Yeah, that was one of the sites, were I checked the lines. It worked fine, for me...
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Ok works for me now too, didn't this morning, cheers!!Comment -
So how about Ivory ML or draw then?
Also, have you considered the effect that the meteorological conditions will have on the two teams?Comment -
Well for instance, one might imagine that Colombians will be more used to the humidity and air pressure. Whether that has an effect or not, I wouldn't know.Comment -
The weather in Brasilia should not be a factor. 50% humidity.Comment -
Thanks for sharing. I will have to think twice about backing Colombia.
Uruguay has not been a European team @WC since 1970. I think I am starting to like the over in that one too. Maybe also a little on 2-1 England (5 out of 10 of their h2h matches finished with that score).Comment -
Hey HB, that was a $800 strike for me by Ivory Coast, LOL!!! Damn man, I was sweating this game bec I got home from teaching this morning & it was 0-0 in 50th min... How lucky was I to cash both of these??? Hope you are having a good day
I am now...
Jun 19, 2014 11:08 AM Total $225.00 $214.29 Soccer - 21013 Colombia/Cote d Ivoire over 2½ -105 for Game
Jun 19, 2014 11:09 AM Future/Prop $200.00 $153.85 Win Soccer Props - World Cup - Group C - Game Props - Colombia vs Ivory Coast - Both Team To Score - Yes -130
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Too many question marks surrounding this second game. I am staying away and just enjoy the football. It should be a good one.
And sorry if I managed to convince you to take the wrong side in Colombia-Ivory coast game.
Great job!Hey HB, that was a $800 strike for me by Ivory Coast, LOL!!! Damn man, I was sweating this game bec I got home from teaching this morning & it was 0-0 in 50th min... How lucky was I to cash both of these??? Hope you are having a good day I am now...
Jun 19, 2014 11:08 AM Total $225.00 $214.29 Soccer - 21013 Colombia/Cote d Ivoire over 2½ -105 for Game
Jun 19, 2014 11:09 AM Future/Prop $200.00 $153.85 Win Soccer Props - World Cup - Group C - Game Props - Colombia vs Ivory Coast - Both Team To Score - Yes -130 
The goals might come in late, but it was fully deserved win, for the over bet. I hope you will not stop there
I am good. Not thrilled about losing 4 unit bet, but I will do better tommorow. I still think it was a decent bet. Difference between the teams were obviously stupid mistakes, which Ivory coast made when conceeded both goals. At first one, they allowed 170 cm tall player to score a header, among 3 of their defenders. And for the second goal, they lost possesion, 30 meters in front of their goal. You just cannot do that...Comment -
Sup HB. It is all good about the IC game; I still had a decent FIFA day. I am back to bounce my ideas off you.
I think, the Costa Rican bus is almost of German engineering quality and they will really try to park it well tomorrow to try and steal the crucial point. Italy on the other hand will not be so deadly, especially early on, because they do not play as well against the bus; I also have a feeling they will not be attacking with numbers especially early on. I am liking the under FG and 0-0 1H.
On to the next group, I tend to like 0-0 1H again for France-Switzerland, with both teams not playing that well in the first game. Yeah, France won handily but I would not say they looked that great in the 1H against the Honduran bus. The draw will also suit both teams nicely. In short, I leaning 1H 0-0 and maybe Swiss +1 although I am not so sure about the Swiss. I think France might be able to win 1-0 style. Given the rate at which the overs have been hitting in games where any decent offense was present, one would think the over is the play, but I am not so sure about this game.
Finally, Honduras can also park a mean bus and Ecuador did not look that sharp against the Swiss Miss, eh team. Again, I am leaning 0-0 1H and under. I am not so sure Ecuador will win tomorrow but Hondurans really struggle to score. I might take ECU -0.5/-1 though. Not sure yet. These are my initial thoughts.Comment -
Cool then
I agree mostly on the first game. That win for Costa Rica in first game, was a big confidence boost for them. They will take on Italy with no fear. Of course, their gameplan is well known. It will be the same as in the game against Uruguay. Good defending and try to do something from counters and set pieces on offense. As you said, it is unlikely to see Italy to attack with numbers, early on. Yesterday's win of Uruguay over England is not that great for them, because it can mess with their plans for advancing to the next phase, if they don't win today. I think they are aware of the threat which Costa Rican side poses and that they will play patient and careful. Therefor, I am leaning towards the under. That first half 0-0 correct score might not be a bad idea as well. While the spread line doesn't offer any value on the either side, imho.
