2013 Tennis Thread

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  • Seto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-16-11
    • 12906

    #176
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Last time I checked -120 is favored.
    you said "easily favored". that insinuates at least -150 to me and even more like -200.
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #177
      I mean there is no doubt he is favored.

      Expect the usual Murray hype bullshit to put some value in Djokobo.
      Comment
      • Seto
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-16-11
        • 12906

        #178
        Originally posted by Hardcoar
        I mean there is no doubt he is favored.

        Expect the usual Murray hype bullshit to put some value in Djokobo.
        Of course he will be favored. I mean I'd say 90% chance.

        Novak hasn't proven shit on grass. The year he won all the bounces went his way with Tsonga beating Federer and playing Nadal in the final who he had a huge mental edge over that year. Of course Andy hasn't really proven anything (Olympics are a joke) either so it is a 50/50 match as far as I'm concerned.

        It should be a good final if it happens. It looked like it would be the other way but Novak has the tougher tests now. Haas and Berdych are no pushovers on grass and have already beaten Novak at Wimbledon.
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #179
          Why are the olympics "a joke"?

          It would be a 50/50 match if Djokobo wasn't superior.

          This far Djokobo hasn't quite stepped it up, but we all know he will when the moment arrives and it's required of him...

          Basically, if Djokobo were to play Po'Mo, Ferrer, Birdie, on his half, or Jerzy, Gulbis, Murray on the other, he'd also play a lot better.

          You seem to have been hit by the UK hype. In no way would this be a 50/50 match. 60/40 at most. Still that doesn't give Murray a bad shot...
          Comment
          • Seto
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-16-11
            • 12906

            #180
            Originally posted by Hardcoar
            Why are the olympics "a joke"?

            It would be a 50/50 match if Djokobo wasn't superior.

            This far Djokobo hasn't quite stepped it up, but we all know he will when the moment arrives and it's required of him...

            Basically, if Djokobo were to play Po'Mo, Ferrer, Birdie, on his half, or Jerzy, Gulbis, Murray on the other, he'd also play a lot better.

            You seem to have been hit by the UK hype. In no way would this be a 50/50 match. 60/40 at most. Still that doesn't give Murray a bad shot...
            Because it's not a real tournament. Come on. If anything the olympics favor Andy because he won it but other than help him overcome a mental hurdle I don't think it proves much.

            Yeah, we'll see. I see this as a 50/50 match if it happens.
            Comment
            • Seto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-16-11
              • 12906

              #181
              Yesterday: 1-0, +1x
              Total: 76-92-1, -16.734x

              Dolgopolov +285 (risking 0.5x to win 1.425x)
              Robson -158 (risking 3.16x to win 2x)
              Keys+1.5 sets +114 (risking 0.375x to win 0.428x)
              Keys+4.5 +106 (risking 0.375x to win 0.398x)
              Keys +291 (risking 0.25x to win 0.728x)
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #182
                Today: 3-2, +2.076x
                Total: 79-94-1, -14.658x
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #183
                  Did you see Robson play? What a joke that match (and her performance today) was.

                  That was unexpected given her two previous matches, but WTA I suppose...
                  Comment
                  • Seto
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-16-11
                    • 12906

                    #184
                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                    Did you see Robson play? What a joke that match (and her performance today) was.

                    That was unexpected given her two previous matches, but WTA I suppose...
                    Of course I did

                    Yeah I suspected this could be a match where she loses a set so I didn't lay any games or sets, and that worked out very well. All players have off days at slams, it's just about whether you get away with it or not and she did. She should play much better tomorrow, she has to anyway if she hopes to have that showdown against SWilliams. Still hestitating on whether to take her at +123. Usually as I was saying players play well in matches after winning one they had no business winning.

                    I imagine you're starting to believe the 501 (+50000) bet is possible, don't lose any sweat over it though. Long way to go.
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #185
                      I've always thought it possible – it's simply extremely unlikely. Should happen at least 1/200 times under current circumstance, so at least now it holds some value.
                      Comment
                      • Seto
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-16-11
                        • 12906

                        #186
                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                        I've always thought it possible – it's simply extremely unlikely. Should happen at least 1/200 times under current circumstance, so at least now it holds some value.
                        yeah, i think it's about +5000 at pinny now. i can't help but dream, but i won't place a bet on that, i'm not convinced. i may bet on her tomorrow, i probably will end up doing so just giving myself a bit more time. i just can't resist her as an underdog on grass..
                        Comment
                        • Seto
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-16-11
                          • 12906

                          #187
                          Robson +124 (risking 2x to win 2.48x)
                          Comment
                          • Seto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-16-11
                            • 12906

                            #188
                            Williams/Lisicki over 18.5 +100 (risking 1x to win 1x)
                            Ferrer/Dodig over 39.5 -108 (risking 1.08x to win 1x)

                            both pinny, as is above bet
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #189
                              Today 2-1, 0.00x
                              Total: 81-95-1, -14.658x
                              Comment
                              • Seto
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-16-11
                                • 12906

                                #190
                                Berdych+2.5 sets -119 (risking 1.19x to win 1x)
                                Kubot+6 -110 (risking 0.55x to win 0.5x)
                                Kubot+2.5 sets -140 (risking 0.7x to win 0.5x)
                                Del Potro +135 (risking 1x to win 1.35x)

