&T Atlanta Open, Mens Singles, Final
John Isner vs Nick Kyrgios
Moneyline: Nick Kyrgios @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rio Olympics, Mens Singles, R1
David Ferrer vs Denis Istomin
Handicap: Denis Istomin +4.0 @ 1.769 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rio Olympics, Mens Singles, R1
Andy Murray vs Viktor Troicki
Handicap: Viktor Troicki +6.5 @ 1.689 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Grivas_Digeni** · 08-07-16, 12:17 PM

Why is it voided? It's a standard practice to grade ML bets after one full set is completed, am I wrong?

**fitguy67** · 08-08-16, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni

Why is it voided? It's a standard practice to grade ML bets after one full set is completed, am I wrong?

http://www.bettingontennis.net/tennis-betting-tips/tennis-retirement-betting-rules-explained/

**Jeff_Black** · 08-08-16, 10:06 PM

ATP Rio Olympics, Mens Singles, R3
Gael Monfils vs Marin Cilic
Moneyline: Gael Monfils @ 1.81 on Crownbet
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rio Olympics, Mens Singles, R3
Roberto Bautista Agut vs Gilles Muller
Total Score: Over 22.5 @ 1.88 on Crownbet
Stake: 1u play

Ey it's an unfair system isn't it. But it's the way it is.
As it's been discussed on an earlier one of my threads if there is an O/U total score bet (likely over) that is declared OVER regardless of the result of the match like a 17.5 total score match with the first set resulting in a tiebreak and the bookies void it because it was incomplete you'll likely have some luck contacting them and quoting the rulebook and they'll likely pay you out.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-09-16, 09:50 AM

ATP Los Cabos 250, Mens Singles, R1
Marcel Granollers vs Fernando Verdasco
Handicap: Fernando Verdasco -3.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 08-11-16, 10:48 PM

ATP Rio Olympics, Men's Singles, QF
Rafael Nadal vs Tomaz Belluci
Handicap: Tomaz Bellucci +5.0 @ 1.806 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rio Olympics, Men's Singles, QF
Juan Martin Del Potro vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Total Score: Over 22.0 @ 1.74 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 08-13-16, 03:12 AM

ATP Rio Olympics, Men's Singles, SF
Rafael Nadal vs Juan Martin Del Potro
Handicap: Juan Martin Del Potro +2.0 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rio Olympics, Men's Singles, SF
Andy Murray vs Kei Nishikori
Total Score: Over 21.0 @ 1.757 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Lightning** · 08-13-16, 10:02 AM

So hoping Nadal wins this haha, what a competitor

**Jeff_Black** · 08-13-16, 11:25 PM

Ahhh that's unfortunate for Nadal, looked good but Del Potro playing like a beast
I hope he can keep this up for a bit and a slam or two won't be beyond him

ATP Rio Olympics, Men's Singles, Final (Gold Medal match)
Juan Martin Del Potro vs Andy Murray
Handicap: Juan Martin Del Potro +5.5 @ 1.833 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Rio Olympics, Men's Singles, Bronze Medal Match
Kei Nishikori vs Rafael Nadal
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.735 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Lightning** · 08-14-16, 11:03 PM

fuark that's unlucky haha, nailed nadal but lost by .5 on Potro. Worst feeling

**Jeff_Black** · 08-15-16, 05:08 AM

Ey 1-1 is better then 0-2 haha.
Well better Olympics then I had hoped after a bad start. Felt that less plays were the go and the delays put me off a bit.
Cincy and the US to round off this thread so hopefully with the short turnaround and open draw some dimes in the rough

**Jeff_Black** · 08-15-16, 09:06 AM

ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
Nick Kyrgios vs Lucas Pouille
Set Handicap: Nick Kyrgios -1.5 sets @ 1.806 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
Grigor Dimitrov vs Gilles Simon
Money Line: Grigor Dimitrov @ 1.884 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, R1
Viktor Troicki vs Marin Cilic
Handicap: Viktor Troicki +4.0 @ 1.840 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 08-15-16, 09:28 AM

YTD: 171-144, +17.585u

Updated YTD so it's easier to do update later on, Next update will be after US Open i.e. end of thread.

**Lightning** · 08-16-16, 12:51 AM

Goooddd call on Dimitrov... I swear I've taken him h2h about 5 times, he's lost all but one, finally decided Simon is more consistent and he gets blown out of the water. I don't know how I missed Kyrgios 2-0 either haha, $1.8 is money for jam.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-16-16, 04:41 AM

Ey I remember being burned getting on him and watching him and watching him suck against Dimitrov in Brisbane . And watching him suck against whoever he plays when I get on him haha.
Then he makes Djokovic play the worst slam match of his career since his loss to Nishikori at the us and pushes him to five sets.
So the lesson here is back him when he's a big outsider :P

And yes I did take into account dimitrovs large lapses of form but I guess sometimes it's more then that?