Switzerland dissapointed in the first game. But I haven't gave up on them just yet. I believe they will be better in this one, as underdogs, where they will not be forced to play against 11 players, defending on their own half. Is that going to be enough to get a point out of this one? I don't know. It seems like chances are 50-50, excatly where the odds are at the moment. France has a great team and I believe that they could make a good run in this world cup. I fancy 1-1 correct score, because of the situation in the group and because I think we will see Switzerland playing to their full potential today. But, I can't place bets, on my guesses. Seeing how shaky Swiss midfield was in game one, despite haveing some good names there, I cannot back them here. Not against the team with Paul Pogba and Yohan Cabaye, running the show on the other side.
For the last one, I definitely see some value with the Honduras +0.75. Ecuador might be little bit shaken, after the was, they lost that game agaisnt Switzerland. Their strenghts are on the wings and those players obviously need space, to show of their speed. It seems to me that they are built for counters, but they will be forced to except completely different role against Honduras, imho. Step out of their comfort zone and attack that "bus". I am not sure that is going to work, because Honduras defends very aggresively. France got past them, with their obvious quality. Ecuador should struggle. Good luck!Comment -
Thanks for the detailed reply, as usual. We seem to mostly agree. Yeah, Italy would love to win today because if they don't, their next match will be a real nail biter for them. Costa Rica clearly overachieved in the first game but they still have a pretty solid D so it should be a close one. I tend to disagree with you about Honduras though, there is just not much of a talent on offense there and I think Ecuador will eventually prevail; just maybe not in the 1H. This one might also depend on the ref, but a typical ref@this WC will not allow the leg-breaking D by Honduras to go on unpunished for too long. GL on your plays.Comment -
A lot of money coming on Honduras to have over 2.5 cards, was 2.10 earlier on bet365.. That was a nice solid bet, not sure where the line is nowComment -
Unreal, Costa Rica scored on the 45th min to rob me of that 0-0 1H. The under also looks dangerous. I think Italians just cannot handle the heat but kudos to Costa Rica.Comment -
In all honesty, Costa Rica should have had a penalty a couple of minutes before then..Comment -
Yeah, Italians just fell apart at the end of 1H; and they look like crap now which suits me fine.Comment -
wtf. Sissoko starting instead of Pogba in midfield. Benzema moved to the wing, to make place for Giroud. Deschapms is trying to be too clever... Against great coach like Hitzfeld, that can backfire...Comment -
Just as long as nobody scores, I'm happy.
Edit: That was faster than i thought. The under also looks pretty much dead now. But if anything it makes me feel better about the under in the last game. The fact that the French made the Swiss defense look so pathetic only confirms my belief in the solidity of the Honduran bus. I have seen several Honduras games last year and I think I know what they are capable of (namely they defend well but struggle to score).Comment -
Starting to see the pattern of the teams from South and Central America playing really well, I guess you have to consider it as a home field advantage; they love the climate, they seem to be less tired and they have way more fans.. I read somewhere how Spanish players played way more games this year than previous three cycles they won ( two euros, one WC). Because Atletico and Real played in the Champions league final, Barcelona semis plus the league was not decided until the last game. They are exhausted. Previous times the league was decided early and they didn't have all three best teams in the "final four" of the CLComment -
Good stuff Honeybadger. Keep it up mate.Comment -
Pathetic. Very dissapointg display from Switzerland, overall in this competition. I expected much more from them.
@Zec
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. Spain being tired was definitely one of the factors, but not a deciding one, imho. Teams seems to figured out the way to play against them and also, these guys won everything that can be won. They might got feed up, little bit.
Thanks!
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Do you approve? Marjanovic over 8.5, Blazic over 11.5, Lauvergne over 11.5, Bertans under 11.5Comment -
I cannot believe the last game also went over, at least I got half of my -.75 Ecuador play so it was not a too bad of a day over all. At the last WC, Swiss beat Spain 1-0 in the first match and then were eliminated via a 0-0 draw in their last group match against Honduras. Deja vu ?
Anyway, I do not see any good angles tomorrow but maybe you have a play ? I am kinda liking a parlay of Germany -1/ ARG ML/Bosnia pk; and maybe over in the Germany game. I think Germans might allow a goal but Ghana's D did not look that sharp against USA. Cheers.Comment -
Deja vu? It might be. Especially the way they are playing at the moment. But, it seems that goal in last minute against Ecuador, should be just enough to push them into the second phase.
