Sharp Snake Selections

[Sharp Snake]

I almost mushed Kavcic on you.

HA. That was one crazy match to watch. So frustrating and every time you thought Duckworth was done, he came right back.



Zheng +140 1u
Wawrinka -135 2u

Dont have much time for a longer write-up right now but I do not like Querrey's form at all right now. Wawrinka handled Kamke easily than I thought he would. I feel good about this pick. I'm going to throw 2 units on this one.

I don't follow WTA as closely but I have noticed Georges game being very fluky and I watched Zheng beat Stosur the other day and liked her fight. Worth a play.

[Sharp Snake]

Adding

Anderson -140 1u

Just can't trust Verdasco. I'd like to get a better line here but I think Anderson's serve should keep him in the match at worst.

[Optional]

I've been fading Verdasco so far, but switched onto him today. I still don't trust Anderson to beat anyone in the top 20 consistently.

Although, when these 2 guys played in Perth Verdasco was lackadaisical and there was still 23 games in 2 sets. So have had some buyers remorse on not taking the over instead of Verdasco since putting the money down.

[Sharp Snake]

UGH. Serving for match and Zheng completely flushes it.

Zheng +140

YTD 12-8 +5.90u

[Optional]

Only had points on Zheng but that was a huge part of the reason I avoid WTA most of the time.

Verdasco just gifted Anderson a break back to help make up for it.

[Optional]

oops. Spoke too soon. Verdasco comes back with a break next game to set up his serve for the set.


* and your turn to draft.

[EaglesPhan36]

Zheng was maddening. She completely dominated the 2nd set and nine games of the 3rd set and then she choked. Made errors and Goerges finally started hitting big winners and serving well consistently to close.

[Sharp Snake]

Yup, which is why I generally try to stay away from the WTA.

[EaglesPhan36]

It's a good reason to take dogs though. Those will cash more than they miss. I'm just miffed because I had that and Makarova marked for dogs and decided to only try the one.

[Sharp Snake]

Well, take some solace in the fact that you came awfully close and "should have" won. Although you know the saying "Money talks, bullshit walks"

[EaglesPhan36]

Yep. I feel good in general though. Good money managing this week. Futures are all still kicking and the open parlays look decent again.

[Sharp Snake]

Yep. I feel good in general though. Good money managing this week. Futures are all still kicking and the open parlays look decent again.

I agree with you. Have been keeping an eye on everything you do and you've done well. The tricky part is the hedge but I'll sure you'll manage it well.

[Sharp Snake]

Anderson with a big Tie Break to take the 4th set. You'll probably have to give Verdasco the fitness advantage for a 5 setter but Anderson's serve should give him some easy points down the stretch here.

[Optional]

I've got Verdasco as last leg of two parlays plus a straight bet. I don't usually sweat individual bets but this one would wipe out losses from last few days and put me nicely ahead. So hope you don;t mind me rooting hard against you

It's a good reason to take dogs though. Those will cash more than they miss. I'm just miffed because I had that and Makarova marked for dogs and decided to only try the one.

I can see why you went that way. I took both, but honestly only ended up with Makarova due to my habit of almost always backing her as a dog. It didn't look like she was going to match up with Bartoli on the numbers.

[Sharp Snake]

BIG BIG break for Anderson! OH YEA!

such a risky pick to close out a parlay with Verdasco. Not for the simple fact they were a dog this match, albeit a small one, but I'd avoid any close match with a big server in it for a big parlay. You just never know when the racquet will be taken out of your hand.

[Sharp Snake]

Querrey's serve is ON today thus far. Going to be a long match

[Sharp Snake]

Anderson was just on another level in that 5th set. He just KILLED a few winners there. Just waiting on this on Querrey/Wawrinka match to decide another winning or losing day.

Anderson -140 1u W


YTD 13-8 +6.90u

[Optional]

BIG BIG break for Anderson! OH YEA!

such a risky pick to close out a parlay with Verdasco. Not for the simple fact they were a dog this match, albeit a small one, but I'd avoid any close match with a big server in it for a big parlay. You just never know when the racquet will be taken out of your hand.