As for Kyrgios yeah he's hard to back straight but I'd rather back the 2-0 then a questionable line if the odds are right. His form in Atlanta has been good and got better and Pouille seems to have fallen off his green patch...

**Jeff_Black** · 08-21-16, 01:20 AM

ATP Cincinnati Masters 1000, Mens Singles, Final
Andy Murray vs Marin Cilic
Handicap: Marin Cilic +4.0 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Jeff_Black** · 08-28-16, 10:50 PM

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Novak Djokovic vs Jerzy Janowicz
Handicap: Jerzy Janowicz +10.0 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Steve Darcis vs Jordan Thompson
Handicap: Steve Darcis -3.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Marcos Baghdatis vs Fagundo Bagnis
Handicap: Fagundo Bagnis +9.0 @ 1.806 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Benoit Paire vs Dusan Lajovic
Total Score: Over 38.5 @ 1.990 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Kyle Edmund vs Richard Gasquet
Total Score: Under 36.0 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Lightning** · 08-29-16, 12:46 AM

Glad I'm not the only one who thought the overs in Paire/Lajovic was value. Took Lajovic +4 in the end because I don't fully trust Paire but both should get up.

Also like the Darcis play, that's not a lot of games to lay over three sets haha

**Jeff_Black** · 08-29-16, 09:25 PM

Yeah rookie mistake going for that kind of favourite, better off just taking over for those sort of games, rest of the card looks good though

**Jeff_Black** · 08-29-16, 11:01 PM

Gah two pushes, one from a nearly winnable position the other up in the air, as it stands a 2-1 day which i'll take

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Bernard Tomic vs Damir Dzuhmir
Total Score: Over 33.5 Games @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Alexandr Dolgopolov vs David Ferrer
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov +5.0 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Fernando Verdasco vs Stan Wawrinka
Total Score: Over 38.5 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles R1
Alexander Zverev vs Daniel Brands
Total Score: Over 35.0 Games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R1
Jared Donaldson vs David Goffin
Handicap: Jared Donaldson +7.0 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

**Lightning** · 08-30-16, 12:51 AM

To be honest with you, was looking a brilliant move right up unti Paire railed him 6-1 in the last ahaha. A push nonetheless, but a win would've been better.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-30-16, 04:20 AM

Yeah that's Paire for you, beat Kei nishikori from memory last year in Rd 1
But lost to bogomolov as a fav the year before in Rd 1 despite a 36/2 ace/df ratio or something like that haha

**Lightning** · 08-30-16, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by Jeff_Black

Yeah that's Paire for you, beat Kei nishikori from memory last year in Rd 1
But lost to bogomolov as a fav the year before in Rd 1 despite a 36/2 ace/df ratio or something like that haha

That's it. Hard to trust him aha

**Jeff_Black** · 08-30-16, 03:50 PM

And Querrey who took out Djokovic goes down to tipsarevic in four at his home slam against a guy who I think has played not even close to 10 matches this year

**pabonaparte** · 08-30-16, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by Jeff_Black

And Querrey who took out Djokovic goes down to tipsarevic in four at his home slam against a guy who I think has played not even close to 10 matches this year

I remember Tipsarevic from way way back when. If this is how long rest can affect an older player's play I would be happy to back Roger Federer once he returns from his hiatus!

**Jeff_Black** · 08-30-16, 09:10 PM

Good ball striker who may have overachieved a tad, just physically didn't handle it as well. Was surprised he held up without injuries as long as he did. But watching him cause an upset doesn't surprise me in the least. It's just funny Querrey went from the biggest win of his career to a disappointing loss. Some may say that's the story of his career lol.

**Jeff_Black** · 08-30-16, 10:14 PM

3-1 day that time with another voided bet from Dolgopolov retiring. That brings the total for the US Open to 5-2-3. Not surprising there are a handful of retirements again.
Think if the line is right I'll look at fading Ferrer again. Had him pencilled for a before QF R2-R3 exit anyway so we'll see.

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
Rafael Nadal vs Andreas Seppi
Set Handicap: Rafael Nadal -2.5 sets @ 1.625 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
Sergey Stakhovsky vs Marin Cilic
Total Score: Over 33.0 Games @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
John Isner vs Steve Darcis
Total Score: Over 36.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
Lucas Pouille vs Marco Chuidinelli
Total Score: Over 36.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play

ATP US Open 2000, Mens Singles, R2
Federico Delbonis vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Total Score: Over 34.0 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: 1u play