                                all pinny
                                Comment
                                • Seto
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-16-11
                                  • 12906

                                  #191
                                  Today: 1-3-1, -1.04x
                                  Total: 82-98-2, -15.698x
                                  Comment
                                  • Seto
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-16-11
                                    • 12906

                                    #192
                                    Lisicki -132 (risking 1.32x to win 1x)
                                    Lisicki/Radwanska over 22.5 -103 (risking 1.03x to win 1x)
                                    Bartoli/Flipkens over 22 -113 (risking 1.13x to win 1x)

                                    all pinny
                                    Comment
                                    • Seto
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-16-11
                                      • 12906

                                      #193
                                      Today: 2-1, +0.87x
                                      Total: 84-99-2, -14.828x
                                      Comment
                                      • Seto
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-16-11
                                        • 12906

                                        #194
                                        Bartoli+1.5 sets -146 (risking 1.022x to win 0.7x)
                                        Bartoli +183 (risking 0.3x to win 0.549x)

                                        both pinny
                                        Comment
                                        • Seto
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-16-11
                                          • 12906

                                          #195
                                          Today: 2-0, +1.249x
                                          Total: 86-99-2, -13.579x
                                          Comment
                                          • Seto
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-16-11
                                            • 12906

                                            #196
                                            Today: 1-0, +6x
                                            Total: 87-99-2, -7.579x

                                            That stupid 10 unit bet in that shitty Garcia/Tatishvili match (still can't believe I did that) still has me well down, but working my way back at least.
                                            Comment
                                            • Seto
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-16-11
                                              • 12906

                                              #197
                                              Isner -180 (pinnacle) (risking 1.8x to win 1x)

                                              Back at it this week. Very strange movement here but per past experiences these mean little to nothing in tennis. It could be an injury though but I'll bite.
                                              Comment
                                              • Seto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-16-11
                                                • 12906

                                                #198
                                                Suarez Navarro+3.5 -110 (pinnacle) (risking 0.825x to win 0.75x)
                                                Suarez Navarro +162 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.405x)
                                                Comment
                                                • Seto
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                  • 12906

                                                  #199
                                                  Today: 2-1, -0.645x
                                                  Total: 89-100-2, -8.224x

                                                  What a fukking shithead this Isner is... 4-2 up in both tiebreaks and more crucially a break up in the 3rd...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by Seto
                                                    Today: 2-1, -0.645x
                                                    Total: 89-100-2, -8.224x

                                                    What a fukking shithead this Isner is... 4-2 up in both tiebreaks and more crucially a break up in the 3rd...
                                                    You, me, and D-Mofo brah!
                                                    W

                                                    What happened to Robson btw??
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seto
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 12906

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                      You, me, and D-Mofo brah!
                                                      W

                                                      What happened to Robson btw??
                                                      Yeah, I'm back in the game.. Hopefully get back into positive units by the end of the Open..

                                                      Wrist injury.. Fingers crossed it's nothing serious.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seto
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                        • 12906

                                                        #202
                                                        Ivanovic+3.5 +100 (pinnacle) (risking 0.75x to win 0.75x)
                                                        Ivanovic +185 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.463x)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Seto
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-16-11
                                                          • 12906

                                                          #203
                                                          08/08: 1-1, +0.5x
                                                          Total: 90-101-2, -7.724x

                                                          McDonald +562 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 1.405x)
                                                          McDonald+1.5 sets +199 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.498x)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Seto
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-16-11
                                                            • 12906

                                                            #204
                                                            Today: 0-2, -0.5x
                                                            Total: 90-103-2, -8.224x

                                                            Well at least that was fast. Tried fading Mr Choke against a nobody, shoulda known better than betting on some clown I knew nothing about.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Seto
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-16-11
                                                              • 12906

                                                              #205
                                                              Azarenka+1.5 sets +115 (risking 1x to win 1.15x)
                                                              Mladenovic+4.5 +103 (risking 0.25x to win 0.258x)
                                                              Mladenovic+1.5 sets +104 (risking 0.375x to win 0.39x)
                                                              Mladenovic +243 (risking 0.375x to win 0.911x)

                                                              all pinny

                                                              Got bet sizes wrong, shoulda been 0.25 on ml and 0.375 on the +4.5 but oh well.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seto
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-16-11
                                                                • 12906

                                                                #206
                                                                Yesterday: 1-3, +0.15x
                                                                Total: 91-106-2, -8.074x
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seto
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                                  • 12906

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Goerges+1.5 sets +122 (pinnacle) (risking 0.75x to win 0.915x)
                                                                  Goerges +330 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.825x)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • joco
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-24-11
                                                                    • 3242

                                                                    #208
                                                                    really? i dont think she can hang with sloane on anything besides clay
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Stop thinking of every bet as though the odds were @ evens.

                                                                      That bet does not imply Seto thinks she'll win, but rather that she's more likely to than 2/9.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • joco
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-24-11
                                                                        • 3242

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                        Stop thinking of every bet as though the odds were @ evens.

                                                                        That bet does not imply Seto thinks she'll win, but rather that she's more likely to than 2/9.

                                                                        im not thinking of anything other than i think stephens wins in straight sets. wasnt even really commenting on the ml
                                                                        Comment
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