Honeybadger's picks

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  • zec
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-03-14
    • 548

    #561
    Of course this happens 5 minutes after I make a wager.. They just got $3 million shipped to them; spoiled brats..
    Comment
    • Dmoneytx
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-09-12
      • 6450

      #562
      Awesome 3rd round match coming up HB!!! Monfils vs Gasquet!!! Oh wait, no it isn't.... That match will be Vesley vs Kyrgios, LOL!!!

      Try capping that shit fest, lol... BOL man, I hope all is well with you
      Comment
      • frugalgambler
        SBR MVP
        • 05-30-13
        • 3418

        #563
        Thanks for the heads up. I laid off most of my bet on GHA +0.5. Yeah, Ghana has just divided the money among the players and that probably means that they do not expect to advance. Plus the fighting (probably over who gets what). Still liking the over, although that line was really pounded: o3 moved from -110 to -150.
        Comment
        • frugalgambler
          SBR MVP
          • 05-30-13
          • 3418

          #564
          Suarez got suspended btw. The Colombia line did move from -165 to -175, but that happened even before the suspension was announced.
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #565
            So USA has to beat Germany, don't they??
            Comment
            • zec
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-03-14
              • 548

              #566
              Originally posted by Hardcoar
              So USA has to beat Germany, don't they??
              Not at all.. Draw gets them through for sure and a minimal loss would be enough unless Ghana wins. If Ghana and Portugal draw; USA gets through no matter what. If Portugal wins; as long as it's not blowout they should be safe because they have 5 goals to spare..
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #567
                What I mean is: For Portugal to advance, USA has to beat Germany, doesn't it?
                Comment
                • zec
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-03-14
                  • 548

                  #568
                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                  What I mean is: For Portugal to advance, USA has to beat Germany, doesn't it?
                  No, they have a better chance to catch USA because Portugal would have 4 points and the loser of USA and Germany also 4 points. Then they would look at goal differential; since Germany has the best, Portugal's only chance is to destroy Ghana and hope Germany does the same to USA.
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #569
                    Interesting. Thank you for the heads up.
                    Comment
                    • frugalgambler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-30-13
                      • 3418

                      #570
                      Originally posted by frugalgambler
                      Suarez got suspended btw. The Colombia line did move from -165 to -175, but that happened even before the suspension was announced.
                      Wow, the line jumped to -200 five mins my original post. Shoulda pounded it even more.
                      Comment
                      • frugalgambler
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-30-13
                        • 3418

                        #571
                        Zvonareva deceived me, LOL. She is coming off a shoulder injury and she said in her pre-match interview how she could barely lift her arm after the 1st rounder. Yet, today she played like a former Wimdy finalist she is. At least, I had a decent FIFA day. Some interesting lines tomorrow. Cibulkova owns Safarova, BZS to take a set off Li Na. Let's see how it goes.
                        Comment
                        • Marillion
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-06-14
                          • 1453

                          #572
                          I like a square soccer bet today, Brazil -1.

                          Just cause it's World Cup in Brazil and I'm into conspiracy/fixing theories (like Brazil's losses in 1998 and 2006).
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #573
                            Mar.... This game is going over 2.5 goals@1.71....
                            Comment
                            • Honeybadger44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-03-14
                              • 1675

                              #574
                              Originally posted by Marillion
                              I like a square soccer bet today, Brazil -1.

                              Just cause it's World Cup in Brazil and I'm into conspiracy/fixing theories (like Brazil's losses in 1998 and 2006).
                              Originally posted by matt1216
                              Mar.... This game is going over 2.5 goals@1.71....