For the first game, Argentina is a huge favorite. They are probably going to win, but I can't take them to cover such a large spread, as I was not impressed with them in game 1. It is just a question, how long can Iran's defense stay unbeaten and when they conceed the goal, how will they respond? Will they fall apart after that? Too many question marks surrounding this one. Argentina's midfield is a mess, so I wouldn't be surprised with unconvincing win like 1-0 or something like that. Maybe Argentina to keep clean sheet is the best play here?
Germany-Ghana. Of course, with that win against Portugal, Germany emerged as a frontrunner to take it all. After such wins, teams could become bit overrated by the books. Is that the case here? Maybe. Some of the best NFL cappers, say that sometimes you simply have to overlook the games played in previous week, because market tends to overreact because of those results. If we take the same strategy here, Germany doesn't seem so untouchable, right? Ghana has nothing to lose anymore, so I don't think they will hold anything back. They have a good midfield and couple of great forwards in Ayew and Gyan. I like both teams to score here.
Bosnia-Nigeria. I was very pleasantly surprised with how Bosnia handeled that early own goal in game against Argentina. They simply moved on and played their own game, putting up a good effort in that game. As I said back then, that was a bad match up for them and they still managed to hold their ground. Nigeria is not very good. Bosnia has a very good midfield, which will control the ball posesion and allow Bosnia to use their play makers in midfield, on the wings and up front. I just hope that coach Susic will return to their original formation with Ibisevic and Dzeko in forward positions, because that will make them much more comfortable and dangerous, comparing to the formation with extra midfielder and only Dzeko as a striker. Good luck!Comment -
Hey HB, thanks for the reply. Let's see how it goes with this one. I still think Argentina and Germany should win fairly convincingly today, although you never know with these spreads. And on paper Ghana has personnel to go toe-to-toe with Germany; but their ball control and creativity really did not look that great against USA. Then again, against Germany they might be able to counter-attack so that might help them. I guess we will see if Germany is more like Holland or France today.Comment -
Sorry man, I completely overlooked your question. Anyway, my response would be pretty much the same as for the previous game, as you could fpredict, because matchups are pretty much the same.
Yeah. We'll see how that goes today. Germany is probably bit overrated because of the previous game, but they also might be the real deal.
Have to be keep an eye for such situations early on in Wimbledon as well. Because players who did well in past 2 weeks, might be slightly overrated. And also some of the players, which had good grass tournament, 5 years ago, still hold the reputation of a grass court specialists.
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3/4 came through; might have gotten lucky with overtime; didn't watch the game or seen the box score so I am not sure. Blazic disappointing last two games I suppose..Comment -
Yeah, today was not a good day to go square-dancing: the good thing was that I parlayed all the favs so it did not hurt too much. All three dogs covered convincingly, but the over in the Germany game did hit. Did Bosnia get robbed or what ? Although they looked a step and a half too slow the entire game.
A few interesting games tomorrow, as usual. I think Russia under Capello will be super-defensive again and I assume Akinfeev will not make a stupid blunder this time, I am kinda leaning under and maybe 0-0 1H; Belgium did not looks that great vs Algeria. The same leans for the 2nd game actually, and except maybe Algeria +0.5 instead of 0-0 1H. Then we got USA against the reeling Portugal. The mind tells me to take USA +0.5, but I just cannot do that. I think the over in that one is a decent bet: Klinsmann's strategy usually leads to at least one goal for USA even when they play a defense-first game.Comment -
Bosnia did get robbed in both crucial situations. When their goal was dissaloved because of "offside" and when Emenike commited foul, before passing the ball to Odemwingie, who eventualy scored. But, as you said they were just not determined enough to make a come back. Very indecisive on offense and lack of aggresivnes on defense.
Speaking of today's games. I am not sold on Russia. I was not before the world cup and I am not now. Belgium did struggle against Algeria, but as I said back then, Algeria is a solid team. I don't want to overthink this one. I'll either put something small on Belgium -0.25, or even more likely, stay away.
In the second game, I am leaning toward Algeria. I think that they have a better team then Korea and they should be slight favorites.
