Sharp Snake Selections

[Sharp Snake]

I think Ferrer handles him. I wouldn't sweat it too much, although, you could easily throw a small hedge on Nishikori to guarantee some profit.

As for Berdych/Anderson, I think this could be potential close match. Anderson's serve has been on point this week and Berdych is known to randomly not show up occasionally. I'd stay away from this match in any larger parlays.

[Sharp Snake]

Djokovic/Sharapova/Ferrer/Na Li Parlay -153 1u

Not too many bettable lines today straight, so I'm going to give this parlay a shot. I see Ferrer rolling and I'm fading Georges. Obviously just adding Djokovic and Sharapova for better odds.

[Sharp Snake]

Late add...Being televised and I'm tailing EP for some action. His gut is good enough for me.

Makarova +250 .75u

[Sharp Snake]

Makarova +250 .75u W

Nice way to start the day off.


YTD 18-9 +14.07u

[El Sol]

Djokovic/Sharapova/Ferrer/Na Li Parlay -153 1u

Not too many bettable lines today straight, so I'm going to give this parlay a shot. I see Ferrer rolling and I'm fading Georges. Obviously just adding Djokovic and Sharapova for better odds.

Did you consider sharapova -1.5 at -1000 instead of 1.01 for your parley? Sharapova should win in straight sets here, damn shes looking impressive this year

[Sharp Snake]

I considered it but for parlays of this size, I just wanted more of a sure thing. I really don't like doing parlays all that much, so you'll rarely see them in this space.

[El Sol]

Your not going to see me criticize parleys in tennis. I almost play them exclusively in the early rounds of all the majors and then taper off as the tourney progresses

[Sharp Snake]

2 out of 4 legs down. All come down to Li Na since I have no worries about Djokovic whatsoever.

[EaglesPhan36]

Nice.

[Sharp Snake]

Had no idea I would be sweating this parlay that much or in that match! WHOA.
Djokovic/Sharapova/Ferrer/Na Li Parlay -153 1u


YTD 19-9 +15.07u

[steveq]

tailed mine only pat 260 on 100 tyvm glgl

[Sharp Snake]

No problem man. Quite the sweat down the stretch there but as long as it banks.

I was really going to play Seppi at -135 yesterday when I saw the line come out but it's jumped so much, I'm not sure if there's much value left. Looking over some things now.

[sando]

Mate sorry for getting stuck into you over the Tipsarevic fiasco, been having a really bad Australian Open and consequently very stressed, but I'm glad to see that someone is doing well. Keep up the great work.

[Sharp Snake]

Mate sorry for getting stuck into you over the Tipsarevic fiasco, been having a really bad Australian Open and consequently very stressed, but I'm glad to see that someone is doing well. Keep up the great work.

Not a problem at all. There are bound to be disagreements so it's just how you handle them among men/adults. I've been checking out your thread since it started and you do great, great work. I hit some of your hot streaks with you and some of your cold and you maintain your composure through thick and thin, haters and trolls. I respect and appreciate what you do here big time.

[Sharp Snake]

Had a pretty busy weekend and as the tournament is winding down here, there are less and less spots to find value. Going to stay disciplined and only make the plays I feel confident about so bare with me and we'll keep hitting winners.

[Optional]

Agree. I find it tougher the later the rounds go. Don't know why though as we should know what to expect from these players much better by now.

I'm starting to think about Challengers.

[Sharp Snake]

Same reason why the Super Bowl is the worst thing in sports to bet. The lines are super sharp for the most part and there aren't many spots to capitalize off of.

[Crate Mayne]

What are you guys playing for the Federer match? 3-0 / 3-1 / 3-2 / straight up win / or going with the live play-ins... I'm leaning towards just feeling the match out then going with live play

[Sharp Snake]

Line jumped to +800 for me at the last minute. I'll donate for some late night action.