                              Hmmm, -1 doesn't seem to offer any value. As I wrote before, this Brazilian team is built to get the job done, with defensive minded and very stricktly disciplined game. They also lack some quality up front, to beat other teams with big margins, at this level. I am actualy liking under 2.75 bet, unlike Matt, who is leaning toward the over. Chile is aggressive team, but their coach knows what to expect from Brazil here, so I don't believe that they are going to attack with numbers. Cautious approach from both sides and I am liking the under at this line.
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #575
                                Good god, there shoulda been 4 or 5 goals by now... That goal disallowed wtf was that... Clean goal
                                Comment
                                • Honeybadger44
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-03-14
                                  • 1675

                                  #576
                                  Originally posted by matt1216
                                  Good god, there shoulda been 4 or 5 goals by now... That goal disallowed wtf was that... Clean goal
                                  Over would be deserved, considering number of nice goal opportunities... But that disallowed goal was a correct decision. Hulk controled that ball with his biceps. Clear handball...
                                  Comment
                                  • Marillion
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-14
                                    • 1453

                                    #577
                                    Guys what do you think about Netherlands ML at 2.00?
                                    Comment
                                    • Spinny
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-28-14
                                      • 165

                                      #578
                                      I like Netherlands but Mexico is playing well so don't expect an easy win. I have opted for Netherlands to qualify as a safer bet
                                      Comment
                                      • Honeybadger44
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-03-14
                                        • 1675

                                        #579
                                        For me, by far the toughest game to predict in this round. I feel that Netherlands might be slightly overrated and a most possible public burrial of the round (alongside Belgium). Other favorites doesn't have enough strong opponents, while Mexico is very dangerous and can pull an upset here... I am definitely staying away from this one, form betting perspective.
                                        Comment
                                        • matt1216
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-27-11
                                          • 14683

                                          #580
                                          Ndtherlands/Mexico Under 2.5 goals @ 1.77... This hits
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #581
                                            That's tricky with the Dutchmen's insane counters and dynamic game (particularly given such a worthy adversary offensively as well), but with a brick wall before Mexico's goal, it might work.

                                            How well acquainted are you with foot football, Matty?
                                            Comment
                                            • Marillion
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-06-14
                                              • 1453

                                              #582
                                              IMO public is going to hit Netherlands way more than Belgium, I'm also pretty impressed with the names in the Belgian squad but OMG most of them play so bad. Dutchies are playing well (except Sneijder, no idea what this guy is doing there).

                                              As for the game, I'm actually not very impressed with Mexico. They were lucky to get a draw against an otherwise (in this tournament) unconvincing Brazil side (Chile did much better, I think). They had two nice wins, of course, but Cameroon are horrible and Croatia have been overrated due to their past glory.

                                              Not that it is huge value but I definitely think the Dutchies win this more than 50% of the time.

                                              As for the current under and over lines I have, I find them holding no value (2.20 over, 1.65 under at bet365). GL with your bet matt, I think I'd stay away even at 1.77 but I hope you win this. : )
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #583
                                                Originally posted by Spinny
                                                I like Netherlands but Mexico is playing well so don't expect an easy win. I have opted for Netherlands to qualify as a safer bet
                                                I'm on the same thing myself @ 1.555, but I have to say DNB (+0) is a safer option; If shit comes down to penalties, I'm worried the poverty-support crew might outweigh the technical skill and experience of the Dutchmen.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #584
                                                  Rolling with CR @ 2.82 just before closing.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Marillion
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-06-14
                                                    • 1453

                                                    #585
                                                    Good luck to you with CR, I have absolutely no idea what a good bet here is. I have a suspicion that there may be an overreaction from the bettors and over 3.5 at odds of 6.00 holds some value (but my soccer predictions are hardly better than shots in the dark).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                      • 15606

                                                      #586
                                                      Hook me up with a football winner you badger f*ck!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                        • 15606

                                                        #587
                                                        Not even an ill-spirited reactive flame.
                                                        : (
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Honeybadger44
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-03-14
                                                          • 1675

                                                          #588
                                                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                          Hook me up with a football winner you badger f*ck!
                                                          It's tough to do that today. I would go with France -1, but at current line -1.25 there is no value.

                                                          Algeria played really good so far, in my eyes. +1.5 might hold some value, especially with Germany being overrated since game 1, imho. But, I am bit worried, becuase Ramadan started for Muslims, so some players on Algerian team will be fasting... They have to be in top shape, to get a good result here, so we will see.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Marillion
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-14
                                                            • 1453

                                                            #589
                                                            I'm gonna keep on posting square predictions - IMO Germany to qualify at 1.11 holds small value.
                                                            Comment
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