For the last game, there is again that overreaction factor, which I spoke about recently. It counts the same for the big wins and the big losses. Portugal was destroyed in first game. But if that wouldn't have happened, we could only dream of, getting 1,80 for their win, against USA, right? I think that the value is on their side, and as much as some would hate backing them, after that performance against Germany, I think it is the smartest thing to do. Good luck!Comment -
Hb, I am with you on Portugal. After watching Ghana USA I was sure I would go big on Portugal but now I am feeling tentative because of how some teams from Europe are struggling. You get a feeling that a lot of players can't be bothered with playing in this cup, I can't believe I'm saying this because it's hard to comprehend but even Bosnians yesterday, they were just standing around for the better part of the 2nd half, in their first World Cup competition. With that said, I hate betting when I wouldn't be completely surprised if Portugal was just going through the motions too, who knows, wicked competition..Comment -
Just a heads up the under in the Russia-Belgium game was pounded with line moving to u2 from u2.5. However, Belgians changed their tactics and inserted both goalscorers from the first match into the starting lineup. Also, Russia +0.5 was pounded. I do not understand that except maybe Russians like to gamble and are supporting their team. I see no other logical explanation. I still hope that Russians will be able keep defending well at least in the 1H, but I am not so sure about the under and 0-0 1H in that game. I hear Capello is not likely to change his starting lineup, meaning he will want Russia to defend, defend, defend; but that will probably not work well for 90 mins.
Edit: Capello did slightly change his starting lineup but not to boost his offense. I think he wants to try to match with the taller Belgians better, hoping to avoid goals from headers.Comment -
Hey HB. I see that you are busy with Wimby 1st rounders, but perhaps you might still have time to check out my WC leans and share yours.
Aussie-Spain: there is some internal fighting in the Spain camp. But if Spain changes their starting lineup significantly, I would lean Spain and over. But not a strong lean. On the other hand, Aussies have nothing to lose so they might just outhustle the Spaniards. Maybe only a live-play for me.
Chile-Netherlands, well that one is for Holland to lose. They need at least a draw, again a lot will depend on the lineups. But I would lean over in that one, since Chile will try to attack with numbers and Holland has a good personnel to produce killer counters. But if Chile starts cautiously as they might, it can go under. Holland will not be pressing and attacking with numbers unless they go down by a goal. 0-0 1H is interesting too, assuming Chile does not start pressing right away.
Mexico-Croatia, a tricky one. Croatia needs to win but Mexico looked pretty good on defense and they are playing with confidence which is very important for that team. And they might score off of a counter in the 1H. Still I like 1H 0-0 and under FG, but again if Mexico does not try to clamp down it might be a high-scoring affair. Maybe also draw and Mexico +0.5.
Brazil-Cameroon: the line is Brazil -2/-2.5, which is a bit optimistic I think. Yeah, Cameroon will struggle on D but Brazil so far has not looked sharp on offense. I would lean the over since Cameroon might actually score as well. Maybe a 3-1 type of deal. Then again Cameroon is known to produce very bad performances in the last matches when they are already eliminated, e.g. 1-5 to Russia in 1994 was it ? FIFA already announced that they will be watching this one for possible sings of match-fixing. Also, a match like this is perfect for somebody like Fred who has been struggling to score. Again, not a strong lean either way.Comment -
Frugal, I will definitely take some time to reply to your World cup leans, as soon as I finish with Wimbledon.
Konjuh +3 @1.93 Pinnacle - 3 units
In my thread with initial leans, I was going with Erakovic here. But later I realised that I am forcing it. Yes, Erakovic had some decent result on grass, in the past, but she can't get back on track lately. If it is not there, you cannot force the issue. Konjuh is a 16 year old, talented player from Croatia. She fought her way through the qualies, getting some grass court experiance and could definitely cause and upset here.
Konta/Peng over 21 @1.94 Pinnacle - 2 units
Johana Konta has shown some very decent tennis, on grass, in past couple of weeks. Still, I think that the value is on the side of Chinese player. She is in poor form lately, which cause value to shift on her side. I still believe that she has the game, which could work well on grass and I expect a good battle between these two.
Kudryavtseva ML @3.64 Pinnacle - 1 unit
I am taking a shot here. Strycova had a very decent week in Birmingham, where she lost in the finals to Ana Ivanovic. That result also caused her to be overrated for the start of the Wimbledon. Kudryavtseva is not a great player, but she can play some good tennis on grass, because her game is pretty much built for it. Odds are juicy, so, why not.
Wickmayer ML @4.14 Pinnacle - 1 unit
I think this is the one, not many of you will like. But, considering the odds and the probability of Stosur shooting herself in the foot, I think this one is worth of a shot. Stosur managed to fail on grass many times in past, despite her big serve. Wickmayer is inconsistant, but when she plays at her best, she is one to watch out for.Comment