Raonic +800 .5u

[Sharp Snake]

What are you guys playing for the Federer match? 3-0 / 3-1 / 3-2 / straight up win / or going with the live play-ins... I'm leaning towards just feeling the match out then going with live play

Seems like we're destined for a tie break here so I wouldn't be comfortable taking Federer 3-0

[Crate Mayne]

I'm a sucker for rolling the dice and betting on the better player returning the serve, since the lines are extra spiffy... Usually the money won far outweighs what I put up losing, but that strategy looks rough for this match. Seems like it's going to end up a long match.

And you're right, competition is too tight now to feel confident with these picks.

[2014millionaire]

Same reason why the Super Bowl is the worst thing in sports to bet. The lines are super sharp for the most part and there aren't many spots to capitalize off of.

I've heard this line of thinking regarding the Super Bowl but I think it's the opposite. Since a huge percentage of the bettors betting on the superbowl are the square public. They will move the line based on their fan affiliation and whims, which will open up EV+ spots for sharps.

[Sharp Snake]

Have to update my YTD from Raonic yesterday but I want to add a play before I get home.

Almagro +2.5 sets -160 1u

The way Nico is serving I think he can take a set off off of Ferrer

[Dmoneytx]

Good job Snakey!!!! Nico took the first set brotha! Good for you, easy hit man I hope Philly is treating ya well, was pretty warm here in Houston today BOL the rest of the night sir!

[Sharp Snake]

Good job Snakey!!!! Nico took the first set brotha! Good for you, easy hit man I hope Philly is treating ya well, was pretty warm here in Houston today BOL the rest of the night sir!

HA, couldnt be any different here. Low 20's all week and some snow here or there. Cant complain though, it's been pretty warm for a NE winter thus far.

Raonic +800 .5u L
Almagro +2.5 sets -160 1u W


YTD 20-10 +15.57u

[Dmoneytx]

Dude, your record looks great! Good for you man Nice to count that Nico win when its only in the second set huh??? LOL!
And holy crap, low 20's?????!!! I went for my run today, around 3 miles, and I wore tshirt and shorts. Then went right to teaching, prob low 70's today. It's 63 now & it has a slight chill in the air, isn't that crazy to hear someone say that. But it's true, I get cold SO easily, I have to wear my windbreaker in the grocery store man, hahaha!!! No way I could handle low 20's man, reminds me of Merrimack, it was so damn cold there, so damn cold.......
I will live in warm weather forever!!!

[Sharp Snake]

Makarova +7 games -115 1u

Really liked what I saw out of Makarova vs Kerber and Bertoli. Getting 7 games here doesn't really leave her to do much besides lose with some dignity here. I know Sharapova has been killing everyone in her path but a 4-6, 3-6 seems doable to me.

[Dmoneytx]

Makarova +7 games -115 1u

Really liked what I saw out of Makarova vs Kerber and Bertoli. Getting 7 games here doesn't really leave her to do much besides lose with some dignity here. I know Sharapova has been killing everyone in her path but a 4-6, 3-6 seems doable to me.

Interesting thought on this match. I was looking to see if I was going to play something here, wasn't too sure.......
Still thinking about it. Thanks for the post. I have NOT seen Makarova play lately. Can she really stay in each set and not lose one 6-1 or 6-2??? Hmmm, food for thought now....

[Sharp Snake]

If she plays at the same level that she did vs Kerber I feel she can.

[Dmoneytx]

I'm tailing ya tonight on this one then Lets get it Snakey!!! Good luck to both of us then, VAMOS!!!

[2014millionaire]

sharapova wins easily 6-2 6-2.

[Sharp Snake]

sharapova wins easily 6-2 6-2.

You realize "easily" was only one game away from what was needed right? I don't regret this play in this least because we got practically the worst we've seen from Makarova (whether it was fatigue or not) and were only 1 game away from a push. I can live with this.

[2014millionaire]

You realize "easily" was only one game away from what was needed right? I don't regret this play in this least because we got practically the worst we've seen from Makarova (whether it was fatigue or not) and were only 1 game away from a push. I can live with this.

Yeah i put 10units on this i know. Makarova played terrible and Sharapova is going to win this whole thing.

[davopnz]

sharapova is not going to be serena

[Sharp Snake]

Makarova +7 games -115 1u L

YTD 20-11+14.42u