Sharp Snake Selections

[Sharp Snake]

Its an online book. I have no idea how online books work exactly but i thought line movement on online books was somewhat automated to money coming in. Like its set up as a program with money criteria. Once that criteria is met the line moves automatically. Rather than a guy looking at whats coming in and then adjusting the lines manually. So i dont see it as a mistake. I see it as strange late money coming in. I just cant figure out what would make it do that tho.

I use an online book also, and I see tons of mistakes. I wouldn't look into it.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

Do you know if line movement is automated or manually changed at online books. I have no idea.

[Sharp Snake]

Im sure it cant be 100 % automated or it would be taken advantage of.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

It would be interesting and helpful tho to figure out how online books go about adjusting their lines. Im fairly new to sports betting. Never have placed a bet on sports outside of online. The way it works in a casino tho is analyst working for the casino analyze the money coming in and then adjust the line manually in hopes of creating the best possibilities for even money on both sides. That way no matter who wins the game the casino makes money on the juice. Right?

[Sharp Snake]

It would be interesting and helpful tho to figure out how online books go about adjusting their lines. Im fairly new to sports betting. Never have placed a bet on sports outside of online. The way it works in a casino tho is analyst working for the casino analyze the money coming in and then adjust the line manually in hopes of creating the best possibilities for even money on both sides. That way no matter who wins the game the casino makes money on the juice. Right?

Not necessarily. There are several different theories on this topic, but rarely do you see even money coming in on both sides of an event.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

Ya its really rare to get exactly even money on both sides. Probably only happens a few times a year if even that. But isnt that the ultimate goal of every book whether its online or casino? Or are you saying books sometimes set up lines to where they know they have a better chance than normal of getting more money on the loosing side. aka trap lines.

[Sharp Snake]

That's one side of the argument.

[Sharp Snake]

Over 3.5 sets Murray/Federer -250 2u W
Murray -150 2u W
Total Service Breaks Federer/Murray o7.5 -135 .75u W

Big, big night for me. Murray handled Federer much easier than the scoreline indicated and Federer taking the 2nd set removed the sweat there. I chalked the service breaks bet up as a loss early on in the match but somehow it miraculously covered on the last game. Not complaining!

YTD 25-12 +20.17u

Now up over 20 units on the tournament with very few multi-unit plays.

[Optional]

[2014millionaire]

Such a beast. Def. going to be tailing you in your Djoker/Murray and Li Na/Azaranka predictions.

[Sharp Snake]

Working up a play for the women's final tonight...

[AceKingHigh]

Keep up the good work!

[Sharp Snake]

Azarenka -140 1u

I really wanted to look into some other plays/props for this match but didn't have much time today. I think this line should be higher as mentioned by quite a few people on here and the overreaction to "The Timeout". The crowd is going to be against her today and we'll see how she reacts to that but a small 1 unit play here will suffice.

[Dmoneytx]

I'm with ya on this one Snakey!!! I hope she plays really tough today, BOL to you! VAMOS!!!

[Sharp Snake]

Going to be a weird match if the start is any indicator. There may be more service breaks than not.

[Optional]

Going to be a weird match if the start is any indicator. There may be more service breaks than not.

I was just thinking it's actually more exciting because either could break every game. For once I am not complaining about WTA serving.

[Sharp Snake]

This match is awful. These two players look like they aren't even top 100 players right now.

[Sharp Snake]

Azarenka -140 1u W


YTD 26-12 +21.17u

I almost feel guilty for cashing this bet. Azarenka played awful but toughed it out. 16 breaks of service. How ridiculous.

[Sharp Snake]

Can someone talk me out of a huge multi-unit play on over 3.5 sets at -235?

[nyyanks773]

Can you talk me out of a huge play on Djokovic?

[Catchn_Picks]

Can someone talk me out of a huge multi-unit play on over 3.5 sets at -235?

No Sharp...I think Joker is playing on another planet right now...nobody close, imo. But Murray is a flawless tennis player. He doesn't usually beat himself. He wins by making less mistakes than his opponent, at least in part.

You gotta figure him for one set, right? I think 3-1 is about right.

GL whatever you choose..I will follow tonight to see what you decide.

Nice tourney, btw...real consistent and disciplined...ty for posting.

[Catchn_Picks]

Can you talk me out of a huge play on Djokovic?

For me, I can't. If Murray wins it is because he beat the best player in the world at his favorite tourney...with a chance to make history...while Joker is playing (maybe) the best tennis of his life.

I may lose but I will take that bet.

gl whatever you decide.

[Sharp Snake]

Can you talk me out of a huge play on Djokovic?

Yes, I can actually. I think Djokovic wins, but with the ML being what it is, it's hugely inflated. Murray on a great day beats Djokovic if he's just a step off. I've seen it happen before (US OPEN). Djokovic looked great against a worn down Ferrer, sure. But I think a good amount of players would have beaten Ferrer in that match. Wawrinka played magically against Djokovic and still lost but if Novak serves like he did in the first 10 games or so of that match, you can expect a similar result to the 6-1 set. Murray isn't going to make this easy. And if this goes to a 5th set like many people feel, are you really comfortable laying 2:1 in what essentially would be coin flip? I'm not so sure I am.

That was my devil's advocate for you. I'm looking into my play for the match but there's no way someone gets straight setted right??

[Sharp Snake]

Also, I failed to mention how great I think Murray is serving, and with his already stellar return game, he should be in every single game.

[snufflyjoe]

my bookie offers a refund (up to $100) if the player you bet on loses in the 5th set, knowing this whats the play?

[One2envy78]

I don't believe we'll see someone get straight setted. I won't lay the juice on Joker either even though I think he will win. Looking at possible overs play or Joker -4 games..

[Crate Mayne]

So what's the consensus for you guys? I'm kind of unsure how I see it playing out, but I do see Djok coming out with the win.... so I think I'm just rolling with the Djok ML

[Sharp Snake]

So what's the consensus for you guys? I'm kind of unsure how I see it playing out, but I do see Djok coming out with the win.... so I think I'm just rolling with the Djok ML

As of right now, this is going to be my only bet. I'm still looking at some other things like props, but I doubt I'm picking a ML winner for this match.

[Sharp Snake]

I can't find one reason, over the past 7 hours to not make this my first 3 unit bet on the tournament thus far, so...

Djokovic/Murray over 3.5 sets -235 3u

[Crate Mayne]

Djokovic/Murray over 3.5 sets -235 3u

Yeah that one should be a guarantee, too bad that's the only bet I don't see listed on 5dimes ha

[Sharp Snake]

Essentially the same bet as Murray +2.5 sets if thats offered.

[Optional]

Yeah that one should be a guarantee, too bad that's the only bet I don't see listed on 5dimes ha

Lots of people have trouble finding them first time at 5D.

Under props...

[Sharp Snake]

There ya go...Thanks Opti.

[GirlCanCapToo]

I can't find one reason, over the past 7 hours to not make this my first 3 unit bet on the tournament thus far, so...

Djokovic/Murray over 3.5 sets -235 3u

Way too much juice. If you want to bet on something juiced heavy, your better off betting Murray to have more aces than Djokovic at -300.

[Ontnr]

Way too much juice. If you want to bet on something juiced heavy, your better off betting Murray to have more aces than Djokovic at -300.

So you think the p of a straightsetter is higher than a little under 30%? This is a value bet imo.