No risk no reward.

One of them was for a betfair promo that required minimum odds of +500. The other was just a 2 leg dog play with Makarova. Planning the order wasn't in consideration.

Oh well. I'll have another try tomorrow.

Congrats to you guys and Anderson.

[Sharp Snake]

No risk no reward.

One of them was for a betfair promo that required minimum odds of +500. The other was just a 2 leg dog play with Makarova. Planning the order wasn't in consideration.

Oh well. I'll have another try tomorrow.

Congrats to you guys and Anderson.

ahh... I assumed big meaning 4 or 5+ type of open parlay.

Tough one, could have gone either way until that 5th set.

[2014millionaire]

Anderson was a beast in the fifth. Nice pick

[Optional]

ahh... I assumed big meaning 4 or 5+ type of open parlay.

Tough one, could have gone either way until that 5th set.

I'm not really very far behind considering the run of red this week. Would have been enough to put me nicely in the green again. Oh well, the worm will turn.


I'm on Stan with you btw. (lucky you)

[Sharp Snake]

Huge first set win in the Tie Break by Wawrinka. Any rally that is going over 3 or 4 strokes, Wawrinka has been winning it seems but man, this is the first time this tournament that Querrey's serve has had that extra pop and accuracy.

[Optional]

Stan is hardly hitting 50% of first serves in so far. If he picks up his game a few percent and Querrey drops of at all this should go fine.

[Sharp Snake]

Doesnt help break his serve though. I'm expecting there to be at least 2 more Tie Breaks so it could be a long night. I'm ready though.

[Sharp Snake]

BOOM! 2nd set goes to Wawrinka! WITHOUT a TB nonetheless.

[Sharp Snake]

Nothing like a straight set non-sweat multi-unit win. Wawrinka played really well and returned most of what came at him.

Wawrinka -135 2u W

YTD 14-8 +8.90u

Pretty good start to the tournament being up nearly 9 units in only a few days, but it doesnt stop here. Have a couple plays lined up for tomorrow already that I'll post tomorrow and have the Gasquet and Simon hedge that could both cash tomorrow as well. Big day coming.

[atc117]

Nice hit on Wawrinka!

[JNic]

Damn keep up the good work, interested to see who you like today

[Sharp Snake]

Kohlschreiber +125 2u
Seppi +185 1u

I've written about these two picks on other threads here so I'll save some time here and just say that the units is what I'm risking and not what I'm winning. Standard, but I felt it was worth explaining

[Sharp Snake]

Wow pretty big line movement on Kohlschreiber. Glad I got it in early

[steveq]

thx 4 ur plays this week

[Optional]

Wow pretty big line movement on Kohlschreiber. Glad I got it in early

Must have settled again. +123 at 5D now.

[Sharp Snake]

I saw it all the way around even earlier...

thx 4 ur plays this week

No problem man, thanks for following. Still a lot of tennis left.

[Sharp Snake]

Had some prior plans and didn't actually get to see any of the matches last night but was following from my phone so I cant really comment how the bets looked but here are the results...

Kohlschreiber +120 2u L
Seppi +185 1u W
Gasquet to Go Further Than Monfils -310 2.5u W
Simon to Go Further Than Querrey -110 1u W

Both futures pretty much came down to Simon beating the winner of the Monfils Dolgopolov match and I was fairly confident that would happen. Gasquet was never really threatened so that was easy cash. All of my futures are cleared now so we'll focus on the rest of the tournament here. Side note, also loved seeing Federer beat up on Tomic. Too much confidence just comes across as cocky and arrogant, something Tomic hasnt earned in the least yet.


YTD 17-9 +12.20u

[YJ]

Thoughts on Ferrer/Nishikori and Berdych/Anderson? Nishikori has me worried about my Ferrer ML on a 9-team parlay.