Sharp Snake Selections

[GirlCanCapToo]

So you think the p of a straightsetter is higher than a little under 30%? This is a value bet imo.

Yes. I think the possibility of a straightsetter is higher than 29%.

[Ontnr]

That would be 29,9.

[One2envy78]

My book doesn't offer set bets so how about if i take total games over 41.5??

[Sharp Snake]

My book doesn't offer set bets so how about if i take total games over 41.5??

that can still be tricky because it could theoretically go 4 sets and still lose.

[Sharp Snake]

Way too much juice. If you want to bet on something juiced heavy, your better off betting Murray to have more aces than Djokovic at -300.

So your argument is that the juice is too high, yet suggest another bet with even more juice?

I don't like laying that big of juice either, but from what I hear, that line is up to around -280 at other places already and will probably be over -300 closer to the match.

[Crate Mayne]

Good looks on that Sharp n Optional. Best of luck to everyone tonight

[GirlCanCapToo]

So your argument is that the juice is too high, yet suggest another bet with even more juice?

I don't like laying that big of juice either, but from what I hear, that line is up to around -280 at other places already and will probably be over -300 closer to the match.

I was suggesting a bet that is much more of a sure thing than your bet is, if that is what you are looking for. I can tell that you are a new capper, so I was just offering you some friendly advice.

[Untied]

Way too much juice. If you want to bet on something juiced heavy, your better off betting Murray to have more aces than Djokovic at -300.

Djokovic gets his racket on everything, Murray's never recorded double digit aces against Djokovic even when their matches go 5.

[Sharp Snake]

I was suggesting a bet that is much more of a sure thing than your bet is, if that is what you are looking for. I can tell that you are a new capper, so I was just offering you some friendly advice.

After going through your 27 posts, I already can tell who you are as well.

[GirlCanCapToo]

Djokovic gets his racket on everything, Murray's never recorded double digit aces against Djokovic even when their matches go 5.

This is true. He also stands much further back behind the baseline. I wouldn't bet it, but I still think its better.

[Sharp Snake]

Djokovic/Murray over 3.5 sets -235 3u W

YTD 27-12 +24.17u

Biggest play of the tournament cashes easily after 2 sets with no sweat. That puts us over 24 units in 2 weeks of the Australian with only a couple multi-unit plays and quite a few of the losses being huge dogs (over +400). This is much better than I anticipated so I'm admittedly a little giddy about the results.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

Djokovic/Murray over 3.5 sets -235 3u W

YTD 27-12 +24.17u

Biggest play of the tournament cashes easily after 2 sets with no sweat. That puts us over 24 units in 2 weeks of the Australian with only a couple multi-unit plays and quite a few of the losses being huge dogs (over +400). This is much better than I anticipated so I'm admittedly a little giddy about the results.

very impressive. is this the best youve ever done in a tournament?

[Sharp Snake]

This is the first time I've ever tracked like this on a public forum but without looking back, I'd probably have to say yes automatically. Without the huge 10 unit plays that some handi-cappers throw around haphazardly, it's very difficult to win this many units in such a small amount of time. Not that I doubt my knowledge or anything, but I'm a little amazed myself.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

well i hope you continue to track. the tennis thread on here has a pretty solid group of posters.

[Catchn_Picks]

Great job snake...magnificent tourney...I tailed...ty...gl going forward.

[knowlove85]

Very very well done, my friend. Maybe its time for some 5 dimes action so I can actually tail some of your selections.

[Sharp Snake]

Now that there's some men's tennis back, I'll be here posting some plays.

[Sharp Snake]

Seppi -150
Tipsarevic -120
Klizan +130
Gasquet -145

These feel like some square plays but there's just too much value to pass up here. No time for a full write-up, getting late.

YTD 27-12 +24.17u

[skidrow]

anyone have a stream of the Klizan vs Haase match? appreciated

[Sharp Snake]

Adding another unit on Gasquet for a total of 2

[Dmoneytx]

I had Gasquet as well today Snakey!!!! Congrats to both of us I hope you have been doing great! The weather is amazing here in Houston, low 70's, I hope you are hanging in there in Philly, hahaha!! BOL sir!

[BarrCanada]

I too have a play on Gasquet

[Sharp Snake]

Seppi -150 NA
Tipsarevic -120 L
Klizan +130 L
Gasquet -145 2u W



YTD 28-14 +23.97u

[Sharp Snake]

Gasquet -230 1u
Simon -210 1u
Youzhny -165 1u
Ramos -140 1u
Rosol -105 1u


YTD 28-14 +23.97u

Laying some chalk today but I dont see the opportunity for many upsets. It's really about effort level with these 250s so we'll see who has some and who doesn't.

[Sharp Snake]

Gasquet -230 1u W
Simon -210 1u L
Youzhny -165 1u W
Ramos -140 1u L
Rosol -105 1u L


YTD 30-17 +21.42u

Updated the record for my posted plays. Have been laying pretty low with these 250s and such but I failed to post much in Miami or Indian Wells. Back on the grind for now...

[Sharp Snake]

Warming up by posting some picks this week in preparation for Roland Garros.

Simon -240
Querrey -140
Brands -250
Isner -130
Bedene -125
Fognini +110
Berankis +175

YTD 30-17 +21.42u

A lot of plays and a lot of juice but I'm going for winners this week. Will cut back on the plays once the week rolls on. Favs to win 1u, Dogs risking 1u. Best of Luck