2013 Tennis Thread

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  • Seto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-16-11
    • 12906

    #141
    Originally posted by Hardcoar
    Nice win! Too bad Youzhny couldn't see it through...
    Ha more like thank goodness (at least for me)
    Comment
    • Seto
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-16-11
      • 12906

      #142
      Petra Kvitova to win WTA Eastbourne +591 (pinnacle) (risking 1x to win 5.91x)
      Laura Robson to win WTA Eastbourne +5010 (pinnacle) (risking 1x to win 50.1x)
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #143
        Originally posted by Seto
        Ha more like thank goodness (at least for me)
        True, but my @ 8 didn't quite cash. 1:st @ 5 did though, so I'll let your happiness compensate for it!
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #144
          You're British by the way, aren't you?

          lol
          Comment
          • Seto
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-16-11
            • 12906

            #145
            Originally posted by Hardcoar
            You're British by the way, aren't you?

            lol
            Yeah.

            I may be a bit too high on Robson a bit too soon, but I can't ignore +5000 given how good I think she will be on grass and how weak I consider the draw is. I can't for the life of me understand why Radwanska is favored over Kvitova on grass also but whatever. I know she made the Wimbledon final last year but she got all the bounces with the draw, don't think she faced anyone of note until the final. Looking at the draw Kvitova has zero excuse to not be in the semi finals at least. Obviously all this goes out the window if she decides she doesn't care and wants to focus on Wimbledon.
            Comment
            • Seto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-16-11
              • 12906

              #146
              Originally posted by Hardcoar
              True, but my @ 8 didn't quite cash. 1:st @ 5 did though, so I'll let your happiness compensates for it!
              oh sorry bro. youzhny had a great week, i'm really not convinced by roger though. hoping andy takes wimbledon, i think it will be him or rafa.
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #147
                I don't think Murray will win Wimbledon to be perfectly honest. My favorites for Wimbledon 2013:

                1. Jerzy
                2. Joker
                3. Nadal
                4. Isner
                5. Tsonga
                6. Donald
                7. Murray
                8. Ryan Harrison
                9. Federer
                Comment
                • Seto
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-16-11
                  • 12906

                  #148
                  Nothing better than going to the stadium and seeing both your futures which were sitting nicely with big drops on their odds melt down in 4 hours.



                  I don't know what came over Kvitova.

                  Yesterday: 0-2, -2x
                  Total: 66-82-1, -17.36x
                  Comment
                  • ohdecas
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 06-12-13
                    • 539

                    #149
                    Jerzy Isner Young and Harrison over Federer? are you joking?
                    Comment
                    • Seto
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-16-11
                      • 12906

                      #150
                      Originally posted by ohdecas
                      Jerzy Isner Young and Harrison over Federer? are you joking?
                      I think he was. I hope he was.
                      Comment
                      • Seto
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-16-11
                        • 12906

                        #151
                        Tomas Berdych to win Wimbledon +6250 (pinnacle) (risking 0.5x to win 31.25x)

                        This may be a bit suicidal but I don't see anyone in his half who I'd make him a dog against besides Novak. If he can somehow beat him, and Novak is certainly beatable on grass, he can make the final. I would've preferred to bet "Berdych makes the final" but I couldn't risk waiting til that comes out and these odds plummeting.
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #152
                          Also considering just that bet...
                          Comment
                          • Seto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-16-11
                            • 12906

                            #153
                            Tomic/Querrey over 41 -111 (risking 1.11x to win 1x)
                            Raonic-7 -118 (risking 0.59x to win 0.5x)
                            Raonic/Berlocq under 33.5 -106 (risking 0.53x to win 0.5x)
                            Kohlschreiber -200 (risking 2x to win 1x)
                            Bedene -163 (risking 1.63x to win 1x)
                            Isner/Donskoy over 40.5 +103 (risking 1x to win 1.03x)
                            Edmund/Janowicz over 39 -101 (risking 1.01x to win 1x)
                            Ward/Lu over 40 -101 (risking 0.758x to win 0.75x)
                            Robson+3.5 -107 (risking 1.605x to win 1.5x)
                            Robson +210 (risking 0.5x to win 1.05x)
                            Errani/Puig over 19 +101 (risking 0.75x to win 0.758x)
                            Puig +511 (risking 0.25x to win 1.278x)
                            Stephens +127 (risking 1x to win 1.27x)
                            Oudin -119 (risking 1.19x to win 1x)
                            Comment
                            • Hardcoar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-13
                              • 15606

                              #154
                              I did take Birdie @ 68.4. Thinking of you, I also took Robson @ 501.

                              Pinnacle have her @ 101 to win her quarter, which is probably a lot better than my @ 500.
                              Comment
                              • Dmoneytx
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-09-12
                                • 6450

                                #155
                                Wishing you the best of luck on Wimbledon Seto! I do think you are a little optomistic on Robson, but if you are her nationality, I can understand I hope you tear it up the next 2 weeks, VAMOS!!!
                                Comment
                                • Seto
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-16-11
                                  • 12906

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                  I did take Birdie @ 68.4. Thinking of you, I also took Robson @ 501.

                                  Pinnacle have her @ 101 to win her quarter, which is probably a lot better than my @ 500.
                                  Don't waste your money bro. Serena got this.

                                  But yeah if Serena somehow has an Aussie Open-like crisis, she could make it, who knows.
                                  Comment
                                  • Seto
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-16-11
                                    • 12906

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by Dmoneytx
                                    Wishing you the best of luck on Wimbledon Seto! I do think you are a little optomistic on Robson, but if you are her nationality, I can understand I hope you tear it up the next 2 weeks, VAMOS!!!
                                    Ha, maybe.

                                    Let's just say I'm very high on her potential and am ready to go down with the ship if I see value. I think +210 is good. I also often bet on Chelsea/Dallas games. I feel I can bet on my teams without bias, now maybe I'm going at it a bit too son with Laura on grass, maybe I'm just afraid of missing out on the tourney when she'll finally break through and hence am at it every opportunity I can get.

                                    If I were betting on emotions I certainly wouldn't be putting a penny on Sloane Stephens seeing as I can't stand her. I'm almost hoping she loses anyway.

                                    Thanks bud, same to you. Hoping to eat into that deficit a bit. Hopefully I can do well during NBA offseason which is undoubtedly my strongest sport.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seto
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-16-11
                                      • 12906

                                      #158
                                      Ward 1st set +155 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.388x)
                                      Comment
                                      • Seto
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-16-11
                                        • 12906

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                        I did take Birdie @ 68.4. Thinking of you, I also took Robson @ 501.

                                        Pinnacle have her @ 101 to win her quarter, which is probably a lot better than my @ 500.
                                        btw no i think 501 on her to win is better than 101 to win the quarter because serena is in her quarter. if she makes the quarters and beats serena or serena gets injured she will make the final, kvitova, vika, maria all in the other half. none of that will matter most likely though.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #160
                                          Semifinals and finals odds would produce a number greater than 5 most likely.
                                          Comment
                                          • Seto
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-16-11
                                            • 12906

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Semifinals and finals odds would produce a number greater than 5 most likely.
                                            probably but i wouldn't be so sure.. i think would be favored in semi, given 2nd quarter of draw = mostly scrubs (like -200)... then even if +200 in final amounts to less than 5.

                                            but then again all that won't matter, i'm not getting my hopes up, i'd be thrilled if she gets to quarters and loses to serena.
                                            Comment
                                            • Seto
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-16-11
                                              • 12906

                                              #162
                                              Oudin
                                              Comment
                                              • Seto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-16-11
                                                • 12906

                                                #163
                                                Today: 3-4, -0.264x
                                                Total: 69-86-1, -17.624x




                                                Basically a day for nothing... Coulda been a good day had Donskoy won one of the 2 tiebreaks or had Oudin not done her bullshit but oh well.
                                                Comment
                                                • Seto
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                  • 12906

                                                  #164
                                                  Today: 5-2, +0.92x
                                                  Total: 74-88-1, -16.704x

                                                  Brutal reminder of why I never lay the chalk in general. Still a good day I guess.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #165
                                                    Please tell me you were on Robson!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seto
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 12906

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by Seto
                                                      Tomic/Querrey over 41 -111 (risking 1.11x to win 1x)
                                                      Raonic-7 -118 (risking 0.59x to win 0.5x)
                                                      Raonic/Berlocq under 33.5 -106 (risking 0.53x to win 0.5x)
                                                      Kohlschreiber -200 (risking 2x to win 1x)
                                                      Bedene -163 (risking 1.63x to win 1x)
                                                      Isner/Donskoy over 40.5 +103 (risking 1x to win 1.03x)
                                                      Edmund/Janowicz over 39 -101 (risking 1.01x to win 1x)
                                                      Ward/Lu over 40 -101 (risking 0.758x to win 0.75x)
                                                      Robson+3.5 -107 (risking 1.605x to win 1.5x)
                                                      Robson +210 (risking 0.5x to win 1.05x)
                                                      Errani/Puig over 19 +101 (risking 0.75x to win 0.758x)
                                                      Puig +511 (risking 0.25x to win 1.278x)
                                                      Stephens +127 (risking 1x to win 1.27x)
                                                      Oudin -119 (risking 1.19x to win 1x)
                                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                      Please tell me you were on Robson!
                                                      Yup I was. Only play of more than 1 unit in R1. +money was gold in this match as expected.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seto
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                        • 12906

                                                        #167
                                                        Kubot +121 (pinnacle) (risking 0.8x to win 0.968x)
                                                        Kubot-2.5 sets +629 (pinnacle) (risking 0.2x to win 1.258x)
                                                        Stepanek/Janowicz over 41.5 -112 (pinnacle) (risking 0.56x to win 0.5x)
                                                        Stepanek/Janowicz tie break in match -200 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 0.5x)
                                                        Ram+5 +109 (pinnacle) (risking 0.75x to win 0.818x)
                                                        Ram +283 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.708x)
                                                        Stephens -152 (pinnacle) (risking 1.52x to win 1x)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Seto
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-16-11
                                                          • 12906

                                                          #168
                                                          Andy Murray to win Wimbledon +200 (bet365) (risking 3x to win 6x)

                                                          Can't ignore this line given Tsonga out and Federer looking like shit. Plus which I've thought from the start this is his year.

                                                          Hopefully him and Berdych face off in the final for my futures.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Seto
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-16-11
                                                            • 12906

                                                            #169
                                                            Today: 1-2, 0.00x
                                                            Total: 75-90-1, -16.704x

                                                            All the withdrawals
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hardcoar
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-17-13
                                                              • 15606

                                                              #170
                                                              Murray's lucky couple of days!


                                                              That said Djokovic is still easily favorite in a potential meeting.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seto
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-16-11
                                                                • 12906

                                                                #171
                                                                Raonic-3 -104 (pinnacle) (risking 0.78x to win 0.75x)
                                                                Raonic-2.5 sets +217 (pinnacle) (risking 0.25x to win 0.543x)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seto
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-16-11
                                                                  • 12906

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                  Murray's lucky couple of days!


                                                                  That said Djokovic is still easily favorite in a potential meeting.
                                                                  Easily favorite? No way.

                                                                  -120/+110
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seto
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                                    • 12906

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Today: 0-2, -1.03x
                                                                    Total: 75-92-1, -17.734x
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Last time I checked -120 is favored.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Seto
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                                        • 12906

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Suarez Navarro -127 (pinnacle) (risking 1.27x to win 1x)
                                                                        Comment
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